The British oddsmakers are not giving new prime minister Liz Truss much of a chance to survive the year, putting the odds at 1-in-8. They are posting wagers on her probable replacement, which is a good sign they are confident they will have plenty of action in the near term. You can wager on just about anything in Britain but the point of posting odds is to attract action. If the oddsmakers are posting odds on the next prime minister it means there is a demand for it.
From an American perspective it is a bit amusing because of the over-the-top way in which the media talks about these things. It is like how British sports announcers turn a mundane sport like soccer into life and death drama. Every player heroically passes the ball to some other hero, who courageously passes it back. They are doing the same thing with the political squabbles within the Tory party. They are carrying on as if the island will flip over if they pick the wrong person.
The British are in political crisis because the people who actually run the country never forgave Boris Johnson for supporting Brexit. The fact is, the elites in Britain all wanted to be fully integrated into Europe. They loathed the very idea of Brexit and detested the people who supported it, which is the majority of the people. Just as everywhere else, British elites, and those who think they are elites, define themselves by the degree to which they hate the average subject.
The elites shoved old Boris over the side without thinking much about who would replace him because of another quirk of modern Western elites. They never think more than once move ahead when on the attack. When scheming to line their own pockets, they are masters of eight dimensional chess. When they get their feelings hurt, they tend to blindly and maliciously strike out while howling in pain. They never think about what happens after they get their revenge.
This is what is happening in Britain. They got revenge on old Boris, but then they had no suitable replacement, so they were stuck with Liz Truss. She is a simpleton, so this has quickly blown up on them. Now they have to find a way to push her over the edge and find a different empty suit to play the role of PM. The odds are the next person will be terrible and this will force new elections. The other party will be declared the winner and then the drama comes to an end.
The only reason this is interesting is that it will be a story we see all over the West in the coming months, even in America. The midterms are shaping up to be a disaster for the Democrats, so they will be forced to address their Joe Biden problem. He is not going to go quietly, because his handlers need him to stay. Joe Biden is a shuffling husk, but the people holding important jobs in the administration need him in the job so they can hold onto those important jobs. Dementia Joe is useful.
Regardless, the people who actually run Washington will conclude that they have a Joe Biden problem after the election. The trouble is the next in line makes Liz Truss sound like Cicero, so pushing Biden over the edge will just create new problems, but wounded animals do not think that far ahead. We could very well see a replay in Washington of what is happening in London. Biden is forced out for health reasons, then Harris is forced out because everyone remembers that she is an idiot.
Of course, as the political turmoil in the West heats up over the next year, the popular explanation will be that it is due to bad economics. Inflation, shortages, recession and energy prices will get the blame. You see this happening in Britain where inflation is getting blamed for the crisis. It is complete nonsense. The Bank of England is undermining the Tory government, not popular unrest. The Tories have no reason to care about public opinion. They do care about elite opinion.
That is the real source of the crisis that is slowly spreading in the West. In theory, government exists to exercise the will of the people. The “general will” is defined though the democratic process. The parties compete for support by offering up policies to address the issues the voters think are important. The Tories are in power because they supported Brexit and they implied they would do something about the problems that naturally stem from post-national cosmopolitan globalism.
There was never any chance of this happening because the people who actually run Britain never wanted those things. Those people are not subject to elections and have no concern for public opinion. That is the cause of the crisis. The political process and its results lie between public opinion and elite opinion. The two sides are natural opposites that operate like the jaws of a vice. As they close, the political process is squeezed until it eventually bursts.
The fact is the West has reached a point where we cannot have both an avaricious ruling elite and a prosperous middleclass. Either the elites are brought to heel and are subject to the political process or the middleclass collapses. The new world order is an effort to consolidate power and impoverish the population. Populism and various forms of nationalism are middleclass efforts to fight back against elites. The West is now entering the survival stage of liberal democracy.
It is tempting to think that numbers matter and the people will eventually win out and bring their elites under control. Covid should disabuse anyone of that notion, as it is clear that most people would rather die than speak out against the most humiliating abuses of the elites. If you can make people wear their underwear around their heads, you can make them do anything. Of course, an elite willing to mutilate children is never going to be susceptible to appeals to their humanity.
On the other hand, no one was really at risk during Covid. People got sick but people always get stick from something. Covid policies did not put the general wellbeing in danger, at least not right away. When people are worried about paying their rent or keeping the doors of their business open, they stop worrying so much about offending the sensibilities of rich people. Western people seem to accept no limits on their humiliation, but maybe there is a limit.
Regardless, the West is clearly entering a crisis phase. Unlike past crises in Greece, Spain or Italy, this one is occurring in the heart of the West. People expect political turmoil in Italy, but not in Britain. People expect the Spanish economy to be on the edge of the abyss, but not the German economy. Washington is supposed to be the same regardless of the party in power. This crisis is in the core of what made the post-Cold War order possible. Soon, all of it will be up for debate.
If you like my work and wish to kick in a few bucks, you can buy me a beer. You can sign up for a SubscribeStar subscription and get some extra content. You can donate via PayPal. My crypto addresses are here for those who prefer that option. You can send gold bars to: Z Media LLC P.O. Box 432 Cockeysville, MD 21030-0432. Thank you for your support!
Promotions: We have a new addition to the list. Havamal Soap Works is the maker of natural, handmade soap and bath products. If you are looking to reduce the volume of man-made chemicals in your life, all-natural personal products are a good start. If you use this link you get 15% off of your purchase.
The good folks at Alaska Chaga are offering a ten percent discount to readers of this site. You just click on the this link and they take care of the rest. About a year ago they sent me some of their stuff. Up until that point, I had never heard of chaga, but I gave a try and it is very good. It is a tea, but it has a mild flavor. It’s autumn here in Lagos, so it is my daily beverage now.
Minter & Richter Designs makes high-quality, hand-made by one guy in Boston, titanium wedding rings for men and women and they are now offering readers a fifteen percent discount on purchases if you use this link. If you are headed to Boston, they are also offering my readers 20% off their 5-star rated Airbnb. Just email them directly to book at sales@minterandrichterdesigns.com.
Liz Truss have just resigned after 44.days
7
The next PM will be even worse
It’s the same all across the West
3
They are likely to get Rishi Sunak as the next one. He is an Indian by way of Africa who previously worked for Goldman Sachs. King Charles III will be in rapture at this new diverse, non Christian, non British Prime Minister.
7
How about that?
8
Prescience, thy name is Z Man.
4
There was not one white male in her cabinet. Make of it what you will.
2
My Lord! That’s only 3.14285 fortnights!
1
Close to pi fortnights! There’s symmetry in the universe.
3
The next in line makes Liz Truss sound like Cicero
LOL
6
The middle class is already gone out here in California and our governor soon will be your president.
8
Finishing my cup of joe jumping in my truck and headed out to bardertown via sunset blvd in 20 minutes. Good times…
4
That guy is scary. He’s good looking and well spoken enough where a lot of people would just go along with whatever he says. He also will have no qualms about issuing insane executive orders and more or less ignoring the courts. He understands no one can stop him, and he’s used to that sort of power running Cali.
The private power centers will coalesce around him, as he’s the first left-wing president who isn’t a complete dunderhead or empty suit, and what the government won’t technically do, they will pick up the slack. The ones that don’t will have all sorts of civil rights investigations unleashed on them. The left has all the pieces in place for a full social overhaul, all they need now is a true king.
11
To those of us on the outside, it seems logical for the regime to replace Harris with Newsome right after the midterm. Then in January announce that Biden will not run in 2024. Newsome would be a formidable candidate in 2024. He Biden resigned in advance, he would then have a big power base and no chance to be primaried.
Inside the system they may see it different. Washington is a very small town. Newsome is not an insider. It is not clear that he has a base of support in Washington. For GOP governors, this is not a problem, but for Democrats, the inner party wants their people in power, not some weirdo from the hinterlands.
5
Nice to see Washington DC lives by the Chicago maxim “We don’t want nobody nobody sent.”
4
Not sure how blacks will appreciate the FIRST BLACK WOMAN vice president being dumped for a white guy. I would guess not well. Black women think she is Cicero.
2
I am not so certain Newsome is some outsider from the hinterlands. Newsome’s base is in San Francisco. He has the old money of the Gettys and their ilk. It is wise to assume he has spent his time in San Francisco building very close connections with Silicon Valley based ruling regimers both on the managerial and financial sides of it.
It might be wise to assume that, besides his looks and scoundrel’s charisma, he will lock up the white soccer moms whose ovaries will be popping ovums at him and forget all about their kids and that he is very well connected with the AsiaPac based ruling regime. He can negotiate a VP who is Larry Fink’s henchman and, well, the cabinet and top level posts are already Fink/Dimon/Blankfein praetorians so he’ll be good to go.
Newsome’s level of ruthlessness and callousness will make Trudeau’s seem like a huge friends discount at the cake sale. Newsome does not have the slightest remorse about how California has been radically transformed and he probably salivates about where it is headed.
There isn’t anyone on the Pub’s bench who can challenge Newsome.
In any case, I’d take a gentleman’s wager on Newsome vs. whoever you choose from Swamptopiastan as the Dem faceman in ’24. I’d say unlimited beers, but by ’24, at $85 a beer, we may not be able to afford that. I best get Capone’d up and learn how to build and operate a still.
Cheers!
3
I just wonder how long they can keep running Pale Males, even Newsom. And he’s mobbed up to the gills with Pelosi, so any move against her faction will include him as a matter of course.
Pelosi’s ancient, and senile, and drunk pretty much 24/7, but she’s still a Swamp Thing from way back. Even with her decaying brain pickled by Jim Beam, she can still execute wily veteran moves on autopilot. That, plus the fact that her toenail clippings are still somehow smarter than the likes of “The Squad” (damn, that gives me the giggles every time), might argue for Newsom… but it might not. AOC et al aren’t Bernie Sanders; you can’t buy them off with new vacation homes forever. And they’re probably super-pissed that the Pox slot went to the likes of Harris, not one of them (make your own jokes about “Kamala Harris” and “pox slot;” I’m too tired).
Until her recent apostasy (still don’t know what to make of that), I’d say they were grooming Tulsi Gabbard for the job; she’d go out there and beat the GOP’s preferred candidate, “Nikki” “Haley,” in the first-ever all-female Pox battle, which would give Gabbard the Mandate of Heaven. Now? Dunno. If they have to go with a Pale Male — and I’m not seeing how they can avoid it, needing as they do someone whose #1 qualification is “knows how to play ball and is still compos mentis enough to do it” — I’m guessing it’s Bootyjudge. I bet he’s regretting all that secret time off he took to chestfeed his gayby, instead of building up his affinity in the Imperial Capital.
Newsome is an odd cat. His benefactors are powerful people, but not powerful people in Washington. https://www.latimes.com/projects/la-pol-ca-gavin-newsom-san-francisco-money/
Normally that would not be a huge problem, but the race issue will be a problem in 2024. Newsome is not going to sell himself to blacks like Clinton, because he lacks the familiarity. Clinton grew up around black people. This is a huge liability for Newsome.
Newsome might be a safe choice for the Beltway Boys. He just may be the guy who can thread the needle between the Clinton and Obama factions. He is probably no threat to either faction.
I always figured the last white male Democrat president would be Joe Biden. But because of the disaster of Kamala, they’ll put aside wokeness temporarily and not appoint the likes of Rashida, Stacy, Ilhan, Sandy, Jamaal, Ayanna, or Cori and instead, one last time go with the white guy, Gavin Newsome.
1
You wonder is there is a limit on the never ending humiliation. There have been stirrings of blowback – Canadian truckers, Dutch farmers. But so far those have pretty much fizzled out. People are still too comfortable (and too deracinated) to really rock the boat despite the ongoing degradation. It seems things will have to get substantially worse for any regime change to be forced on the dirtbag elite, anywhere.
14
Populist uprisings are essentially useless without a counter-elite. We only have a few scrapped together at the state level. It will take decades to nurture a generation to truly rival the GAE, even as the D.C. power structure weakens, barring total collapse.
This isn’t a blackpill, just a call to get working with whatever small bits of power we still have.
10
We don’t have decades.
4
UsNthem – in the spirit of odds making and betting – I bet TomA would agree with you.
1
“The fact is the West has reached a point where we cannot have both an avaricious ruling elite and a prosperous middle class. Either the elites are brought to heel and are subject to the political process or the middle class collapses. The new world order is an effort to consolidate power and impoverish the population.”
We’ve known this for a while. Assuming the Dems can rig elections and that the Uniparty is composed of Dems and Pubs, the 2024 elections may be the circus to keep folks’ minds off their lack of bread. We’ll be played off against each other by race and gender as we become a pan-Asian satrapy. If I were a pundit, that’s what I’d pund.
7
Well, that escalated quickly.
3
Frankly, I’m hoping for a “red wave” just for the lulz. I thought for sure that the Democrats would’ve gone to price controls by now, if not outright rationing — that’s the only thing they know how to do. But now it’s looking like they’re going to have to get the Republicans to do it for them…
…which the Republicans will be happy to do, because that way The Media gets to spend the next two years howling about how there’d be a unicorn in every garage if not for Republican Intransigence ™, same as it ever was. But that’s a problem, too — a truly hilarious problem — because Tapioca Joe is actually going to get a bump in his approval numbers from it (“Listen, fat — my plan is great. But I can’t get anything past mumble mumble Congress where’s my ice cream cone?”). Also, with Republicans “in control of Congress” (damn that’s hard to type with a straight face), the inevitable wage and price controls / rationing is going to be portrayed, somehow, as “bailouts of Big Business,” because The Media are so insanely stupid and just can’t help themselves.
Did I mention I like to call this era the “Penthouse Forum Years”? Because nearly every day I find myself saying something like “I never thought it would happen to me, but…” Once again: I never thought it would happen to me, but I’m actually rooting for the Left to chimp out and “fortify” the ever-loving hell out of all the elections…
12
“It is like how British sports announcers turn a mundane sport like soccer into life and death drama. Every player heroically passes the ball to some other hero, who courageously passes it back. ”
Brilliant!
I came across a podcast with James Lindsay and Benjamin A Boyce who I have never heard of. I think it is recent, I can’t find it again on Odysee. In any case, Lindsay has come a long way. On his timeline for the usurpation of the Constitutional Republic he specifically highlighted 1860 and 1964. It is also interesting how he delivered it with a subtext to those key years being something that we here all know.
I suspected Climate Catastrophe and ESG were just plots to transfer wealth to the Western Financier Oligarchy for pennies on the dollar. He confirmed my thesis by mentioning specifically a case where Larry Fink forced Exxon to sell a huge set of shares in a, “divestment”, and then bought them through Petro China.
If you can find it at around 27 minutes it heats up and there are some good nuggets in there. He has a very clear grasp of the scope, scale and mechanisms of the unprecedented global financial fraud and the the pincer move from above and below that the Financial Fraudster Class and the Black Supremacist led social ostracization and replacement factions have us in.
He apparently knows some former high up Blackrockers who know what is going on and are trying to act. What is interesting is when he describes the Financial Fraudster Cartel he uses the name Fink. He is pinning the name on the ringleader.
In Britain look for the first ever black PM surrounded by top cabinet members that include a non-white Britain style Richard Levine character. Their solutions and actions during the financial meltdown will be to replace all indigenous Britains faces on the currency with people who were the principles leaders of the anti-colonial push: (Mandela; Amin; that guy who they put a statue of up in London …; Mugabe …)
The Finksters are going to make very clear to the Britains that they are owned and that they are nothings to be abused at will. The Heritage Britains, particularly the men, are going to have to decide if they are going to fade away watching people whose relatives were slaughtered by the likes of Amin and Mugabe make highly dramatic, backwards, backfield passes and dramatically fake injuries, or if they are going to rise to the greatest existential threat the people on the British Isles may have ever faced.
7
In Britain look for the first ever black PM…
My money is on Rishi Sunak, international man of mystery. He’s the only guy in that sorry outfit able to tie his own shoelaces – not that he do such menial tasks himself, being richer than Croesus.
4
He is probably the British version of Chamath Palihapitiya. Papativalyalapoo is one of the most loathsome people I have seen in this ruling regime. His eyes ooze with avarice and contempt for anyone and anything that isn’t him.
This is like that DiCaprio movie with the dream layers. We keep staying under and every time we are the slightest bit roused we are taken another layer deeper in the dream. The timeline keeps accelerating as more happens in a shorter time at ever shortening intervals. Another big exception is that the threat is not from the sedated. In fact, we are the only ones sedated. Their dream is our fully awake and sober nightmare.
3
Is this the podcast? This is from two weeks ago. https://www.bitchute.com/video/wC48rCpd7fs/
2
Yes. This is the one. Good find.
Damn, should’ve called our ex-pat friends who live in Manchester and put five quid 💷 on Liz gone by Halloween.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11336361/Truss-QUITS-PM-admits-carry-crisis-talks.html
Ah, guess I’ll have to bet on the World Cup and Man U.
4
…Revealing she had informed the King of her decision, she said: ‘I cannot deliver on the mandate…. I will remain as PM until a successor has been chosen…
Might as well sub ‘Abbott’ for she and ‘Costello’ for King.
1
Please have the next PM be “Rishi Sunak”. The British were ruled for centuries by foreigners after the Norman conquest of 1066. They should be used to it.
Personally, I find it liberating that Chicago is ruled by a small, petty, spiteful, ugly troll. Her twisted visage is a daily reminder that my kind is not wanted in what was a productive, grand and beautiful city.
Knowing that you are a slave is a necessary first step toward striving for freedom (should probably put that on a fortune cookie).
This is today’s mic drop line: “The fact is the West has reached a point where we cannot have both an avaricious ruling elite and a prosperous middleclass. Either the elites are brought to heel and are subject to the political process or the middleclass collapses.”
Well said.
17
Johnson also spinelessly presided over the shutdown of his country and enthusiastically stoked up war in Ukraine. No tears from me. I’m not sure the elite hated him either. He was always on TV. If they reached the point Brexit was unavoidable, they probably preferred to have a clown at the controls instead of a serious nationalist. In fact, the media only soured on Johnson when he was a little too unenthusiastic about another winter lockdown.
3
The annoying thing about Johnsson is that it was Party Gate that brought him down; ousted because he didn’t wear a mask.
3
The parties must have been an open secret in media circles, yet as long as lockdown stayed in place, there was not a peep about it in public.
As soon as Johnson *eased* restrictions just a little bit, suddenly the party was a scandal.
4
The thing that most annoyed me about Johnson (when I bothered to pay any attention) was his damned hair – just like a little kid.
2
A British version of Trump, right down to the hairdo.
1
That’s not true. Your TDS is showing. Trumps hair is always neat, combed and hair sprayed into submission. Johnson always look like he stuck his pecker in a electric socket.
5
But perhaps a little more intelligent? And self-conscious that he was an impotent buffoon?
1
@Arshad
Or maybe Trump is just a better actor?
I called Trump for a con man before the primaries, but I soon got sucked out to sea by the Trump Wave and started posting Trump boosterism.
I’ll never forget that lesson in media power. I hope.
Johnson was a media whore to the end. Trump’s war on the media was real. They are unalike.
“Western people seem to accept no limits on their humiliation, but maybe there is a limit”.
While that may be so, “an elite willing to mutilate children is never going to be susceptible to appeals to their humanity”. Hence, the limits are till on a rather distant horizon,
If “Biden is forced out for health reasons”…
…then Harris remains because not “everyone remembers that she is an idiot”, and a useful idiot to TPTB.
4
The problem with expecting an eventual revolt is you need a demographic profile that skews towards youth for that to happen.
Is revolt still physically possible anywhere in the West?
2
It is if you gather enough Muslims into the crowd.
1
“The British are in political crisis because the people who actually run the country never forgave Boris Johnson for supporting Brexit.”
Arguably not Brexit. Brexit was a symptom — a vote of despair and defiance by people who have lost out during the last forty years or so as the country has fragmented into two — a small prosperous enclave in London and the home counties (Surrey, Berkshire, Herts) and on the other hand the rest of the population that is living in the barren, bleak, and de-industrialised rest of the country. This split has always been there but it has got much worse in recent decades.
The political crisis today is tied to the long-standing economic crisis, which probably goes back to the loss of empire. It just keeps getting worse and worse. The North Sea oil is running out, industry has gone, and there’s no way of maintaining the standard of living of most people. Financial services, entertainment, and the like cannot sustain a population of 70m.
Of course something similar can be seen in the USA — the split between the prosperous enclaves in and around DC, NYC, and LA and the rest of the country (“flyover country”, “deplorables”) etc.
I’m reminded of the poignant essay, “The Unnecessariat”, which I may have posted before:
https://morecrows.wordpress.com/2016/05/10/unnecessariat/
The industrialised West is coming to an end. What follows is depopulation and perhaps a peasant life. Which reminds me of recent essay by Ugo Bardi:
https://www.senecaeffect.com/2022/10/europe-how-to-become-poor-peasants-again.html
3
Boy, aren’t you a ray of sunshine today.
With Liz Truss the Zelensky curse strikes again (Sweden, Italy, Boris J)
3
The West is not going to have a middle class. And pretty soon it’s not going to have its parasitic upper class either. Much of what we see is about the parasitic upper class trying to maintain its perks and privileges while everyone else suffers from a much smaller slice of the cake. The West will move back to some sort of feudal arrangement and it will be low-tech and subsistence for the survivors.
2
England is now as bad as Italy
1
“And what should they know of England who only England know?”
— Rudyard Kipling
Ha. England is falling along with the rest of the Western world.
2
You allude to a good thing Z
What if the Truss thing is a trial run for America? Boris is Biden and Truss is Kamala.
Now they know there is really no pain or outcry in jettisoning a stupid woman after a few weeks in office. So you get rid of biden, Kamala comes in, is quickly broomed out the door, and no one seems to notice.
Voila. Tick and tack