This weekend, the heads of the NATO families were supposed to meet to discuss the “victory plan” for Ukraine created by Volodymyr Zelensky, but the meeting has been cancelled, allegedly due to the weather. Joe Biden was supposed to attend but dropped out on Tuesday due to hurricane Milton. The peace summit Zelensky was planning was also cancelled. When Zelensky was in Washington last month he was given millions to hold a second peace conference.
One thing that was supposed to be discussed at this meeting was a plan that has been in the works for eighteen months according to the Financial Times. This story covers the basics of the new plan for victory. Russia would be handed a deal whereby they get to hold the lands they have, Ukraine joins NATO, but promises to not start a war to reclaim those lands and at some point in the future, Russia will give back those lands to Ukraine for reasons no one can explain.
The scheme is ridiculous, which is probably why the intel service planted the story in the Financial Times this week. This has become a habit of the Anglo intelligence services over the last year. When they want something injected into the political discussion regarding Ukraine or they want to elicit a Russian reaction to something discussed behind closed doors, they plant a story in the Financial Times. Presumably, this story was placed there ahead of the meeting for some reason.
Officially, the main focus of the meeting was supposed to be the Zelensky plan for peace, which has two main parts. One is Ukraine joins NATO right now and Russia agrees to return all lands claimed by Ukraine. That is pretty much it. The path to victory is the United States threatens Moscow with nuclear war unless the Russians withdraw all of their forces from Ukraine, including Crimea. The reason to cancel the meeting is there is nothing really to discuss. The plan is nonsense.
That may be the reason why Zelensky created the plan and spent the last month shopping it around the West. The one thing Zelensky cannot survive right now is a peace process involving the Russians. The reason for that is the ultranationalists in Kiev and on the front are strong enough to oppose it. They can use the process as an excuse to take out Zelensky. On the other hand, Zelensky cannot simply flee with his billion dollars, as the West will not protect him.
He is in a political vice. One jaw is the nationalist forces that have been committed to war with Russian since the Maiden coup in 2014. Despite the losses on the battlefield, they remain committed to the war. They have no choice from their perspective, as a Russian condition for peace talks is dissolution of the nationalists. Given the Russian habits and recent history, the leaders of these nationalists forces are right to assume dissolution means they end up dead.
The other jaw is the West, which has committed itself to the war against Russia, but is unwilling to go all in fearing the consequences. The truth is escalatory dominance only works if the other side believes you can continue to escalate. The Russians know the West is not willing to go all in for Ukraine. The West is now in a trap they created for themselves in 2022 and 2023 with all the hot rhetoric. They need a way out, but they cannot simply quit, so they need Zelensky to make a deal.
For his part, Zelensky has been a rapacious schemer who has survived far longer than anyone expected. He does not get credit for managing to stay alive while existing in this impossible position. He must wage a war enthusiastically that he knows cannot be won, but also keep the various factions from pointing the finger at him for the failure to find a miracle solution to the battlefield reality. So far, he has outmaneuvered all of his opponents in Kiev, which is miraculous.
It looks like the Zelensky victory plan is actually a survival plan. The game is to buy time so that the nationalist units on the front get worn down or destroyed, thus weakening their political support in Kiev. As the saying goes, political power comes from the barrel of a gun. If there is going to be a move against Zelensky, it will include nationalist military units. If those units are buried under rubble in the Donbas, then they will not be around to depose Zelensky.
For their part, the nationalist units seem to get this, as they have repeatedly refused orders to engage with the Russians in difficult battles. Despite having the best equipment and the best men, they have been held in reserve for most of the war, most likely for political reasons. That cannot go on much longer, given the condition of the front, so time is probably on Zelensky’s side. At some point, the nationalists either die on the front or quit on the war.
Of course, all of this assumes the Russians will be willing to deal with Zelensky when the time comes. It also assumes the West will not kill him as an excuse to wash their hands of the project. Then you have the nationalists who may simply kill Zelensky because they can, and they have never liked him. The Zelensky survival plan assumes many things that may turn out to be unrealistic, but for now it is the only plan he has, so he is working it as hard as he can.
That may be the other reason for the cancellation of the Ramstein meeting. It may be dawning on the Western political class that there is no plan for victory because victory is impossible and Zelensky has known it for a long time. His little green man act was just part of the long con he has been running to both remain in power and get hundreds of billions in financing, some of which has underwritten his retirement. The West now needs a plan for how to not look like dupes.
In this regard, the Ukraine war is a metaphor for the West. Everything about this project has been in the short term. Everyone involved is thinking like a smash and grab gang working the shopping mall. At the macro level, it is as if the West is controlled by an alien class that is here to harvest what they can before moving on to the next opportunity to run the next grift. As with Ukraine, no one thinks about investing in the people or the long-term consequences of their actions.
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The Ukraine War will never end because the Elites will never, ever let it end. A Forever War against Russia allows them the “moral excuse” which they always, always need to assert total control and dominance against their real enemy: Straight White Men.
The Stoltenberg Plan is the carrot for Russia, which will not of course take it. The stick is sending in massive amounts of NATO troops in. France has announced “exercises” in Romania to practice fighting Russia in Ukraine. I fully expect the Biden Regime to put US forces in Ukraine a few days after the election. This way they can shape things the way they want. These troops will be bolstered by French, UK, Danish, German, Italian, and Greek troops along with other NATO members: Sweden, Finland, etc. They will not push onto Moscow but will both stabilize the situation in the East and enlarge the Kursk incursion. Russia is assumed to do nothing as Stoltenberg and others have said repeatedly, Putin’s red lines are imaginary. He can and will do nothing. No one in Brussels or Washington fears any Russian response.
Note: Jack Smith won over Twitter/X and Musk over handing over every bit of information of ordinary users who retweeted or liked anything Trump posted on X. The Supreme Court rejected Twiiter/X’s argument that this was an infringement of speech. Why would Smith want this data? To have a massive arrest list of course!
There was another trial balloon in the FT also over the draft, with British Military officials (generals mostly) again calling for a massive draft (Straight White Men only of course) and a non-military one for defense production (Whites only of course). This will happen here, also.
The model for society that the Elites have is China rounding up the Uighurs in a “kinder, gentler” series of camps. The manpower of course is the low-IQ third world that has been imported, deliberately young fighting age men. Solution: have them engage in Rwanda style attacks, round up YT into camps, the men of fighting age are drafted like the US did with the Nisei in WWII, the rest are in work camps. Forever.
The YT problem is solved and we have another Forever War conveniently over there, not here. That is at least the plan I see outlines of in the various trial balloons in the FT.
Since zelinsky is the guy pushing for missile strikes that the Russians – understandably – have said will escalate to general war and he is trapped while still holding some political leverage it seem the rationally cold thing to do is to either get rid of him. Or give him a golden bridge out. I don’t really care if he takes a bullet or snorts cocaine in Chelsea. But this little mouse has to shut the F up about things that could get everyone incinerated
“At the macro level, it is as if the West is controlled by an alien class that is here to harvest what they can before moving on to the next opportunity to run the next grift.”
This may be the one time in American politics of the past few decades where things are in fact as they seem to be.
From building consumer cities in Iraq and Afghanistan to funding Sunny Isles palaces and international disco parties and Replacement Migration NGOs. Not much left for Western NC.
Give Zelinsky credit: He figured out the only path to victory: Have the USA nuke the Russians.
That’s just dawning on the West’s elites now?
How does that figure into a victorious strategy? If the war goods nuke, does Zelenskyy think he can watch from Kiev the fireworks show? I suspect Russia will drop some well placed nukes on Ukraine as well while they attend to business with NATA and the US.
No part of this “plan” is remotely feasible…Zelensky is not in office, and Putin quite logically has said he will not deal with him, only an elected representative of the Ukraine…Having wasted its best men and equipment on the Kursk adventure, Ukraine is getting rolled up on most fronts, and its conscripts are very sensibly avoiding battle by refusing orders or deserting..There is really nothing to negotiate, and if Putin were to offer a reasonable deal, like the Istanbul deal that was fortunately (for Russia) aborted by Zelensky’s allies, Putin would be overruled by the military and Medvedev’s allies…The Russian people want blood at this point…
Perhaps the only thing worth learning in business school or economics class is this: Ignore sunk costs. Project Ukraine is a write-off. The MIC shouldn’t care – the war has shown that all our gear is obsolete! They can make a fortune in peacetime on new drones, UAVs, ELINT gear, hypersonic missiles, new ECM gear etc. So you’d think they are utterly indifferent. This war is being sustained by the political class who would have to admit defeat. And this system just cannot tolerate any admission of mistakes.
They are not “in reserve”. They are behind the lines because their true role is to prevent the conscripts from deserting in any direction other than towards Russian lines.
I think that has come to an end. We no longer hear about ideological officers in the ranks. Most likely it is because they are dead. The losses of the Ukraine army are massive. There are stories coming out from Ukraine sources that units along the front are thirty percent of strength and lower. They are relying on drones and motorized artillery to defend the fortifications that are mostly empty. This explains Russian progress.
This story covers the basics of the new plan for victory. Russia would be handed a deal whereby they get to hold the lands they have, Ukraine joins NATO, but promises to not start a war to reclaim those lands and at some point in the future,
Russia has probably learned its lesson and understands that a piece of paper will not guarantee peace on its Western front. America has been ignoring treaty obligations almost since day one. “America’s signature” is not worth the paper it’s printed on.
Any “deal” that allows what is left of Ukraine to join NATO is a guarantee of a new war at some time in the future.
Fact: a lot of good men (almost all white guys) have died in Ukraine on both sides of the conflict. And yes, this human resource is no longer available to cure the root problem (because they’re dead!). And that is exactly the plan for here in the US and EU. Kill off the white guys who might grow a spine and eventually fight back against the source of the problem. Ukraine was a test case. But we don’t have to play this game. Direct your anger where it will actually do some good.
‘That may be the reason why Zelensky created the plan and spent the last month shopping it around the West.’
Huh? That idiot Zelensky doesn’t ‘create’ any plans. He doesn’t return to Ukraine, sit in his office with advisors, and formulate the next strategic or tactical move. He is only a frontman — a stooge of public face — the counterpart of Tater Joe Biden or Kammie Harris or Boris Johnson.
Combined US/British intel formulates (and executes) policy and plans. This would never be allowed into the hands of ridiculous individuals like Zelensky or Biden. It is ludicrous to imagine so.
U.S. armchair generals blogging in-depth about the Ukraine War is just hubris. ‘Experts’ lol. We are the rump of the food-info-chain, the END-CONSUMERS of whatever data the intel agencies wish us to know . . . unless you have personal agents on the ground in Ukraine, which you do not. Zelensky is only a tool, and not a very sharp one at that. That is considered a plus by intel, btw.
Write about things you know — like yesterday’s piece — not about things you don’t, but imagine you do. LOL. Amazing.
There are just so many existential crises to deal with: Russia, Jews, China, Iran, the climate, trannies, blacks etc. Well at least we bank on Harris knowing how to handle them all for sure on day one…
I can hear it now…Biden was the elder statesman.
Cool it with the antisemitic remarks!
The best outcome is that the rat faced bagel gets the Full Mussolini treatment, displayed upside down in a Kiev gas station. However, what would be second best is Piano Man scuttles out of the country like the Shah of Iran in 1979.
I have been thinking about the possibility of a repeat of the Iranian Revolution in Ukraine, where a Ukrainian popular revolution overthrows the CIA backed regime and focuses all their hate on the US for using them as cannon fodder with a bagel leader. How do you say Great Satan in Ukrainian? Because there will be a scapegoat for this bloody disaster.
Thousands of battle hardened warriors with as much weapons as they can carry and a giant chip on their shoulder loose in the EU. What could go wrong. This could be the mother of all blowbacks.
> Russia would be handed a deal whereby they get to hold the lands they have, Ukraine joins NATO, but promises to not start a war to reclaim those lands and at some point in the future, Russia will give back those lands to Ukraine for reasons no one can explain.
To quote the Orange Man:“This has been the worst trade deal in the history of trade deals, maybe ever”
The problem with people sheltered from consequences and convinced of their own virtue is they have no conception of what reasonable compromise entails. There’s no feedback mechanism other than the praise or jeering of their secluded bubble.
The problem with people sheltered from consequences and convinced of their own virtue is they have no conception of what reasonable compromise entails. There’s no feedback mechanism other than the praise or jeering of their secluded bubble.
That is perfectly said. Well done. The war could have been avoided from the get-go, but for that.
Massive pain is the best feedback they can be given.
The Ukrainians, buoyed emotionally by continued Western support, continue to step beyond their means. Their “victory plan” has the hallmark of an LSD trip taken during a very stressful time, and it will similarly end in a bad experience.
Washington has developed an addiction to helping get weak client states out of a jam. With the Cold War over, there is no reason to be in Taiwan, South Korea, or have a military base in Cuba. Taiwan is rightfully a province of China, the South Koreans should just offer North Korea’s top leadership $100 million U.S. each if they fold their country into the South, and Ukraine must be abandoned as a hopeless and brazenly dangerous lost cause. Immediately.
— Greg (my blog: http://www.dark.sport.blog)
The foreign elite ruling the West are masters of narrative, deception and subversion. It’s why their plan for Russia (their plan for everything) is regime change.
They have a feminine attack mentality. They don’t attack directly but through seduction (we’ll offer you want you’ve always wanted if you give us control over your life) or through some guy that they’ve tricked into fighting for them. If that doesn’t work, they use exclusion, which is what women and our foreign elite fear most. Or they use all three in some combination.
The feminine attack method can be highly effective in the right hands – and our rulers are the best – but, ultimately, it fails when it faces an opponent who fully employs the masculine attack method. If you refuse to listen to our rulers siren song about giving you everything that you want, if you beat up the guy that she tricked to attack you and if you find a new, even better “friend group,” our rulers have nothing.
Our foreign rulers have been dealing with beta males for nearly 100 years, so they’ve gotten everything that they want. They’re now going up against real men for the first time in a long time. It’s not just Russia. China is doing the same both militarily and economically. Iran might be as well.
The world is moving on from the old, ugly lady running the West. She offers nothing; indeed, she’s repugnant. Her boyfriend is a wuss. Her friends are just as bad. The narrative is breaking down. She also has no ability to subvert from within these countries as they are aware of her game and she can’t pull the “My fellow Chinese” act.
The 20th century is mercifully ending.
It seems as if one big difference between today and 1941 is that Putler and the Persians refuse to take the bait. Is it wishful thinking on my part to think it’s because they are wise to that game?
They’ve certainly learned the regime change is the preferred method of attack. They also know that the financial system is how they control countries. The rest of the world is working hard to get around that. It’ll take time, however.
“the financial system is how they control countries”
It seems to me like a lot of the old aristocratic elite in Europe are in high finance. In a prior age they might be imperial governors or generals: now they run investment banks. Dutch princes as management consultants.
You believe that the investment banks are run by “the old aristocratic elite in Europe?”
Yes, they are on board, and that’s the problem.
Too many of ours join the other tribe, drawn by its mercenary successes and false promises, eager to betray their own.
Ave Citizen, it’s been the same pattern for some 4500 years.
_____________
Practically, don’t forget the influence of the London School of Economics, the Societié General, and Harvard – the grooming grounds of the snakes.
I never say that we have but one problem. But who leads whom?
Symbiosis.
They want to become their half-baked caricature of us, but we become them.
Based on first-hand experience and observation, yes.
The US has been a feminist nation for half-a-century now. Russia and China are not feminist nations. The scam does not work on them.
“So far, he has outmaneuvered all of his opponents in Kiev, which is miraculous.”
This is a bit of a stretch, he has NATO, CIA, and whomever else on his side, endless bribe money, cancelled elections and throws his opponents in jail or outright criminalizes anyone who opposes him. Hard to maneuver when your balls and limbs are cut off.
The looting is the point of Project Ukraine. The crumbs thrown to the politicians and their donors pale in comparison to the payout received by the Robber Barons and those burrowed in the Administrative and National Security State. This follows a pattern of outright stealing billions on a regular basis from taxpayers. It has now emerged that in addition to funneling money to NGO’s and their happy fellow travelers, FEMA spent billions on Covid in 2024. The heartbreaking death count of Slavs is the only way in which Project Ukraine is more appalling than Project Covid, which is the most despicable transfer of wealth in American history.
The looming questions are the reason for the accelerated looting and why now. It seems that those on the inside realize the dollar is about to become worthless and it is a good time to convert coin to hard assets. That’s a guess but in the ballpark.
And you think that wasn’t purpose of Afghanistan or Iraq?
I truly think the purpose was to spread democracy. Nah, of course it was the looting. Take note that the grift is continuing in both post-war Afghanistan and Iraq and look at the billions going to the former democracy targets turned vital allies in the Forever War against American taxpayers and anyone who gives Israel the sadz.
Takes both kinds. The looters join forces with the starry eyed democracy spreaders. And probably some other factions I’m overlooking.
Indeed. The mega-grift is a nice side dividend, but do not underestimate the power of ideology in the western power structure.
I think the people who engineered Project Ukraine really did believe in it at the beginning. You can’t fake that level of enthusiasm, and it ties up well with their deep-seated, 300 year old grude with Russia. Project COVID, on the other hand, was entirely cynical – they knew what they were doing, they knew it was fake, it was a grift from the beginning. BUT, during Project COVID, something else emerged which they were genuinely and deeply enthusiastic about, and that is Project BLM. We saw this explicitly when they kicked COVID to the curb to let the riots get going, and the constant stream of anti-white propaganda that poured from all the nation’s organs, the same organs that embraced Ukraine so eagerly in the beginning. Of course, this is because these people hate us as much as they hate Russia, if not more.
At some point you’d think that normies would get tired of being pushed from one project to the next, none of which benefit them, all of which hurt them, none of them done with their best interest in mind, but it seems that they are, for now, still along for the ride.
Excellent comment and an upvote, but I think “engineered” is doing a lot of work there. Those appropriating/sending the money certainly are in it for the loot. The Neocons financially benefit as well as extract revenge although that certainly plays a role with them.
As for Normie, watch a cat chase the light from a laser pointer. Even when it becomes obvious there is no there there, the potential exhilaration forces them to chase it.
Yes, that was a point I failed to touch upon. At some point, in Afghanistan, the true believers moved on and it just became a pure looting operation. They moved to Syria, I think, which is actually still ongoing and is a looting operation. I think we are mostly in that stage of Ukraine, but nevertheless, the people who run our government still harbor that ethnic hatred of Russia and Russians and I do think that is a primary motivation for them. Do the neocons still get paid? Of course, it’s part of the deal.
Still stealing Syrain oil. No one knows where that money goes.
The hatred for all things Russian and Persian goes way beyond ideology.
Mycale-
Normies are too busy doing important things to notice.
Important things like going to happy hour and watching sportsball.
We didn’t take out the trash, so it’s taking itself out. That includes the dupes.
I refuse to believe that a dumb carnie like Zelensky is a master planner with the ability to maneuver like nobody else.
Carny life is a good training for politics, apparently. Our politics are overrun with carnies.
Zelensky is an archetype. Look at Biden. Look at Harris. Same deal.
You mean look at Madoff. Look at Weinstein. Look at Sam Bankman-Fried.
Well, let’s be clear, he has been propped up with billions upon billions of dollars of support. Every person of power in Ukraine no doubt recognizes that, if he is “unpersoned,” then the gravy train derails.
Zelensky has the support of an ethnic network that whites are unable or unwilling to see.
I guess that when Zelensky meets with Blinken, for example, whatever quarrels and irritations they may have with eachother, the deeper feeling is of brotherhood and a shared destiny that few white people can even imagine.
I personally believe he is a hostage of MI6 at this point, and their protection of him is the only reason the nationalists haven’t yet snuffed him out. His survival plan is to do what he’s told and hope the West doesn’t “tie up loose ends” when it is finally done with him.
I think he is also addicted to cocaine. Hooking a leader on coke is a well known MI6 and CIA control ploy.
People say it’s his chief of staff, Andriy Yermak, pulling the strings.
Zelensky is in way over his head. He campaigned for president on a peace ticket, promising to repair relations with Russia to fix the Ukraine’s economy. That got him 3/4 of the vote. Then he went to the eastern front to order the troops back as required by the Minsk accord, and they laughed at him.
One of the chief Nazis told a reporter: “If he doesn’t stop talking about Minsk, we’ll hang him from a tree on Kiev’s main avenue.” Then the US took him from his Oligarch owner who wanted peace, and he’s been dancing on their strings ever since.
Ukraine. Israel. Election integrity in the US. Looming war with China for ??? reasons.
It’s an Empire of Lies.
You can be certain that the US is always the good guy and will always win. (Unless Trump)
It’s so tiresome. How can anyone take this country seriously?
Nobody does. Except DC and the countries in on the grift with DC.
It does seem as though their current regime’s apparent intent for China to become GAE 2.0 should be cause for at least some concern, though obviously only a fool or a monster would use that to deliberately incite some kind of open armed conflict.
Over / Under on this ending as badly as Afghanistan? Somebody in the Ukraine killing Zelensky and surrendering to the Russians is probably how it goes.
From your lips to God’s ears.
That would put a spring in my step.
Woah shinola – what if the Azov guys decided to switch sides?
That’s what mercenary companies do, it happened all the time from 1200-1800, and it happened over there.
That would be a force to be reckoned with.
Good grief, what if Ukraine ended up conquering the EU?
If I were him I’d leave that Rolex at home the next time he goes out.
And I would have some flunky answer my sail foam for me.
The greatest invention that ever happened from organized crime pov was the advent of remote car starting. ;-). It also put a lot of street kids out of work.
Greg Cochran is still hating on Putin and defending Zelensky. So there are zealots outside the controlling elite class who want to press forward with the war against Russia. They’re nuts.
I stopped following Cochran during Covid. I prefer to remember him as the guy who wrote The 10,000 Year Explosion rather than the guy who went insane during Covid.
Yeah, I noticed that too about Cochran. His blog was one of my favs during the last decade. But he certainly went off the deep end with covid. Peter Zeihan was also one of my favs during the last decade. He also went of the deep end over a combination of covid and TDS.
The covid debacle broke a lot of people’s brains. Curtis Yarvin being a good example. Essentially the entire HBD crowd went off the deep end over covid as well.
I pointed out to Cochran that the model they were using for Covid was riddled with coding errors. It was open source, so I downloaded it and like many other people, saw the huge problems. Cochran said I was crazy. When I said the Diamond Princess was a great model for understanding Covid, he banned me from his site. He was not alone. Most of the HBD people went insane during Covid.
I was screaming into the void in 2020 that Diamond Princess told us 98% of what we needed to know about COVID, and it was nothing to worry about for most people and could be managed. It was a perfect experiment where you had a mixture of people isolated in a location where it was able to spread more or less freely. You never get that sort of epidemiological study early during a potential pandemic, we got it, it was an incredible gift for us in terms of dealing with it… And it was ignored.
The Diamond Princess was one tell tale point. But I decided that covid was no big deal even before it. Those awful videos ocming out of Wuhan that February failed to materialize even before the Diamond Princess happened.
You know, we still don’t have an explanation for those awful Wuhan videos. Given that most of them came from Epoch Times, which is owned by Falon Gong, I assume they were fakes made for the purposes of discrediting the CCP.
Not for a minute did I buy the Covid narrative for the simple reason that those pushing it were fools and liars. I therefore assumed that their hysterical warnings were nonsense and lies.
It really was an incredible thing to watch. When everyone on the ship did not fall over dead at once, the whole thing was ignored. It was proof that Covid was being driven by panic junkies. Sane people should have looked at that wonderful real world, real-time study and gave a huge sigh of relief.
It was astonishing to me as well. Both the lockdowns and the obsession with forced vaccination in 2021.
I became skeptical of Cochran a couple years prior to covid when I asked him on his blog what he thought the cause of male to female transgenderism. As you know, he has postulated that male homosexuality is caused by an infectious agent. I assumed he would present something similar for transgenderism. He did not. Instead, he trotted out the usual “multi-factorial” sociological explanation. I countered by suggesting it might be Xenoestrogens (environmental hormones). I said this was BS.
This is when I had my first doubts about him. I think this was around 2018 or so.
I’ve often wondered if Henry Harpending, Cochran’s coauthor on the “10000 year explosion” and fellow blogger, was not instrumental in Cochran’s descent into insanity after Harpending died. Perhaps Henry was a stabilizing influence on the great mind?
Ron Unz also fell into the covid hysteria. A hypochondriac small hat, who suspected this was possible?
How are any of these guys possible?
Dewey’s idea of grooming a Platonic aristocratic elite has hit a major hidden snag.
How can such smart, accomplished people go off the deep end, as Orwell noted about intellectuals?
It seems like there’s a design flaw we don’t recognize.
Commoners like Trump or Margie Green really should be running things. They stay afloat in shark-infested waters but retain the common touch.
There’s something interesting there. For some things very bright people are less rational than average Joe. One example: understanding something about how an airplane works rather than understanding nothing, can induce fear of flying. Same with medicine and a lot of other fields. Intelligent and rational do not correlate strongly
During that time, Z-man, your best pointer was to statistician Briggs. He had an insight into modeling that turned my entire thinking around. He attacked not the math or software, but the very concept of understanding which under-lied the process.
I steal from him shamelessly without attribution and no longer trust most modeling.
That Briggs guy is good value, thanks for reminding me to check up on him.
That sounds very interesting. Do you happen to have a link? Thanks
My bad. Lazy of me:
https://www.wmbriggs.com/
Thanks a lot 😁
2020 discredited anyone whose work/self-image rests on the dream of properly run government. Even Sweden and Japan didn’t make it. The rational, capacious state is a nerd “power fantasy” (stupid media term but it fits).
Government is a crime. Crime is a specialty of morons, madmen, and cowards. It cannot be done well—in the judgment of its victims. The lazy way out of this problem: Side with it. Consider it you. Covid was the first opportunity for nerds to do that. Government finally not by charters but by charts!
And if I’m elected, total nerd death.
I’ve had to come to terms with this reality over the past four and a half years.
I think what spooked the HBD crowd is that they knew it was an engineered bioweapon from the get go. They just thought it was a better bioweapon. It quickly mutated into more benign forms. Presumably that “flaw” can be corrected the next time, so they are still scared shitless.
Maybe all of us should be.
Imagine that….
Every Single Time. It’s not just a meme anymore!
We’ve hit the “Bamboo Lounge Bustout” phase in this particular project and indeed our national life.
Vote Big Paulie Cicero in ’28!
I will voat for Incitatus at this point…
Vermin Supreme for President!
See: Florida.
“The consolidation of the States into one vast empire, sure to be aggressive abroad and despotic at home, will be the certain precursor of ruin which has overwhelmed all that preceded it.”
—Gen Robert E. Lee
These words are destined to become the epitaph on the tomb of our nation.
I was ready to post this exact thing, lol.
They have given us into the hand of new unhappy lords,
Lords without anger or honour, who dare not carry their swords.
They fight by shuffling papers; they have bright dead alien eyes;
They look at our labour and laughter as a tired man looks at flies.
And the load of their loveless pity is worse than the ancient wrongs,
Their doors are shut in the evening; and they know no songs.
Ukraine is quickly being forgotten. If all the regime mouthpieces dropped it, it would simply cease to exist. Maybe if an old blue and yellow flag is accidentally left still flying on some cat lady’s stoop , people would drive by and say:
oh yeah, Ukraine! Wonder what happened to that guy….
I dunno. It might end up like Covid — normal people have forgotten it and moved on with their lives, but there are still a LOT of lunatics out there, masking up and huddling under their beds with barrels of hand sanitizer. These people are panic junkies and can’t let anything go… and that’s before you get to the Neocons, who have never let one single thing go, ever. They might be able to keep it in their pants through Fortification Day, but once Harris is installed, AINO is going to war with somebody — Russia, Iran, China, or, as our newest Real Americans might say, por que no los tres?
Ukraine support has turned into a highly delusional subculture online. There are many YouTube channels and Twitter accounts making bank feeding these people fantasies about Ukraine winning. I can see this aspect carrying in for a long time, especially if the Ukraine army disintegrates and we get an “insurgency phase” like we saw in Iraq. I see a lot of evidence that the neocons are preparing such a scenario.
The Neocons always screw up, so by necessity they’re great at making lemonade out of lemons. They’d love to do a fake-and-gay ISIS in Iraq thing, where AINO = ISIS and Russia = AINO. The secret squirrels get to keep playing James Bond, the Big Guy gets 10% in perpetuity… what’s not to like?
This is happening in Syria now. Israel and the United States created ISIS, and now fighting the group is the pretext for occupation of Syria in perpetuity. It is among the damnest things ever and people pretend like it either is real or doesn’t exist.
I am torn on a insurgency strategy working in Ukraine. East of the Dnieper, support for the nationalists is zero, so they would struggle to hide amongst the population. In the West there is support, but the Russians are not going to be putting their army in the West.
The end game is going to be wild.
Putin seems to be an extremely cynical guy, so the end game may involve letting Western/”Western” interests exploit just enough of Ukraine’s wealth to forestall insurgency or something along those lines. Futility is not an obstacle to the Neocons, so it may be cheaper to let Blackrock, for example, to get enough of a taste.
The problem for Russia is what to do with the West. They don’t want to rule it, but they also don’t want it independent and thus joining NATO.
Sure, they could put a friendly govt in at first, but how do you maintain that forever.
Good question. What I’d see happening is a cessation of hostility based upon “non-alliance”—in NATO especially. The first move towards such automatically triggers war. However, that would require Russia to maintain a military strength/presence heretofore not considered necessary.
We really screwed the pooch on this one. We turned a relatively peaceful nation into a formidable adversary with this war. Seems we are intending to doing the same with China—except that China has the economic means to handle such in the long run.
Perhaps not the demographic means, though.
Don’t forget that the Russians pleaded with us not to do this in 2021. They wanted to come to an agreement, and I think they would have been much more conciliant than they are now, but [Biden] wouldn’t even meet them for talks to discuss it.
This was an error as unnecessary and as huge as Mustache Guy attacking his only remaining provider of energy while still at war with the Brits.
Exactly, Russia’s headache is finding a way to stop blinken and nuland from sneaking in nuclear tipped missiles west of the Dnieper after the conventional war ends while not exposing Russian soldiers to being blown up while babysitting the place. I don’t know how they would do that
“In the West there is support, but the Russians are not going to be putting their army in the West.”
Really? How many males or people in general flooded out of the Ukraine at the start of the war because they wanted no part. And based on their recruiting tactics i’d say they don’t have much support at all. What you have left in West Ukraine are the same people who support democrats here, worthless without institutional support.
Putin should cut deals with Poland and Romania. Let them divvy up Western Ukraine in exchange for leaving NATO. Establishing an Eastern European “Neutral Zone” would be the best chance for long term peace.
Tarl Cabot: Not going to happen with Tusk in Poland – he’s all in on DIE and the WEF.
True, but refusing Galicia would cost him his career.
The crazy thing is that Tusk’s father was a Nazi collaborator, maybe not so crazy because the son is the same. The liver sausage Scholtz father was pretty high up in one of their police organizations during the war too. Look at the early lives and families of a lot of the ruling class in the EU now and you probably won’t be surprised at how many fathers were party members and Quislings in the 39-45 time frame.
That is so rational it is impossible these days
White men have not waged insurgencies in the modern era. There was some minor stuff like that in Germany, but nothing of any real consequence. Insurgencies require:
A. Lots and lots of angry and disposable young men with no future BUT fighting.
B. Tribal societies that can and will take massive manpower losses found in insurgencies.
C. Safe rear areas outside government control — not sure if that applies to Poland/Romania if raids are launched there — its not applying to Hezbollah in Lebanon now.
My guess is that Russia, barring NATO troops which is likely, will seek to occupy all of Ukraine right up to the border of Poland and Romania, and kick all the Western Ukranians out where they will cause trouble in Poland and Germany. Giving the lands over to favored populations in Russia as a reward. This keeps missiles farther away and avoids a Kursk II operation. Giving followers land has been a winner since Alexander so I expect Putin to do it.
Though I see very likely US and French troops and also UK troops fighting the Russians likely in late November, so there is that. Biden could even pull a Zelensky in that case and avoid leaving office, keeping his team in place. Or Obama could simply take over if he wanted. Anything is possible. The limits we thought applied simply do not exist any more.
Ukraine is just the latest proxy-front for the Endless War required to sustain D.C. and the military complex. . . nee the military-industrial complex, now that industry largely is overseas.
Ray, if it is just all about money for the military complex, then why haven’t we militarized our borders? If it’s just about money, then sparing no expense on our borders would be a huge amount of profit for the corporations, with more support from most citizens than foreign adventures.
By the way, haven’t seen you for a while. Hope that you’re well…
I’m guessing it would effectively constitute a military coup, seeing as how everything is for sale.
The rule of end-stage empire bustouts is you can run your own grift, but you can’t crimp someone else’s grift. The global warmers can get their fake loans for fake companies, but cannot squeeze the oil men getting rich on public lands. The MIC has to run its scheme somewhere else because the open borders racket already has their operation going there.
Yeah. It doesn’t look too good if a load of soldiers and heavy equipment sits at your own border, and nobody has anything to do. The grift has to be run far away for it to function.
‘if it is just all about money for the military complex, then why haven’t we militarized our borders?’
Uh… because the PTB want the borders essentially open? would be the obvious response.
Militarizing the borders would mean you’d have to use that military to, y’know, actually DO something about the borders. And DC does not want to do anything.
Sponsoring endless wars on the other side of the world, otoh, makes it a cinch to launder money, get on the private-contractor grift train, and all the other reasons the US militarizes distant nations. Militarizing our borders would look real bad. Bunch of people and equipment sittin’ around, doing nothing at all.
The best part about the Ukraine nut jobs is not only could they not find it on a map, but they couldn’t even tell you why they support Ukraine. It’s the same shit with the “our greatest ally” crap.
these are the same people who hate Trump but don’t know why. They just know the juice told them to. We truly live amongst retards.
With Covid, it’s worse than you think. While normal people did their best to forget about it, the good bureaucrats have been busy preparing the introduction of new vaxx passports. They are piloting this in 5 EU countries right now, but the plan is to apply this to the whole EU. Later it will spread to other western countries.
for once i agree with victoria nuland, fuck the EU
You should at least watch it, in case this program becomes a “success” to be replicated across the ocean.
With the introduction this month- in Japan of all places!- of “self amplifying mRNA”- they are creating the literal “I Am Legend” scenario.
The replication error rate of spikes making spikes will turn every recipient into a walking mutagenic lab and shedding factory.
The last one weakened immune systems in prep for this escalation. The commies have already put their supporters against the wall first, with that one.
The UK is offering up the latest “regular” mRNA Covid jab. For those who’ve kept with the programme it’ll be #7! Assuming one started in January 2021, that would be approximately one jab every ~6.5 months. The same (or similar) article said that a jab lasts about 6 months but efficacy (is there any?) wanes after 4. Meanwhile, the excess deaths continue above historical norms. There is even the occasional article in the normal press wondering why heart disease is up 50% or more in young folk. (In fairness, the rise began in 2020, before the jabs debuted.)
If her war was against Brussels instead of Russia I’d be her fan
Fuck em. I’ll stay at home and steal what my family needs to get by.
I’ll also inflict extreme violence on anyone that tries to impose controls on my movements.
They’ve been so lazy with the post-covid propaganda, it’s like they’re testing how crappy it can be and still work. Infinitely crappy, it turns out.
The official story is that there were no lockdowns or mandates or anything like them outside of right-wing propaganda, and that any apparent economic/etc. injury to anyone is illusory, also right-wing propaganda. Your memory of anything that happened in 2020-1 is false. But also, all this economic ruin you see was caused by Trump Budget Cuts™ (or local equivalent) and right-wing resistance to the righteous lockdowns and mandates which during covid proved themselves the only effective strategy for dealing with public health crises (any disease or right-wing attitude).
This bundle of nonsense only held together by whom it identifies as the enemy is truly believed, more strongly than their knowledge of actual events in their lives, by all good citizens. So mandates have returned, having always been here, having never happened, as official policy found only in right-wing lies, etc.
It’s a good life.
I was told by several people, who were locked down and “sheltering in place” during the hoaxdemic that there were no lockdowns and that I am a conspiracy theorist for believing that there were.
Jeez. From “it’s not happening and it’s good that it is” to “it never happened and so we have to do it again.”
Hun, you’re touching upon my greatest fear—a de facto acceptance of the mRNA technology. With Covid, we undertook the greatest human subjects experimentation since the NAZI’s in WWII. The result are not yet settled wrt the safety of the technique, yet all that seems forgotten as Big Pharma moves right along developing new uses for the process.
As I’ve warned before, we now must be very careful in even taking the old “tried and true” vaccine regimen as those vaccines will very likely be produced through mRNA technology.
I am certainly not taking any vaccines for the rest of my life. I am also never going to a doctor, unless I am in a serious accident or have a heart attack.
Looks like the automatic filters on this blog don’t like the word “vac**ne” – we wouldn’t want to allow wrongthink, right?
I use the term freely as I don’t condemn all vaccines, however the CDC recommendations are now exceeding all common sense. Here’s the latest from ChatGPT:
“…the United States, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommends the following vaccines during childhood, generally by age 18:
1. Hepatitis B (HepB) – 3 doses
2. Rotavirus (RV) – 2 or 3 doses depending on the brand
3. Diphtheria, Tetanus, and Acellular Pertussis (DTaP) – 5 doses
4. Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) – 3 or 4 doses depending on the brand
5. Pneumococcal conjugate (PCV13) – 4 doses
6. Inactivated Poliovirus (IPV) – 4 doses
7. Measles, Mumps, and Rubella (MMR) – 2 doses
8. Varicella (chickenpox) – 2 doses
9. Hepatitis A (HepA) – 2 doses
10. Influenza (flu) – Yearly after 6 months of age
11. Meningococcal conjugate (MenACWY) – 2 doses (typically for older children)
12. Human Papillomavirus (HPV) – 2 or 3 doses depending on the starting age
In addition to these, some children may also receive vaccines like Meningococcal B and COVID-19, depending on local guidelines and risk factors.”
I count 35 vaccinations before 18 yo. Indeed, several are given *before* your child leaves the hospital after delivery. This defies reason—unless you buy into a 100% safety factor for vaccines, which I don’t.
Even snuck in the HPV after all, good gravy
This is a test: “Vaccine”
I don’t follow the mRNA story quite as closely the past year or two, and certainly not with the enthusiasm of Substackers like Malone, Berenson, Steve Kirsch, etc. You are so right about “results not yet settled” re mRNA. The same thorny questions remain, however…those that were getting people cancelled from everywhere in 2021 and 2022; viz.: Where is the evidence of long-term trials (Phase 1, 2, 3, 4, whatever)? Where is the proof of efficacy? Surely the data must exist somewhere, but they are very reluctant to release anything or allow outsiders to do detailed studies. The little that has leaked out (e.g. published by Kirsch) are tantalizing but are tainted by possible commercial motives (of the “independent” reporter, not of Evil Pharma, in this case.)
Even with a general background, that is, having read about this junk since 2020 and some selected books (e.g. RFK Jr.) one can read the mainstream press and see that the jabs have many of the problems that “conspiracy theory” claimed years ago. Rarely anything about dangers to users, of course, although strange illness and deaths continue to crop up. Damar Hamlin’s cardiac event on the field in early 2023 is probably one of the more spectacular; he’s lucky to be alive and surely that’s solely due to there having been expert medical personnel on site. Athletes in top condition have undiagnosed “congenital” heart problems. Happens all the time, doncha know?
Oh yeah…more relevant, and perhaps more mundane, is the implication that the shots really don’t work very well. Well, the old-fashioned flu and pneumonia shots were intended to be taken every year. They push the Covid jabs on same schedule or even more frequently.
Your final warning is very apropos. To the best of my knowledge, there is precious little evidence of the long-term safety of the mRNA tech, never mind efficacy. I took my last routine immunization in late 2020 (flu/pneumonia). I swore I would never take another immunization. I did allow an exception after I was bitten by a feral cat and rabies and tetanus were a risk.
I haven’t forgotten covid, it was perhaps the second largest crime of this century, only eclipsed by 9/11 and the wars it spawned. Perhaps the worst if you believe the statistics they published of “died with covid”.
Maybe only eclipsed by the holocaust.
I guess some folks didn’t get your sarcasm.
Nor have I… but we’re not normal. We Notice things. That makes us, what, a fraction of one percent of the population?
There’s more of us than you think, we just keep our mouths shut and our heads down. The best we can do is nibble around the edges in conversation.
Covid, the vax, floyd riots and murders, election theft, framing normal americans as “insurrectionists”, and of course 911. . .lots of contenders for crime of the century. At a certain point, one realizes it’s all ONE BIG CRIME that goes back to at least to ‘Nam, Welfare State, Open Borders, “civil rights” 60s era.
Not a whole lot to like about America/AINO once you get to the late 60s.
It might end up like Covid
Where everyone just pretends nothing ever happened. They will just move on to the next thing. Nobody goes to jail. Nobody gets fired. It just goes down the memory hole.
Except it doesn’t if the nationalist Azov refugees stream into the EU & Britain with their shiny new American weapons and billions in Zelenskyyyybux – giving the “Far Right” the ruthless and battle-hardened leadership it is begging for. Imagine Maidan happening in Berlin…
There’s a lovely irony in the thought of those British and EU fags being ruled by Azov Nazis. It might actually make the Ukraine adventure worth it if only for the Schadenfreude. What’s that I hear? Oh, it’s just the ghost of Hitler laughing maniacally.
Suddenly, I feel wild hope springing in my heart: the Yamnaya have returned, and boy are they pissed.
Mohammed, meet Mika. He’s going to kick your pimping ass.
Sev-
Don’t look now but the lunatics at the UK Telegraph just published a completely unhinged op-ed calling for Israel to bomb all Iranian nuclear sites to foment regime change in Tehran.
The more dialed-in commentators out there think that the Israelis are most likely to strike when AINO is most pre-occupied with hurricane Milton’s landfall.