And the Loop is Closed

When the Tea Party got going, a lot of people thought this was it. The normal people of America were going to first wrestle the GOP away from the donor class and then use it to wrestle the country back from the lunatics. I recall seeing a guy walking around my office building wearing a little tea bag lapel pin. He was typical. An older and less vibrant fellow, properly aware of his  own backpack of privilege, but rightly concerned with all the vibrancy going on around him, or whatever.

Those were heady days and all for naught. The bipartisan fusion party has carried the day.

Tea Party Republicans contemplating a bid to oust Rep. John Boehner (R-Ohio) shouldn’t count on Democrats to help them unseat the Speaker.

And without their support, there is no chance to topple Boehner in this Congress.

A number of right-wing Republicans, long wary of Boehner’s commitment to GOP efforts attacking President Obama’s policy priorities, have openly considered a coup in an attempt to transfer the gavel into more conservative hands.

But Democrats from across an ideological spectrum say they’d rather see Boehner remain atop the House than replace him with a more conservative Speaker who would almost certainly be less willing to reach across the aisle in search of compromise. Replacing him with a Tea Party Speaker, they say, would only bring the legislative process — already limping along — to a screeching halt.

I love that line, “Democrats from across an ideological spectrum.” Yeah, all those pro-life, families values Democrats are making a difference.

“I’d probably vote for Boehner [because] who the hell is going to replace him? [Ted] Yoho?” Rep. Bill Pascrell (D-N.J.) said Wednesday, referencing the Florida Tea Party Republican who’s fought Boehner on a host of bipartisan compromise bills.

“In terms of the institution, I would rather have John Boehner as the Speaker than some of these characters who came here thinking that they’re going to change the world,” Pascrell added.

Liberal Rep. Raúl Grijalva (D-Ariz.) agreed that, for Democrats, replacing Boehner could lead to a worse situation.

“Then we would get Scalise or somebody? Geez, come on,” said Grijalva, who referenced House Majority Whip Steve Scalise (R-La.). “We can be suicidal but not stupid.”

Boehner, who has grappled with dissent from the Tea Party wing since he took the Speaker’s gavel in 2011, has seen opposition to his reign grow this year, even as he commands the largest GOP majority since the Hoover administration.

That’s led to talk of a new coup, something that is more difficult to pull off after the election of a Speaker on each Congress’s first day of business.

Any lawmaker can file a motion to “vacate” a sitting Speaker, a move that would force a vote of the full House. The effort would almost certainly fail, as the conservatives would need the overwhelming support of Democrats to win a majority. But it would be an embarrassing setback to Boehner and his leadership team, who entered the year hoping their commanding new majority would alleviate some of the whipping problems that had plagued them in the past.

The new push back against Boehner began in the earliest stages of the new Congress when 25 conservatives voted in January to strip him of the Speaker’s gavel.

Boehner’s troubles have only mounted since then, as conservatives have thwarted a number of his early legislative priorities, including a border security bill, an anti-abortion measure and a proposal to limit the federal government’s role in public education — all considered by GOP leaders to be easy-pass bills that would highlight their new power in Obama’s final two years in the White House.

More recently, Boehner’s decision this week to pass a “clean” bill funding the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has exacerbated conservatives’ concerns about his leadership.

As proof of the discontent, 167 Republicans bucked their leadership by opposing the DHS package. Their votes protested Boehner’s move to strip out provisions undoing Obama’s executive actions shielding millions of immigrants living illegally in the U.S. from deportation.

Rep. Matt Salmon (R-Ariz.) called Boehner’s capitulation “a sad day for America.”

“If we aren’t going to fight now, when are we going to fight?” he said Tuesday just before the vote.

Every Democrat joined 75 Republicans in passing the bill.

In the midst of that debate, a number of Tea Party Republicans warned that they’d consider an attempt to topple Boehner if he caved to Obama’s demand for a clean DHS bill.

“If it happened, conservatives would be outraged,” said one such conservative who voted against Boehner in January. The lawmaker predicted that the coup attempt might not come immediately but warned the Speaker, “It’s a long year.”

Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), chairman of the conservative Freedom Caucus and a critic of Boehner’s legislative moves, said recently that no coup is in the works.

“That’s not the point,” Jordan said on CNN’s “State of the Union” program. “The point is to do what we told the voters we were going to do and do it in a way that’s consistent with the United States Constitution.”

Citing Jordan’s comments, top Democrats have punted on the question of whether they would support a coup. Rep. Steny Hoyer (Md.), the Democratic whip, acknowledged that there are “some disgruntled people who are talking about it,” but predicted that no such effort will materialize.

“If Jordan’s not talking about — he’s the head of the Freedom Caucus — it’s not going to happen,” Hoyer said this week.

The casual way in which the Democrats discuss GOP party politics is the big story here. It never goes the other way. The Liberal Democrats are a black box. No one knows what’s going on in their deep state. But, the GOP is an open book because they are essentially the straight man in this show. They are the Washington Generals to the Democrats Harlem Globetrotters. Theirs is a is a supporting role.

We’ve seen this across Europe. The countries in deep trouble has seen their main parties just about fuse into one. In Britain, the Tories are in government with the Liberal Democrats, allegedly their ideological opposite. The result is every election gets the same result. In America, giving the GOP control of Congress has changed nothing. Voters can be forgiven if they might conclude it was all a big scam.

8 thoughts on “And the Loop is Closed

  1. It’s all a junk show now. Shrillary will not be the nominee. Neither will Jeb. The negatives for both keep piling up. Yeah, it makes sense that the Deep State is looking for a Repub this time around, but the whole thing is up in the air at this point. Never count the black swan out. Did anyone predict Obama? It wasn’t possible because he was very obviously a plant.

  2. I have a tough time putting “Lindsey Graham” and “straight man” in the same sentence.

  3. “the GOP is an open book because they are essentially the straight man”

    How about Lindsey Graham? He said he represents “Mainstream Conservatism”.

  4. Years ago, when talk of unseating Boehner started rumbling in the comments sections of conservative blogs across the fruited plain, I asserted that Boehner would never be unseated because Pelosi and the Democrats would save his bacon. I was, of course, laughed at. Now, I am only surprised that this is being openly discussed. But perhaps not. I think the whole point to this is to disillusion conservatives and convince them to stay home in 2016.

    What needs to be understood is that the Democrat wing of the Caste does not want to win the White House in the next cycle or two. They need a hawk, and the Democrats don’t do hawk anymore; it’s not part of the brand. Obama is off the reservation on Iran and the Middle East, and the Caste will want a Republican to fix things. Also, Obamacare is designed to collapse, which needs to happen on the other side’s watch, and entitlements need to be gutted. Maybe a bit more focus on the economy as well, all things best left to the GOP.

    That’s where Jeb Bush comes in. He entered the race declaring war on his base. That is by design. Hillary is a hawkish centrist but she’s inept and, more importantly, a loose cannon who can’t be trusted. The Caste doesn’t want her, any more than they wanted her in ’08. She’ll run, but so damaged by revelations engineered by her own party that she can’t win. If all goes according to plan Jeb will be in place to pick up the pieces with his newfangled Compassionate Conservatism, but he can only get out of the primary if dispirited conservatives give up and stay home.

    Think this is ridiculous? Where’s Ted Cruz been lately. Quiet as a door mouse, snug and warm in a nest of Sheldon Adelson’s money. Mike Lee’s been taken to the Mormon woodshed, and is also out of commission. Rand Paul is busy in Guate handing out designer contact lenses to future Democrat voters, while sending Facebook updates to Mitch McConnell. A couple of fire breathers in the House and a drunken Ann Coulter weeping at midnight on Mitt Romney’s lawn are not going to make much of a difference.

    It’s going to be a hell of an election.

  5. The third party gambit, while emotionally attractive, would be a lot tougher than taking over the Republican party. The party structure is there, the founding principles are there, it just takes a lot of grinding work. The question is, what is needed to bump 20-30 million or so people off the dime and into full angry hornet mode?

    A nuke on Savannah harbor, or Port of L.A.? Forced homosexual indoctrination in elementary school? A massive bank run? Some other kind of economic collapse?

  6. I think that the only hope that the Tea Partiers have is to go full Cortez, burn their boats, and start a third party. Someone correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe that the third party gambit only worked once and it had the unfortunate second order effect of kicking off the American Civil War.

    • This old story from Sean Trende points out that millions of voters dropped from the turnout in 2012. The Haven Monahan community, as Steve Sailer would put it, is staying home more and more each election. In mid-terms, the vibrant don’t vote so the GOP is competing with the Lib-Dems for the responsible, thus making it a wipe out for the GOP. In presidential elections, the trend is reversed. despite it being their turn, the GOP should not be favored in 2016 for this reason.

      At some point, someone is going to figure out how to tap those boycotting the system.

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