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One of the challenges on this side of the great divide is in convincing people that there is no solution within the system to the problems of the system. In other words, there is no voting our way out of this crisis. It is only through altering the system, perhaps even replacing it, that there can be meaningful change. This is a truth that even many people on this side of the divide struggle to accept. Generations of conditioning have trained us to vote harder, rather than act smarter.
The main reason there is no solution at the ballot box is demographics. The people in charge are quickly replacing the old white population with a new, vibrant and diverse population that naturally prefers managerialism. The tens of millions of new Americans love their managers more than they love life itself. In elections, they look for the candidates and the party that promises to take care of them. This institutional lock on the system will be clear in the coming election.
If we take the last census and break out the population into logical identity blocks, you end up with Black, Hispanic, East Asian, Jewish, South Asian, Liberal Whites, Conservative Whites, Undecided Whites, Other. Breaking out South Asian from general Asian is necessary as Indians are not Chinese. Other is required as we have Africans and West Asians arriving in record numbers. Using past voting habits and using the last census, 2024 looks like this.
Undecided Whites Break 25% Authoritarian | |||
Vote Break 2024 | |||
Demographic | Percentage | Democrat | Republican |
Black | 12.00 | 10.80 | 1.20 |
Hispanic | 15.00 | 9.90 | 5.10 |
East Asian | 3.00 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
Jewish | 2.00 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
South Asian | 2.00 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
Liberal Whites | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 |
Conservative Whites | 25.60 | 0.00 | 25.60 |
Undecided Whites | 22.40 | 5.60 | 16.80 |
Other | 2.00 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
Totals | 100 | 50.16 | 49.84 |
Now, these numbers are based on the 2020 census. We have to adjust a bit for the rapid aging of the white population. Then you have the issue of self-identifying that often confuses things. There are lots of people who tick the Hispanic box because it pays better but will tick the white box around friends. There is a little guesswork on breaking out these groups, but it is close enough. Assuming a quarter of the undecided white vote breaks for the regime, the regime wins.
This is the chart that gives the vote harder people hope. Win over some of that undecided white vote and you have a slim majority. This is what Trump was able to do in 2016, but by 2020 the math was working against him. As things currently stand, a Republican must find some way to motivate the anti-regime vote, while not scaring the undecided white vote too much. If such a miracle formula is found, the best we can expect is a result something like this.
Undecided Whites Break 10% Authoritarian | |||
Vote Break 2024 | |||
Demographic | Percentage | Democrat | Republican |
Black | 12.00 | 10.80 | 1.20 |
Hispanic | 15.00 | 9.90 | 5.10 |
East Asian | 3.00 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
Jewish | 2.00 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
South Asian | 2.00 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
Liberal Whites | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 |
Conservative Whites | 25.60 | 0.00 | 25.60 |
Undecided Whites | 22.40 | 2.24 | 20.16 |
Other | 2.00 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
Totals | 100 | 46.8 | 53.2 |
That looks heartening, until you roll forward to 2030:
Undecided Whites Break 10% Authoritarian | |||
Vote Break 2030 | |||
Demographic | Percentage | Democrat | Republican |
Black | 13.00 | 11.70 | 1.30 |
Hispanic | 17.00 | 11.22 | 5.78 |
East Asian | 3.00 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
Jewish | 2.00 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
South Asian | 3.00 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
Liberal Whites | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 |
Conservative Whites | 24.00 | 0.00 | 24.00 |
Undecided Whites | 21.00 | 2.10 | 18.90 |
Other | 2.00 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
Totals | 100 | 48.86 | 51.14 |
Not to put too fine a point on it, but this is 2040:
Undecided Whites Break 10% Authoritarian | |||
Vote Break 2040 | |||
Demographic | Percentage | Democrat | Republican |
Black | 14.00 | 12.60 | 1.40 |
Hispanic | 18.00 | 11.88 | 6.12 |
East Asian | 5.00 | 3.30 | 1.70 |
Jewish | 2.00 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
South Asian | 5.00 | 4.90 | 0.10 |
Liberal Whites | 12.50 | 12.50 | 0.00 |
Conservative Whites | 20.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 |
Undecided Whites | 17.50 | 1.75 | 15.75 |
Other | 6.00 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
Totals | 100 | 54.77 | 45.23 |
Now, these are all back of the envelope numbers and you can quibble about the break downs and breakouts. As is true of all models, you can create the reality that you like with the right amount of tweaking. What matters here is that under ideal conditions, responsive government requires something close to a perfect storm of conditions and actors on the political stage. Otherwise, the sheer weight of the demographic changes lets the managerial class rule unopposed.
There is something else. Assuming the managerial class continues with the theater of democracy, the two parties will continue to shift away from the dispossessed minority of whites who prefer responsive government. This has been happening for a long time now and will only accelerate with the browning of America. It is why both parties now support open borders. It is why the Republicans are silent on the antiwhite rhetoric coming from the other side.
The fact is, within the lifetime and most reading this, competitive national elections will come to an end. At best they will be ceremonial personality contest between figures who agree on all of the important issue. More important, that 40% of the population that prefers responsive government will have no representation. Democracy will no longer offer them anything. In order to get the managerial class to respond, they will have to find means outside of the democratic process.
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