Year In Review

This is the time of year when lazy writers do retrospectives, usually in the form of lists or worse, tweet collections. Streaming has reached a point where people are doing these on YouTube or DLive. Then you have the predictions for the coming year, which hardly anyone ever mentions as part of their yearend review posts. This makes sense, as most predictions are terrible. No one can see the future, so predictions are always about the present trends and the prognosticator’s hopes for the future.

There is some value in looking back at past predictions. It’s a lot like reading old articles about the glorious future of 2020, which is now upon us. Predictions tend to reflect the binary model of the future that is inflicted upon us by our rulers. The future is either going to be much worse than anyone today wants to believe or much better than anyone ever promised. In reality, the next year will be pretty much the same as the last year, with maybe some new characters in the media.

Looking at your own past predictions is a bit humbling, which is probably why no one does it as a part of their yearend posting. Here is my post from last year with my crystal ball forecast for the upcoming year. When I do these posts, I’m not trying to be too serious, as this is not the time of year to be serious. The point is to have some fun with the format and make some points along the way. Still, if you make a post full of predictions, you must be made to answer for them!

So, how’d I do?

My first prediction about how Congress and the Senate will behave in the new year was pretty much dead right. The Democrat House did spend the year chasing Trump around with subpoenas and the Senate did nothing. I did not see the impeachment fiasco coming, but no one thought the Democrats were that dumb. I was wrong about the Mueller probe. That’s probably the surprise of the year. Trump gets a lot of grief, but you have to give him credit for getting rid of Mueller.

As far as the race for the Democrat nomination, I will take a bow on predicting that Warren would be a bust. She is still in the top-tier of the candidates, but she is fading and probably headed to a bad end. The current polling has her finishing second or third in Iowa and second or third in New Hampshire. That’s pretty much the Howard Dean phenomenon. He never recovered from that and she will not recover from losing the early races. Being a total fraud has consequences.

I think the jury is still out on the censorship. There’s no question that is has slowed over the last year, but that could simply be due to a lack of targets. The alt-right was mostly an open door for the old 1.0 types and other fringe weirdos. Once that door closed, they went back to their respective warrens. As a result, there is not a lot of low hanging fruit for the censors. Still, I think the trend will continue, as the platforms find the cost of censorship rise and the benefits decline.

On the economic front, I got it all wrong on the stock market. The markets continued to be strong, despite the beginning of the great retirement. The fact is, the markets are no longer connected to reality. Instead, they are driven by Fed policy, which was another miss last year. I did get China right. I’ve been saying for years that China is more paper tiger than most realize. China remains a low trust society, outside the local community, so that means lots of mischief in the national economy.

As for Europe, I nailed the Brexit process. I was a little muddled on the way the end game would play out, so I can’t crow too much. My expectation was that the globalists would offer up the Tories as a sacrifice to globalism. I did not think it would work, but I was not all that clear, so I get dinged a few points. I was a bit early on the role of the Eastern bloc of countries. I still think that is in the offing, but Brexit may have to unfold before that can get momentum.

On the sportsball front, I was ahead of my skis on that one. Ratings keep declining for the NBA, but the NFL rebounded a bit. Of course, the ratings are mostly fake, so no one can be sure. My hunch, just based on personal experience, is that more and more white people are abandoning conventional entertainment. The obnoxious propaganda packed into everything is impossible to ignore. Even so, we don’t have hard data to back this, so the cord cutting prediction goes into the loss column.

Finally, I swung and missed on the Facebook prediction. Frankly, I remain puzzled about this one. It is so obviously true that ads on that platform are a waste of money, but they keep suckering in advertisers. Further, the data they steal from users and sell to marketing companies and the FBI is mostly garbage. Facebook is a company that exists in spite of reality. This is why looking back at predictions is good. It reveals gaps in your understanding and it reveals bias.

Over all, it was a mixed bag. In the gambling business, the rule of thumb is you have to win 57% of the time in order to make money. That covers the juice owed to bookmaker I’ve lost track of where I was on this, but I’m glad I did not bet the “Escape Lagos Fund” on these predictions. Even so, it is always fun for me to look back at these posts. They are a good reminder that no one can see around corners, so it is wise to be skeptical of one’s confidence.


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Chaz Chazstein
Member
Chaz Chazstein

Zman the sage! Should I bet Red or black?

ronehjr
Guest
ronehjr

never mind

Member

My prediction didn’t happen but from my latest observations using my trusty Celestron telescope, the major earth changing event will occur this year. Yup, one big rock headed our way.

MemeWarVet
Guest
MemeWarVet

With regards to the stars, will this be the year they align correctly to allow great Cthulhu to leave his house at R’yleh and give his Cult of nonwhites dominion over the Earth?

Doofenshmertz Evil, Inc.
Guest

Cthulhu and his cult of non-whites have had dominion ever since shortly after 9/11, which is what that event was designed for. Let’s go surfin’ now, everybody’s learnin’ how, come on a safari with me.

Alzaebo
Guest
Alzaebo

Cthulu 2020!
Why vote for the lesser evil?

MemeWarVet
Guest
MemeWarVet

I’d prefer his granddad, Yog-Sothoth:

“Yog-Sothoth knows the gate. Yog-Sothoth is the gate. Yog-Sothoth is the key and guardian of the gate. Past, present, future, all are one in Yog-Sothoth. He knows where the Old Ones broke through of old, and where They shall break through again. He knows where They have trod earth’s fields, and where They still tread them, and why no one can behold Them as They tread.“

Paintersforms
Guest
Matrix
Guest

I like the authors name, Inigo Monzon, oozing with diversity!

HomerB
Guest
HomerB

Might just pull the trigger on that new truck after all. And that new snowmobile. Thanks for the head’s up.

Chaz Chazstein
Member
Chaz Chazstein

“learn to swim…” https://youtu.be/rHcmnowjfrQ

LineInTheSand
Guest
LineInTheSand

The momentum and fury that builds in that song is almost unbearable.

I felt like Maynard when I lived in CA. Appropriately, I saw Tool in Berkeley.

“I’m praying for rain
I’m praying for tidal waves
I wanna see the ground give way
I wanna watch it all go down”

Member

Actually it ended in 2012 in the Mayan apocalypse. We’re all in some weird Netherworld now

Alzaebo
Guest
Alzaebo

Netherworld?
A few times, I’ve experienced a white flash, in a blink, and I mutter to myself-

“Aww, sh*t. Just jumped universes again.”

Anon
Guest
Anon

It’s a shame Harold Camping isn’t around any more. I really need an ETA on the next rapture.

Yves Vannes
Member

Nature is on our side in more ways than simply innate biological preferences and instincts… An under reported story of the past 2 years has been the “Big Chill”. The largest drop in global temperatures in over a century. In tropical and subtropical areas when temps drop to below 50 degrees F, microorganisms that are present but dormant become active. This is beginning to have an effect. Influenza, associated with a viral infection in temperate climates, has begun to break out in the tropics. Bangladesh is currently monitoring an outbreak. We are just entering a solar minimum period so global… Read more »

greyenlightenment
Guest

every year it gets colder and colder. global warming was one of the biggest scams by the left

Range Front Fault
Guest
Range Front Fault

Nothing new under the sun. Always a few in each generation that wake up to a black pill laying on the bedside table. In our community, appoint me as the official fortune teller black pilling with predictions of our future: (1942 “Skin Of Our Teeth”-Thornton Wilder). No wonder fortune tellers ended up in the stocks! FORTUNE TELLER: “I tell the future. Nothing easier. Everybody’s future is in their face, Nothing easier. But who can tell your past, —eh? Nobody! Your youth, —where did it go? It slipped away while you weren’t looking. While you were asleep, or distracted? Puh! You’re… Read more »

Penitent Man
Guest
Penitent Man

Not too bad a score card on the predictions.

Have a happy New Year Zman and Zman commenters.

SamlAdams
Guest
SamlAdams

Look on the bright side. There is an entire punditocracy that makes a great living being wrong 95% of the time. That’s a pretty damn good record on your part. In London next week, kind of looking forward to doing some “man on the street” assessment of Boris and Brexit. However, will keep the small trauma kit with me. Seems Israeli bandages, quick clot, and chest seals come in handy more and more frequently there.

Happy New Year!

Range Front Fault
Guest
Range Front Fault

Good New Year to you. Look forward to your comments re London. Stay on high alert. Enjoy a pub!

SamlAdams
Guest
SamlAdams

Should be interesting. Haven’t been there for 18 months. Usually like to take long walks in free time–biggest change last time was the number of neighborhoods closer to the “City” that are a lot more vibrant and dicey. Twenty years ago I’d think nothing of walking after dinner in the Trafalgar area back to my hotel near Tower Bridge. No more.

meeee
Guest
meeee

There are no poor residential neighbourhoods between Trafalgar square and Tower bridge-at least north of the Thames.

It’s very expensive real estate so mostly offices, restaurants, and expensive residential.

Have you actually ever been to London?

SamlAdams
Guest
SamlAdams

Au contraire, mon frère. Of course there are no poor neighborhoods. But the change in who’s on the street at night is marked. Now will confess, last time was for a conference held over at the Tate Modern (the “Tanks” are probably the weirdest conference venue ever, but I digress). Normally I spend my time in the close vicinity of Leadenhall St, will let you figure out why. But the vibe just walking along the promenade was weird and weirder a few blocks in from the Thames. Have tours of duty in Chicago, Detroit, Philly and NYC under my belt… Read more »

3g4me
Guest
3g4me

I haven’t been back to visit since 1981, and probably wouldn’t be allowed in even if I had any desire to enter. My friend’s English husband hasn’t been back in over five years; he has no desire to even visit and see what diversity has increasingly wrought (nor to go unarmed and mute among it).
England, along with ancient Greece and Rome, was the cradle of our civilization. Its destruction is just one more thing to be enraged about.

Meeee
Guest
Meeee

We in Britain talk about our violent crime in the media more than you lot so it can appear that London is a warzone. It isn’t .
London is ,by American standards, a safe city.

Save your Israeli bandages for your shining city upon a hill.

Carrie
Guest

So “Meeeee”…
sounds like you haven’t been to the “shining city upon the hill” in a while.
AKA The Imperial Capital to which Zman refers.
While our region is browning, there are only, thus far, pockets of muzloids.
Whereas in Londonistan, the muzloids are out in force, at night esp, like cockroaches.
It sounds like SamlAdams has some good experience with dicey areas.
Maybe you will consider additional situational awareness, IF you live in Jolly old England.

King Tut
Guest
King Tut

Canvassing opinions on Boris Johnson and Brexit in London is rather like asking for views on Donald Trump in New York.

CAPT S
Guest
CAPT S

Great job this past year Z-man … I can’t fathom how you come up with a thoughtful topic every day, let alone the penetrating analysis on each of those topics. Kudos, and blessings on your 2020 endeavors. Hope the end of this year finds you safely out of Lagos. As for the economic prognostications, that’s a near-impossibility because of the shear irrationality of Fed policy. All we can know for sure is that it’s a house of cards … and gravity always wins. As for the Democratic nomination, my prediction is that the eventual nominee will be a progressively woke,… Read more »

Member

Back in ’87 someone told me everything I need to know about the Fed:
“The Fed can stay wrong for longer than you can stay solvent”.

SamlAdams
Guest
SamlAdams

And the corollary…”Never fight the Fed”

Member

I think this coming year we will find out Z has a staff of interns.

greyenlightenment
Guest

the economics stuff is easier to predict than the political stuff. 2020 is anyone’s race. Look at how Howard Dean in 2004 or Hillary in 2008 seemed so strong initially, only to fail.

Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

I can’t see how the Trumpslide doesn’t happen, but I don’t feel certain about it.

greyenlightenment
Guest

trump’s problem, in spite of the strong economy and stock market, is that he is just not that popular, at least not compared to past incumbents such as Reagan, Obama, Clinton, etc. His approval still stuck in the low 40s according to 538. The nice thing about the electoral college is that is works so heavily to trumps favor. 2016 showed that polls are of only limited predictive ability. Converting an approval rating to a probability of a binary outcome more of an art than science.

ReturnOfBestGuest
Guest
ReturnOfBestGuest

Friend, If the economy were “strong” they wouldn’t be printing money and monetizing the debt at record levels.

Dutch
Guest
Dutch

The other Trump problem is that many of those in positions to replace him, or in positions to influence the vote (registrars, attorneys general, etc.), hate his guts, hate the system as it is currently constructed, and have no compunctions about tearing everything down or cheating on a wholesale level. As has been stated here before, power is the measure of success for these people, and going around the rules or flat out gaming the system is a feature, not a bug. If it stirs up conflict and violence, all the better, because it is about tearing everything down and… Read more »

LineInTheSand
Guest
LineInTheSand

Don’t forget that Trump won narrowly and didn’t win the popular vote. His victory depends entirely on the voters in a handful of swing states. The Dems are probably working on how to cheat there. That’s all it takes for him to lose.

Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

Yup. That’s why the uncertainty. All the same I’m not picking up the same enthusiasm the left had the last couple of years. They might stay home, which would make cheating difficult, and Trump might actually get the popular vote this time.

Alzaebo
Guest
Alzaebo

Painter, Line, he got it last time.
Crook County, IL reported 3 million under and the MSM ran with it.

The NSA, with their slightly better database, reported Trump had won the popular vote, also, by 12 million. Crickets.

Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

On that note, who actually certifies federal elections? Or is it some kind of informal tally of state-certified results?

3g4me
Guest
3g4me

The Dems have been working on cheating there for the last four years. There’s no doubt they want no surprises in 2020 like there were in 2016. The repukes, in contrast, have done their usual zilch re voter fraud. As far as turnout, I expect a lot of disappointed 2016 Trump supporters to stay home, but that won’t matter except in those swing states. Hard to predict. If he wins, it will be by a razor’s edge.

MemeWarVet
Guest
MemeWarVet

With regards to sports, I do know of at least one semi-reliable barometer. The Huwitest of sports, the NHL, bases it’s salary cap on “hockey related revenue,” which is essentially 3 things: -ticket sales -merch sales -national & local tv monies Those 3 are totaled up, divided in half, then divided again by 31 (the number of teams) and that’s how much each team gets to spend on salaries. I mention this because the NHL is suddenly becoming “woke”, firing coaches over decade-old accusations and putting on rainbow stick tape days. If the salary cap doesn’t grow, that means regular… Read more »

Ganderson
Guest
Ganderson

What % of capacity (either ticket sales or bums in the seats) does the NHL play to? I’d guess it varies widely from North to South. Went to a Ranger game a few weeks ago- packed, to see an average club. Expensive, though.
The creeping wokeness is annoying. We are now at the point where every negative interaction between a white and a POC is defined as racism.

Matrix
Guest

It’s interesting to see the NHL and NBA floating shorter seasons and weird playoff scenarios. The NBA is starting to really hemorrhage empty seats because fans know that the regular season is a farce. Very few teams have a shot to win a championship. I live in Minnesota and the NHL season goes forever, by the time the playoffs come around we are getting outside again. The NFL has 16 games to concentrate on and teams can turn it around very quickly because of the short life span of players. I’m an MLB guy, although I don’t know Spanish.

MemeWarVet
Guest
MemeWarVet

How is Target Field? Worth catching a game at?

Matrix
Guest

Great venue!

Dutch
Guest
Dutch

Most pro sports were originally treated as carnival acts, like going to the circus or the county fair. Something to do, hang out with friends, and take in the things you see, that you don’t see every day. The way sports embedded themselves into the culture, led by baseball, is a 20th century thing. Think of pro sports returning to their carny roots (it’s a show, not a competition), and you won’t be far off. But this time around, the internet and the rest of the culture offer a lot of alternatives. Pro sports will likely fall into the corners,… Read more »

Screwtape
Guest
Screwtape

One of my unofficial armchair barometers of the decline is the ‘success’ of the NBA. Until the average white man stops paying attention to basketball, the brainwashing suicidal impulse is still robust. At least the NFL maintains some flag-waving and tailgaiting and appeals to regional legacy and clannish nostalgia to keep the rotund wing-eaters mostly content. But the NBA is full ghetto, full idolization of the dark dominance. There is nothing appealing about it for average white guy. Yet the worship rages on. I find it disappointing when my friends chatter on about the NBA. Its strange to me. But… Read more »

DLS
Guest
DLS

The NHL will always be a white sport with white players. Buying ice time and new skates every year for growing young players is a huge barrier to entry. A shared basketball and school yard is much more accessible for the vibrant.

3g4me
Guest
3g4me

The majority of players and enthusiasts will remain White, certainly. But not the commentators or reporters or managers. You will soon have Raju telling you which team to back. The vibrancy/wokeness is transmitted via the (((ones))) with the shekels. Yes, in Canada (and Argentina, and Australia and . . . ).

UFO
Guest
UFO

It will always be a white sport.

But it will go from a tough, conservative white sport to a virtue signalling, leftist, soft white sport.

Think of how annoying white liberals are. At least as bad as Tyrone de’Jackson of the NBA.

UFO
Guest
UFO

Sad but this good Canadian boy no longer watches.

I still play religiously, though. Nobody likes the poz moving in, it’s mostly conservatives, but I don’t see much resistance either. But they do not follow the nhl nearly as much now.

The truth is that hockey was pozzed long before this. It had been getting softer year after year anyways.

Josh
Guest
Josh
MemeWarVet
Guest
Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

Maybe if the upper middle class (phonies) suffer. Proles are already wide awake by the tens of millions but we don’t matter.

On the bright side I look forward to mocking the people who think I’m racist once they get it. That’s about all I can reasonably look forward to. I just hope it doesn’t come too late to salvage something worthwhile.

In spite of it, I’m very optimistic.

Alzaebo
Guest
Alzaebo

That is certainly one the Zman was way, way ahead on. The bigs are plagiarising his ideas, so good on you, Z, if this becomes a preference cascade. I sperged out a tad yesterday, because I’ve stepped foot in a lot of industries and have watched how the immigrants build resiliant back-bench communities. Carving out niche spaces as an anchor for one’s people to attract and form families is community. They do it within the system as it is. Since we’re the refugees now, it’s time to start exploring what can be done. Social organizing, not for political-corporate activism, but… Read more »

Member

Whinging about socialism is the boomer cuck’s crying call. Millions of foreigners invade our land and these losers are whining about muh socialism. JC, give me a break.

MemeWarVet
Guest
MemeWarVet

Notice how you never see a demographic breakdown of these alarmist “Young People Support Socialism!” surveys?

Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

In fairness they grew up in thick of the cold war. Economics was everything. They got some serious indoctrination and that’s the lens they see everything through. Maybe the refugee thing is a perversion of the Marshall plan mentality. Americans sacrifice, but hey we’re trying to create good capitalists. Looks ridiculous to younger people, but I think that’s what’s going on. All this CivNat talk is the sugar coating of market worship.

With that said it takes a lot not to get upset.

Citizen of a Silly Country
Guest
Citizen of a Silly Country

Maybe. But even this article (and its writer) are trapped in the past. The writer still believes that we are in Ideological Age when we have moved to the Demographic Age. That’s the great divide between us and Joe Normie conservative/Republican.

The Left made that journey long ago. The Right hasn’t.

Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

The right might as well be called the old left because thats what it amounts to. DR might as well be called the real right.

ReturnOfBestGuest
Guest
ReturnOfBestGuest

That was a great article, Josh. Thanks for the link. It’s encouraging that many folks (our Z-man and Tucker especially) are beginning to “notice” that the system is rigged against us.

Outdoorspro
Guest
Outdoorspro

Happy New Year to Z-man, readers and commenters. May we all be prepared for what’s to come. Looking forward to the long-awaited Z-book sometime this year perhaps…? On the Facebook thing, I think it’s a generational thing. People of a certain age, such as our host and myself, were around to witness the birth and evolution of the internet and social media. Hell, I remember when I was a college student giving presentations to other students on “this is email”. Seems so long ago. Younger generations have always had it and can’t imagine a world without it. To them, it’s… Read more »

3g4me
Guest
3g4me

A related tidbit re generational things – I’m sure you’ve seen videos of modern kids trying to figure out how to use an old rotary phone, or various other ‘primitive’ technology. Well, my friend told me a new one. When making cookies with her niece, said niece (16) didn’t know how to use the electric can opener, because everything is a pop-top now. Made me laugh, because I had to learn how to use a manual can opener when I went to England in 1980, having grown up with the electric version.

Josh
Guest
Josh

I’m going to predict that Hillary runs again, Joe Biden says something and does something stupid, and that Chocolate Jesus continues to keep his mouth shut because he was involved with the spying on Trump.

Marko
Guest
Marko

Nah, the entire group of candidates would have to die in a plane crash before Hillary would run again. They will ignore an interesting candidate who could actually beat Trump for a centrist snoozer who “polls well in Michigan”. I still think Warren or Biden is the best bet.

Alzaebo
Guest
Alzaebo

“the entire group of candidates would have to die in a plane crash”

Don’t give Her Majesty any ideas, Mr. Wellstone, Mr. Stevens, Mr. Who-was-it-last-week?

Yves Vannes
Member

I’ve heard through the grapevine that Gavin Newsom is monitoring things closely. He’s probably planning on 2024 but Wetbackifornia is decaying rapidly. Waiting another 4 years may put him in the position of having to explain why California has gone full third world shithole. If the demo convention goes full chimpout he may decide now is better than later. Today he has Trump as a foil. 4 years from now it’s explaining California. He’s arrogant and ambitious without being all that smart. Maybe as Joe’s “can do” VP. Joe resigns for health reasons after a year. He sees the window… Read more »

3g4me
Guest
3g4me

I cannot be the only one who gets a bad taste in her mouth from Trump Jr. snuggling with Gavin’s half Puerto Rican ex. Talk about bad taste.

Marko
Guest
Marko

Imma go out on a limb and say 2020 is the year the Democrats implode. The GOP will continue with one sleepy foot in chamber-of-commercialism and one sleepy foot in milquetoast nationalism. Trump will win. If I’m right, the Dems will splinter. I don’t think they’ll be trounced like Labour was, but hatreds run deep among leftists. Trump’s win will turn the Dems into an uncomfortable pairing of the socialist left (“AOC”) and the nationalist left (“Gabbard”) and limousine libs like Pelosi and Biden will be finally discredited. The 2020s will see which flavor of leftism wins out. Meanwhile, the… Read more »

Member

The Dims are so ripe for self immolation that it’s a testimony to the the stunning stupidity of the GOP that they remain solvent.
Foe example. Importing a Kenyan into the US increases his output of “greenhouse gas” emissions by a factor of 15.
US immigration policy is a major contributor to this vital planetary crisis and not a word from the “right”.
Anybody can come up with half a dozen of these in fifteen minutes.

Reality Check
Guest
Reality Check

At what point does it become obvious that the republi-frauds are not being stupid, they are in on it. They Want third world immigration as much as the left. On the major issues we have a uni-party.

Drake
Guest
Drake

I am operating under the assumption that Trump wins fairly easily next year and muddle through 4 more years somewhat like the last. I think the mid-2o’s is when things may take a very nasty turn.

greyenlightenment
Guest

4 more years like the last three.more trade deals with china and nothing about immigration or any undoing of policy by the left. just keep muddling along.

Pursuvant
Guest
Pursuvant

The 1930’s Quantum Mechanics (QM) gave the world a formalized Materialism as philosophy – the big bang, then matter, time, space, world’s form, humans evolve, and at the last moment a little packet of consciousness magically appears in brains, made of this dead, inert stuff called matter. So science says, but can’t even begin to explain how, or what, consciousness is. That last magic step of consciousness emerging from brains, I’ve never accepted. Last 15 years of QM discoveries are discrediting matter – it looks fundamentally unreal like Bohr & Hisenberg said. So just for fun my prediction is matter,… Read more »

Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

Consider the uncertainty principle. You can measure the position or the momentum of a particle with certainty but not both, if I remember. Why? Because observing something affects it. Which blew up scientific materialism for me. All of a sudden, things look a lot more mysterious. Haven’t been able to take science as seriously since.

Dutch
Guest
Dutch

We ascribe either scientific-like assumptions or mysterious oogly-boogly to the things we cannot understand. Perhaps it is time for humans to empirically figure out the things we can, but simply let the things we do not understand be what they are, and accept that there are things beyond our ken. Human nature, hubris, and the need to lord things over other people will not allow such an acceptance of that.

Alzaebo
Guest
Alzaebo

I’m going to disagree with that “beyond our ken”, because I think that’s why we’re here– and why white is White.

We’re meant to figure it out, while the authorities insist on leading us down the primrose path instead.

Mythified political propaganda?
Magic?
Play-acting?

Nah. Painterstorm’s (and your’s) spidey-sense is correct… there’s something more at work here. A something that can satisfy both the faithful and the materialist.

I propose we go exploring.
Stupid s.o.b. that I am, I intend to make such voyaging possible. That’s my prediction.

Pursuvant
Guest
Pursuvant

I’m just fascinated by the nature of mind and how the quantum guys are breaking materialism at the book binding. Are you thought, or are you that which is aware of thought? Are you sensation (body) or are you that which is aware of sensation? Are you the taste of tea, or that which is aware of the taste of tea? That which is aware is awareness itself, consciousness, knowing, three words for the same non-subjective experience. Try this. Have you ever experienced anything that was not in awareness? Could you ever experience anything if it was not in awareness?… Read more »

Dutch
Guest
Dutch

Great conversation going on here. My beef is that people pigeon hole things, especially when they dress up speculations as “facts” (global warming, anyone?). Not only is it wrong-o but it inhibits the free thinking that comes up with new ideas and speculations. To pretend that something unknown or partially understood is “fact” or “settled” is a crime against our intelligence.

Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

Btw the primacy of consciousness sounds very Buddhist. All is mind, all is empty.

I smell a rat.

If this is where science is taking us it’s one more reason for extreme skepticism.

Personally I’m into dualities: God/Satan, good/evil, man/woman, mind/body, reason/emotion, life/death, light/darkness. They’re everywhere and their interplay is creative. I can imagine a universe of oneness being a very cold place.

It probably sounds occultic but as long as you remember evil is something to fight it’s almost perfectly Christian. Without evil there’s no reason to discriminate or seek the good.

Kweiler
Guest
Kweiler

Re the primacy of consciousness – “In the beginning was the Word, and the Word was with God, and the Word was God.” John 1:1

Pursuvant
Guest
Pursuvant

Yes Kw, this is the last thing physists want to be discovered. Imagine having to tell world culture after they indoctrinated all that God is dead and that the physical world is made of dead stuff called matter – then having to admit their interpretation was wrong, completely, fundamentally. Admitting they have empirical evidence proving it is this spiritual like stuff called consciousness that brings everything into appearance that we call reality. In religious terms they would be saying not only God created the world, but he did more than just set it in motion, He is the foundation “substance”… Read more »

Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

At the risk of getting theological, if this is even theological and not simply logical, where I get hung up is the notion that creation can happen if everything is of one substance. You could come to the conclusion that we’re all just aspects of God— even Satan would be. Then obeying God is a contradiction, and the fight against evil is a rebellion. Any differences or distinctions would ultimately be in error. Creation would be an illusion, at least to my mind, and that would lead to nihilism. There is the Creator and His creation. They’re distinct but related.… Read more »

Doofenshmertz Evil, Inc.
Guest

When it comes to predictions, I don’t get into details, I only do big picture. Some time around 2005, when it was becoming clear even to the blind what a grift and a work of nonsense and deceit the whole Iraq war was, I was talking politics with a relative who is a sort of unthinking, non-noticing bien pensant liberal in the most anodyne way. Even she was starting to express quasi red pill concerns. Here was my prediction. I told her, “Nothing is going to happen and no one is going to do anything. The only thing that really… Read more »

G706
Guest
G706

Where’s Perry?

Mike
Guest
Mike

Great name!

MemeWarVet
Guest
MemeWarVet

Nice to see we have so many Phineas & Ferb fans on this board!

Compsci
Guest
Compsci

Doof, here, here. During my Christmas shopping, I sat at the food court in Costco, eating a quick lunch. In the half hour I sat, the entire world passed by (heading toward the exit). There were Muslims (judging from the burka clad wives), Somali’s (all pushing 7 feet tall and thin as a rail), Hispanic families of course, mixed couples (mostly White women, Black males—but also a few Asians with White males), Indians (with a dot) in sarees, a grandma or two with daughter and a darkish grandchild (all too common these days), and so on. In short, the exodus… Read more »

greyenlightenment
Guest

so much for the “diversity will cause unrest” narrative.

Compsci
Guest
Compsci

Well, everyone was buying something. Not sure why unrest would occur. Now on the other hand, should we need to deal with one another in a non-transactional manner…

Member

Unrest does not happen when you have money to buy the crap you probably don’t need, now imagine what happens if that same group at Costco does not have enough money to buy the things they need??

Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

Community? Was missing, I mean.

Citizen of a Silly Country
Guest
Citizen of a Silly Country

Our enemies are very confident of the future. The smarter ones know that they’ve won the demographic war so they assume the larger war is over. They’re wrong. They assume things will run just as before only with them in charge, and whites acquiescing to our new role as helots. That won’t happen. A country where blacks and Hispanics make up 40% of the population and whites 50% won’t run as smoothly one with 15% blacks and 85% whites. My prediction is that our enemies will gain more authority even as they lose legitimacy, particularly among whites. The future is… Read more »

Marko
Guest
Marko

I would add: embrace being the overclass. White people are declining but we still have our innate civilizational skills, and instead of “having a country” we should pivot to “running a country”.

3g4me
Guest
3g4me

Just like Whites keep South Africa still funcitoning, albeit barely? No thanks. We need to run things for our own people. Let clown world rely on its denizens to keep the lights on.

Member

Citizen, the political class is already rapidly losing legitimacy along with credibility. Just wait until things get really nasty going forward. It’s inevitable. Amity Schlaes has just written a book about the debacle of the Great Society. You know things are moving in our direction when historians begin to deconstruct the civil rights era.

Paintersforms
Guest
Paintersforms

Exactly right. I think the increasing craziness is evidence they’re losing control, not tightening their grip. Also evidence the opportunity is there for each of us to be the greatest we can on our own terms. Those buying into the system today are building on sand.

G Lordon Giddy
Guest
G Lordon Giddy

I will make a few predictions The NFL will recover unless they are stupid enough to allow another Kappernick to rise up. White people love sports and will tolerate a lot of crap to keep it. Drug legalization such as marijuana will continue at the state level which will be used to divert attention from just how bad finances are getting in the woke states. Sexualization of Americans will continue for the same reason that drug legalization will continue to divert our attention from the lower living standards of the next generation of whites. We will continue to be pushed… Read more »

G Lordon Giddy
Guest
G Lordon Giddy

I read that as of January1st Illinois residents must pay sales tax on auto trade ins as well as sales tax on auto purchases.
But hey! Marijuana is legal.
So get high and forget about the sad financial shape the state is in.

Member

In California we already do that, but then again it was sunny and 60F today here, what was it like in Chiberia?

Dutch
Guest
Dutch

Never underestimate the public’s propensity to allow itself to be outraged about things, or people’s willingness to cheat if they think they won’t get caught. The two things driving our culture today, just fill in the blanks associated with them.

UFO
Guest
UFO

People are having less sex than ever.

Chris_Lutz
Member

The two things I figured would happen didn’t pan out. First, I figured, correctly, the phony Russia probe would fizzle, and then, incorrectly, Dems would then settle into running for reelection. Their insanity over this has surprised me. Second, I figured after the Hillary debacle, the Dems would never run a white for president again. It would be the first ‘X’ to run for president this time. Instead, the leading candidates are betting pool contenders for which white guy dies on stage first. For this year, I think a big question is how Jews respond to their collapsing control of… Read more »

Carl B.
Guest
Carl B.

For this year, I think a big question is how Jews respond to their collapsing control of the Democrat party.

Collapsing control? Wishful thinking. The Media is the Democrat Party and the Media is controlled entirely by secular Jews. They’re not going anywhere. Besides, Linda Ronstadt says “Mexicans are the New Jews!”

2020 begins the Roaring-Not-In-A-Good-Way-Twenties.

Dutch
Guest
Dutch

Perhaps “collapsing control” is actually “cleaning house” for what comes next from them.

John Smith
Member

In all fairness I don’t think anyone saw the Donk meltdown coming – in spite of the fact that it was utterly and obviously inevitable. Cripes, look at the kind of people they are voting for: senile boomers, retarded vibrants, feminist rage heads and sexual degenerates…? Anything those kind of people get involved in eventually turns into a shit show. We all should have seen it coming…

I am predicting the Donks get wiped out in the next election.

james wilson
Member

Well and good that the Donks get wiped out but all recent history informs that they will be replaced by the Dorks.

Mark Stoval
Guest
Mark Stoval

I like the old Irishman who said that he preferred to do his prognostications after the fact. Or as the old country people used to say: hindsight is 20/20.

Happy New Year to all here; and may God bless you and yours.

Doofenshmertz Evil, Inc.
Guest

As the old Irish doorman at Abbey Road Studios famously said: “There is no Dark Side of the Moon, really; as a matter of fact it’s ALL dark.”

Nicholas Digger, Sr.
Guest
Nicholas Digger, Sr.

Nice job, Z-Man! Thank you, again, for what you do.

I made a single prediction: that not a single one of the bad actors and principals in the ongoing attempted coup would be prosecuted for their crimes. I’m predicting the same for 2020.

And Epstein didn’t kill himself.

Member

Yeah, the Facebook/artificial intelligence/super high-tech mind-reading industry is sort of a scam. The Facebook scam is to use super geniuses to track your cookies and offer up some ads from the last place you visited. Wow. Sometimes they do a super sophisticated category match, where if you looked at REI you will get ads for other outdoor gear. Amazing. But the marketing peeps love to be told there is some magic bullet. They love that story about Target finding the pregnant teen before her parents knew about it, as if sending coupons for diapers to women who spend time in… Read more »

Member

Time to channel my inner Clubber Lang. My prediction for 2020?

Pain.

Member

Also, I would be curious to get a recap on your blog traffic for the year. I have to assume it has been on a steady incline.

Member

Are you gonna do some 2020 predictions?

Ifrank
Guest

Ramzpaul is making some predictions. Scary, but not far fetched. The trends are what they are:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DfMdrMFPoi8&feature=youtu.be

LineInTheSand
Guest
LineInTheSand

If you think Trump wins easily in 2020, watch that video. Start at about the 4 minute mark.

Compsci
Guest
Compsci

In 2016, my wife stayed up to watch the election results. I went to bed and slept like a baby. Not that I was confident in the unexpected results which transpired, or disheartened by the early news and State calls. Simply, I just didn’t care—at least not enough to cause me a sleepless night. Detachment is my last survival mechanism. I’m hopeful it will see me through to the end.

Carl B.
Guest
Carl B.

Bernie Sanders in a landslide? Sorry, I cannot take that guy seriously ever again. Period.

G Lordon Giddy
Guest
G Lordon Giddy

Good stuff from RamZ. My prediction is a Trump win in 2020 and maybe the dems can’t hold the house which is different than RamZ. I just don’t see the loony democrats winning in 2020. By 2024 though demographically we will have changed enough by then and I for certain don’t see Pence winning and as much as I would like to see it I don’t see Tucker or an equivalent winning either.
Mid 2020’s is when the stuff gets real is my thoughts at this point.

Carl B.
Guest
Carl B.

It gets real the day after Trump’s re-election. The Left and the Deep State will go full Cultural Revolution. Thank the Godz that it is a secret ballot. The repercussions for voting Trump/Republican will be devastating.

Outdoorspro
Guest
Outdoorspro

This has been my view for a while now. What ever you do, don’t be near any big cities on that day.

Marko
Guest
Marko

I don’t quite agree with the “conserva-boomers are dying off” theory of why Trump will lose. Yes, immigrants tend to be Democratic, but they also don’t vote, and there are plenty of immigrants who dislike Democrats simply because of the trans/gay/abortion issues. Trump is still fairly popular, and not just among whites.

Compsci
Guest
Compsci

Marko, I used to think so as well. But lately I’m not so sure. Seems the Dem party has the lock on appeal to ethnic/racial/religious divisions. One may peal a few percent off of the Dem majority for any classification, but as long as Whites split 50/50, we are doomed.

Compsci
Guest
Compsci

I am always ready to make predictions—all in good fun of course—but then I think, on what basis do I make such? A wiser commenter than I has suggested a coin flip. ;-). Z-man of course nailed it succinctly in stating most predictions are really wishful thinking. The reality is that much of the information I would use comes from the same sources we all decry as “fake” news. A prediction on my part would seem a contradiction in beliefs. So I’ll hold off and continue to “speak about that which I do know”—which in this day and age is… Read more »

Mark Stoval
Guest
Mark Stoval

Z-Man, I have a blog post title for you if you ever get the time and feel like it:

WHAT IS RIGHT-WING POPULISM?

After all, all writers get “writer’s block” sometimes. At that point dig out the above title and have at it!

Severian
Guest

Happy new year to the best blog (and comment section!) on the internet.

james wilson
Member

57% is not marginal in the professional betting world. I played baseball with a fellow who ran millions for a syndicate betting games every day. 53% is marginal, 57% is the far end of the bell curve. In politics, the media bat 0% as witnessed by the ’16 election. The CIA has wiffed on all the big ones. So no, hang a 57% shingle and they will come.

HamburgerToday
Guest
HamburgerToday

There is an interesting science fiction novel from the 1980s called ‘Courtship Rite’ by Donald Kingsbury in which social status is partially determined by predicting the future. Zman would probably do pretty well.

Drake
Guest
Drake

As I get older and grumpier my predictions are usually: “things will continue to suck worse”. Sports, politics, entertainment, cars, and society in general – that’s my prediction.

Ifrank
Guest

Change is constant. There are many many more ways a change can make things worse than there are to make things better. The more changes, the more likely things will get worse.

Dutch
Guest
Dutch

As a car guy, through and through, I will go on the record that cars are better. The objective qualities of the new cars are awesome. The base model Honda Accord is light years ahead of anything offered not too many years ago. What the new cars don’t have is the personality, the quirks, and the ability to upgrade and tailor them to make them better and more personal. The choice of the car you bring home, and what you do to it, don’t matter any more. Most importantly, they aren’t aspirational, no “wait until next year” and no “so… Read more »

Compsci
Guest
Compsci

Dutch, agreed—if we are talking about reliability and performance. However, I fear in the next decade or so, cars will not longer be cars. They will be robotically controlled and driven conveyances which the government allows you to pay for, but not to enjoy control of. Sort of like our government.

Drake
Guest
Drake

In 1991 I had a Honda Prelude Si. It had unassisted rack and pinion steering until you got below 10 mph. It had a smooth 5-speed manual, handled great, and a little motor that could wind up like a 2-stroke. Nothing as fun is available at a reasonable price. Just demanding a manual eliminates 90% of the cars. Most are just computer operated generic boredom. Ford killed their Focus RS which I almost bought a couple of years ago.

Compsci
Guest
Compsci

My son, just the other day, described what you explained in one word, “entropy”. Thanks for elaborating. 😉

Merfolk
Guest
Merfolk

I predict a quiet year. Impeachment will go nowhere. Biden will get the nomination and beat trump. We will return to something like the Obama years, yet without the radical racial politics. This is not necessarily for the better because torpor and complacency are what got us into this mess. The only way we might see some action would be if warren or sanders got the nomination and/or if there is a really close election with accusations of criminality and fraud. Then the population might be stirred to ructions, the scale depending on circumstances. I myself prefer not to have… Read more »

Merfolk
Guest
Merfolk

I would for far future predictions, after Biden and his immediate successors, I think the democrats will only be able to offer up these weird identity type candidates like aoc and buttigeg. Business won’t like them and they will have trouble winning states like California and Illinois. All the dems with centrist, clintonesque type views, such as Biden and blumberg, are very old. Actually a reign of milquetoast centrist republicans like sasse will ensue, which could last as late as 2040ish. But then the demographics will hit a tipping point where it’s impossible for a republican to win and shortly… Read more »

Dutch
Guest
Dutch

Star Wars always sucked. Why watch an update with “gee whiz” space graphics, when you could get the real thing from any WW2 propaganda movie, complete with real men, pretty women, and awesome airplane visuals and sounds?

Now get off my lawn! 😉

Mike Walner
Guest
Mike Walner

Biden won’t even be the nominee.

Drake
Guest
Drake

If he is, the media won’t be able to hide all his crazy senior moments and his kid’s corruption. Trump would mock him mercilessly and win in a landslide.
The old jackass just told the press that fossil fuel executives should be jailed. How did nobody ask him about Board Members? https://townhall.com/tipsheet/cortneyobrien/2019/12/30/biden-obliviously-tells-press-that-fossil-fuel-execs-should-be-jailed-n2558679

Member

Year-end “You can’t make this shit up.”

An instrumental metal album that is, in the words of the artist “all about our oncoming climate apocalypse.”

Yes, the distorted guitars symbolize the rise of the oceans.

And, the, um, distorted guitars symbolize the drowning cities.

And the … distorted guitars symbolize the fascists being drowned.

And the drums are, just drums, man.

https://stelliferous.bandcamp.com/album/clathrate

Anon
Guest
Anon

2019 is at an end and one of its memorable trends in the on-line world has been the accelerating facebookification of Youtube, whose old “Broadcast Yourself” motto has evidently been replaced by “Start your own tribe”. Since roughly 2017 dissident Youtubers have been moving from soapboxing in the town square to preaching to the converted to now tending to a flock within their own personal echo chamber. This was helped along by the rise in popularity of streaming as a broadcasting style, the successive rounds of adpocalypsing which forced creators to chase fans, not views, and a general realization that… Read more »

Member

the investigations can never stop. This is how they tie up evidence. It’s all so they can say “I can’t discuss on ongoing investigation” when unpleasant questions are asked.

Member

OT: An entire column written around the idea that diversity can work if we just try hard enough.

History apparently started yesterday and nobody has been trying hard since 1619.

The author: “Eli Steinberg lives in New Jersey with his wife and five children.”

He lives in Lakewood, which is 84.33% White, 6.35% Black. I’m sure it’s just a coincidence and the schools are good.

“Do as I say, not as I do.”

Francis
Guest
Francis

Scott Adams is pretty good about recapping and evaluating his predictions.

Member

Facebook is great for local marketing. When used correctly it’s a powerful tool.

Vegetius
Guest
Vegetius

One of the positive things about 2019 was how almost every voice that matters on this side of things began to settle down and do their own thing instead of engaging in dumbass jihads against each other. I do not know why this happened, only that it was a good thing.

Hope for the future…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2YVrF2DdTp0

Member

Sad to see so many commenters are clueless about the appeal of the Democrats. Insane candidates may turn off the swing voters so there is a chance Orange Man Bad can win in 2020. But the insanity is irrelevant to 90 plus precent of the Democratic base. After all, how many third world nations do you see with sound governance? The Democratic party is increasingly built around people who want what the white man has. Many of them, including single white women, cannot compete with the white man on an equal playing field. The Democratic party guarantees them that they… Read more »