It is that time of year again when I look back at all of the things I got wrong and promise to do better next year. Well, not all the things I did wrong, just the things I got wrong in last year’s prediction post. Everyone loves making predictions, because everyone forgets about them, but few take the time to revisit their predictions. An iron law of the universe is that you learn more from your mistakes than your successes, so it is a good time to take a look at those mistakes.
As far as the effects of the sanctions on Russia and what it will do to Europe, I was amazingly on target. Gasoline in Germany is about ten dollars per gallon and is expected to go higher in 2024. On the other hand, India and China are experiencing an unprecedented boom in cheap energy. On top of that, the Indians are reselling their refined crude to Europe at a premium. The European economy is in recession now and it is all due to waging war on its energy supplier.
As far as America, I was wrong about how inflation would play out. It seems we got a pause and now it is picking back up again, just as the Fed signals it is ready to start cutting rates in 2024. I still think we end up in the Arthur Burns trap, but the timing of it may be a bit different. I was wrong about interest rates, and I was wrong about the economy as a whole. At least on paper, we have not gone into recession, which seems to be due to relatively cheap energy.
I nailed the Trump story from the start. The lawfare against him has played out as I have been saying since 2021. The party did try to rally around the sacred black man, but he turned out to be too ridiculous even for the Republicans. Instead, they have gone all in on the brown woman. They are trying to fake poll her into contention or at least make her a credible looking loser. War Karen is at 25% in New Hampshire, so they can pretend she is the winner when Trump is gone.
On the Democratic side, I was all wrong. If you want proof we live in a simulation run by sadists, look no further than Joe Biden. The mere fact that this deranged simpleton is president is proof enough. The fact that the party has not removed him from office and found a better actor for the role suggests the simulation is broken. Unless something wild happens in early 2024, it looks like Joe Biden will be on the ballot. The robot historians will never be able to sort this one.
I got the Kanye West stuff mostly right. He is not in bankruptcy, but he must be running out of money as he is now groveling to the usual suspects in Hebrew. You just know that he will be seen in front of a pile of shoes soon. I was wrong about Cozy getting nuked, but they have no traffic now, so close enough. Ethan Ralph was the last guy on there with an audience and he is now on Rumble. Maybe my 2024 prediction will be Cozy shuts down for good.
I did not finish my book. I learned a good lesson on this front. Writing a book is like any other project in that you have to see it through to the end. If you take a break there is a good chance you will never come back from break. I got about three quarters through it and realized I wanted to revisit some of it. I thought maybe I was rushing things, so I took a break and before long other things filled that time slot. One thing I am doing now is setting aside time in the schedule to finish it in 2024.
My Ukraine predictions were a mixed bag. I was wrong about Ukraine pulling back to more defensible positions, even though that was the sensible thing. I was also wrong about NATO escalating by introducing “advisors” into Ukraine. Washington has sent a three-star general to take over planning and there are rumors of NATO people operating in country, but nothing has been confirmed. Putin mentioned Poland maybe taking parts of Western Ukraine, but the Poles have not mentioned it.
It is too soon to tell how all of this will play out in Europe, but the landscape looks bleak for the pro-America parties, so this is an incomplete. The West did try to regime change Serbia this month, so I can take a win on that one, but otherwise I was ahead of my skis on how this plays out politically. I will take the win on the failure of American weapons and what it does to the reputation of the MIC. Western wonder weapons were a colossal failure in Ukraine last summer.
I was joking about human sacrifice being the next social fad, but boy did I hit it out of the park on the Alex Jones stuff. The guy is now facing over a billion in fines for offending some degenerates in Connecticut. That case is a great example of how managerialism and mass media converge create an alternative reality. The mass media has ignored this case, so few people are aware of it, even though it is the most egregious corruption of the law this country has ever seen.
On a positive note, I nailed my escape from Lagos prediction. It was a close call as I closed in December, but it still counts as a win. I have a bunch of things to do before I can live in the house fulltime, but those are progressing. As is always the case, every small project turns out to be more involved than expected. Given that what comes next will be the 2024 predictions, I may write those up in the new place. If you are going to make predictions, do it from atop a mountain lair.
The lesson every year when I look at these predictions from the past year is that the safe bet is that current trends will continue. Something unexpected has to happen for a trend to stop or change direction. Those “black swan” events are rare, which is why we have the expression. Of course, it is all about perception. Many people saw the mortgage crisis coming, but the bankers did not and they were the driving force behind that trend so we got a crisis.
The things that are nearly impossible to predict are the stupid things that take on a life of their own, like the Ukraine war or Covid. The people responsible for these things passed dozens of warning signs and ignored the obvious choices in order to find the worst choice possible. It is not in our nature to think people can be this willfully stupid and destructive, so we cannot imagine such things. Yet, these are the people who rule over us, so they will determine what happens in 2024.
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Happy New Year.
I will buy you a beer.
My prediction for 24 is the color revolution plays out Into chaos as it always does, I mean our American color revolution.
Millei: You really hate Libertarians lol.
I just despise them.
Happy New Year to all here! 2024 will dramatic. May it also be fruitful
Given the porous nature of our excuse for a southern border, I’m getting bad vibes about tonight’s celebrations.
Bad is good.
Just quoting Huey Lewis
Jesus, “porous” doesn’t approach describing the reality. It’s to the point of why even bother pretending having a border security service?
My brother married a girl originally from Lagos. They live in an apartment in a Left Coast whitopia, but they noticed that they can get a 3-story townhouse with wood floors in Lagos for the same price, so now of course she wants to move there. They are intentionally oblivious leftists–the only kind of people who would move there. Glad to hear Z man is getting out.
Sounds like the old joke “Did you hear that you can buy a house 🏡 in Detroit for $1?”
“Yeah? What’s the catch?”
“You have to live in Detroit.”
Sounds like your brother and sister in law have to learn the stove is hot by putting their hands on the lit burner. I hope you can talk some sense into them.
She’s *from* there and wants to move back!?! Wow, I can sometimes forgive Portland shitlibs who move to Baltimore or Detroit when they hear about the fabulous bargains on houses there. Sometimes they do this even knowing that those cities are basically 100% black. Portland Whites, though, never meet actual, real blacks. The only blacks they know are the ones on TV who are all neurosurgeons and stockbrokers. I suppose it’s possible that your sister-in-law is one of those people I used to know who would say they were from Baltimore but actually lived way out in Harford or Carroll… Read more »
I enjoyed ZMan’s post, but I beg to differ on his assessment of Trump’s chances. I don’t think the Donald will be “gone.” He’ll weasel his way out of any conundrum (no disrespect intended by the use of weasel-word). He’s like a rubber ball in squash: whack him as hard as you like against the wall, he only bounces back harder. The thing about Trump is THE POLLS SHOW HIM BEATING BIDEN IN A GENERAL ELECTION. Even a year out, polls are pretty accurate indicators of what’s going to happen. It’s been that way since 2008, when Obama defied the… Read more »
Around Jan or Feb 2020 a second Orange term was looking pretty likely also
And how, pray tell, does one win an election when their NAME is not on the ballot?
The utter farcical illusion of ‘democracy’ is being torn down now in multiple states where leftists are just tossing his name off the ballot.
You are living in an alternate reality. The only ‘Republican’ that may ever get elected again will be a bone throw RINO just to give the kabuki theater that is our fake & gay government some passing semblance of credibility. See: Nimrata Randhawa Haley
Very pleased to see you use her REAL name, not that camouflage one. Would that every dissident did the same.
Yes. The GOP thought all of the following were great candidates:
John McCain
Jeb Bush
Mitt Romney
Ron DeSantis (turned out too ridiculous even for the GOP)
Nimarata
“ Even a year out, polls are pretty accurate indicators of what’s going to happen” Not really. Lot can happen in a year—even if you believe in polls. Polls are not necessarily accurate and are subject to great mischief. Let me remind everyone that the “polls” had Clinton ahead of Trump up until the week before the election. One poll had Clinton a 10-12 point favorite! That poll then began to alter their prediction everyday until the weekend before the election. Those statisticians/pollsters in the know said that this was basically impossible and described this organization as trying to “get… Read more »
Often topic, but important, I think. Jared believes that the blacks and the chosen are waking up to his ideas. He says many times, with some relief, “better late than never.” https://www.amren.com/podcasts/2023/12/blacks-for-trump/ This is an important moment because it’s rare when anyone makes a testable prediction in politics. Are the blacks and chosen going to take up Jared’s viewpoint to the degree that political changes are made? Or is Jared just making the same mistake that conservatives have been making for the last 50 years? My guess is that he is mistaken, but if he turns out to be correct,… Read more »
Am not following Jared as closely as I once did. However, the *test* of his hypothesis proves what—that the “talented tenth” might pull away from their “knee-jerk” ethnocentrism?
85% of the Black population in America is below average IQ. They can never obtain/earn a status equivalent to the population in the upper 50% of the curve. (This goes for other races as well.) Therefore, they have no choice but to band together to obtain power, handouts/welfare, and status unearned through dint of merit.
Jared should know, this can never end peacefully as Blacks have too much to lose.
A year’s end reply to Mr. House, below, re Left Coast Inmate’s urging to use what we have, where we’re at: “Me, I’m just broke and in debt. Got 5 family situations in several states I’m dealing with here, what do I do, just tell them to eff off? Captain of the Titanic, I know. But I was raised on Depression stories. They never quit, though by God they wanted to.” All that debt and brokeness is because I invested in other Dirt class like myself. I took on hard problems, intractable ones; personal stuff, problems and aspirations that have… Read more »
Am I the only one who thinks there is potentially a magnificent novel to be written based upon the travails described in this post. True wisdom is born of hard knocks and telling that story in all its inglorious detail can be a lesson to us all. That is your homework assignment. Chapter 1 is due by February.
I look forward to your contribution, since you once shared some of your early life. Your writing emphasizes the inescapable truth that life is existential struggle and we forget this at our peril.
As you wrote, “Chapter 1 is due by February.”
Yes.
Life is a struggle. Once you understand that it will go easier for you.
My greatest understanding as I reflect in old age is that my life has *not* simply been a product of my own doing. No, I accept “full* responsibility for my actions and resulting (negative) outcomes. However, there are so many points in my life where outcomes have been so fruitful, beneficial, positive (In hindsight) that it is beyond even my human arrogance to attribute such to myself. For those of you who are non-believers, you can call it “luck”. My wife and I can only attribute these things to Divine Providence, or Grace—and no one can claim they deserve such.… Read more »
Nice, Compsci. I’m not a believer, but I think that I understand and respect what you’re saying.
The world is complex and there are many different plausible interpretations for our experiences. It’s hard to adjudicate which one best explains the data.
On a philosophical note, as much as I am inclined towards determinism and the minimization of free will and nurture, it sure does seem that trying hard sometimes yields results that are surprising. If that feels like Providence or God to you, well, you may be right.
Compsci: Beautifully said. I, too, have been the unwarranted beneficiary of so much divine grace. Another important understanding that has come with age is an appreciation of just how much I’ve benefited from what others built before me. Sure, I was born with a certain IQ potential and worked for and earned my academic credentials, but none of that would have been possible without the founders and funders of those institutions (universally White Christians). Not to mention the wisdom of the ages written and printed and passed down and shared. So we are all a product and beneficiary of both… Read more »
As a side note, I love the term “dive bar” as a descriptor of this website. It’s a safe place where “locals” can bare their souls without inhibition or facade. Cheap beer and good company is the reward of a real life well-lived.
Yes, we are a meeting place of sorts. A “Cheers” writ live. However, the level of thought, insight, discussion, life experience, intellect, is really something special. Where else can a respectful/peaceful discussion be had between people of such divergent belief systems such as Christianity and atheism be found?
As I’ve said before, I come here half for Z-man and half for his comment section—which has expanded notably in the last couple of years. Some of the postings here are noting short of lectures I remember in my student days—yes, they are on that level.
I’ve never heard of Cozy or Ethan Ralph.
Or Google. A search engine.
I refueled my car yesterday at a Shell station in Freiburg-im-Breisgau, Germany and paid about 1.75€ per liter. There are 3.875 liters in a gallon (6.62€ per gallon). One euro is worth about a dollar ten. So I paid about $7.31 per gallon, not $10.00 per gallon. Gasoline prices are higher here in France, especially along the autoroute (2€ per liter). In 2020, the price of a liter of gasoline was about 1.25€ per liter.
I just paid $2.82 per US gallon at the Tonawanda Indian Reservation. All I gotta say for Euros and Canucks is…ouch.
In West Texas it’s running around $2.40.
Well the rez IS in NY so there’s that.
Same here. I paid 2.76 at the res outside of Pembroke NY. Local store is at 3.65. A fill-up of my Silverado saves me about $20, stocking up on smokes, another $80-100. My wife really wants me to quit smoking, and of course she is quite right. Yet, part of the fun of buying – and smoking – cigarettes bought at the res is in calculating the money I did not pay to the pirates in Albany. My monthly sojourn to the res is a pleasant drive too, as I use only back roads, not the Thruway with its Orwellian… Read more »
I’d really really like to know which moron it was who started putting the Euro symbol AFTER the number amount.
I have seen it go from “not at all” several years ago, to “everywhere”, in every Western European country on the continent, that uses the Euro.
Good cripes, I thought the average Americans were dumb….
Greg the Gay Johnson let appears on his boring blog some stuff against covidist madness.
I guess he let appears only if no one of his writers refers to Greg himself as mad covidist…
And OF COURSE, Greg himself carefully avoid to talk about that, between two scripts about random dead gay nazi.
The key to understanding Ukraine is Iraq. Same propaganda. Same chest-thumping bravado. And it will meet the same end: a client state of its next-door neighbor. We just decided to throw 500,000 Ukrainian men into the meat grinder instead of our own, having learned the one important lesson of Iraq which is to get other people to do your fighting for you. Once the public catches onto the scam (which they now have), you’re better off if they aren’t seeing body bags flying home in support of that scam. Expect Ukraine to devolve into something akin to the low-intensity insurgency… Read more »
Biden deteriorating by the day, his face has the look of a near-death dementia patient and has since before 2020. It loks like a wax figure being exposed to increasing heat and gradually beginning to smooth out and melt and run.
It speaks poorly of him and his family that they would put him through all this. They, with good reason, hate his guts and are using him for all they can.
Yeah I was talking to my dad about this the other day, that while evil people do seem to get ahead in life they usually end up in old age with their entire family hating them and are miserable and alone.
Biden certainly spent most of his life forcing his family and friends to kiss his asshole because they needed access to his influence. Now that he’s senile and they can just push him around they have no memories of him acting like a human being and justifiably no reason to treat him with any care or respect.
@Ploppy…they’ve living out their revenge fantasies.
I was calling it elder abuse long before anybody started using that description…
The entire Biden family is a bunch of whores and perverts who have made a living selling Daddy for cash. They will ride that gravy train to the bitter end. Because without it, they have nothing. If Joe croaked this week, Hunter would be found dead in a ditch within 2 years.
Hunter Biden is one of the World’s greatest living artists easily making $500k per painting although I am curious what the resale market is for Hunter Biden originals.
Yes, I call this one “Still Life with Hooker and Crack Pipe”. The title is a bit of an inside joke but I think she was actually still alive when I started the painting.
From your lips to God’s ears.
Been looking that way since 2020, eh? Not very near death, then.
They have a group of necromancers working tirelessly to animate Joe Biden’s corpse.
The ‘Weekend at Bernie’s’ presidency.
“We just decided”
Who is “we” and why do Ukrainians have to die for them?
Hookoda –
excellent post. While the talk of revenge is fine, I don’t see any of it really materializing. For me? Wake me up when 1m+ white people are descending on DC and open fire…
It’s nice to think about but if it actually happened then what? I haven’t a clue what would happen short and long term.
Who cares? As far as I’m concerned reform is a lost cause. My only wish is for a slow, painful end to the left and ruling class. Woodchippers for all.
I hate to be the naysayer on such a magnificent subthread here chez Z, but the following story is surely the moast important in all of 2023 [and moving forward thereafter into the new year]: Republican Governor of Ohio Vetoes Ban On Sex Changes For Minors At The 11th Hour 2023-12-29 https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4206606/posts Ever since the (((Enemy))) began infiltrating our nation in the second half of the 19th Century, White Christian Amurrikkkunz have had an existential blindspot in their surveyance of the purview of the sociological landscape. Culture >>>>>>> {Law, Finance, Military, Energy, Health Care, Environment, Wealth, and everything else put… Read more »
“White Christian Amurrikkkunz have had an existential blindspot in their surveyance of the purview of the sociological landscape.” JQ: are we Jews? EMJ mentioned it recently, certain Anglicans taking up the idea they’re one of the tribes of Israel. Someone mentioned on here a little while back Germanic types are natural spergs iirc. Sounds right to me. I can picture people thinking through the logic of Christianity and coming to the contradiction— Gentiles worshipping a Hebrew god. Which, to the sperg mind, might leave two possibilities: apostasy, or we must be Hebrews! Ugh, the sperg out. How about Jesus fulfilled… Read more »
If Trump just “went away,” I don’t think the “right” would lift a finger. This seems to me like the “3rd way” out of the corner the regime has painted itself into, where it either has to burn it all down to prevent another Trump term, or burn it all down after he becomes president again.
But they could have something else entirely planned. As I keep saying, who could have predicted the plandemic?
“Trump, OTOH, will be excited to debate Biden…”
That could work. Trump could give his answers, then step a few feet to another podium and give his impression of Biden giving his answers. That would be funny as heck. Could probably even put it on Pay Per View.
He’d have to focus on Biden’s stupidity, though, probably refrain from mocking his disability. Which might be tough for Trump.
The bigger picture re Ukraine and the Mideast is that the movers and shakers are prepping not one, but two key gateway states in the New Silk Road.
Tollhouses, if you will. In other words, they expect the future to continue.
Hokkoda
You received 33 (at time of posting) likes.
But man: please consider writing an actual paper book that I can pay for.
A wall of text, even with considerate paragraph breaks, is too much for this reader; and others, I’d imagine too.
I write for me.
Long, insightful comments are one of many reasons this blog provides so much value. If a long comment isn’t insightful, it can be skimmed or skipped. If it’s a rambling incoherent mess or disagreeable in some way, it can be downvoted.
It’s really not that hard.
The fact that hokkoda’s “wall of text” comment now has 44 likes is strong evidence that it provided value. In contrast, your odd complaint about its length has zero upvotes and five downvotes.
These numbers speak for themselves.
Yeah, the “wall of text” is surmountable with little effort, compared say to Finnigan’s Wake or something.
Or an op-ed by George Will, if he’s still alive (haven’t checked).
No matter what outcome, the election in 2024 will be a Black Swan. A year from now our country will not be the same. There will be clarity as to the actually-existing battle lines, there will be no more Normies, there will be no more piffle as to “Our Democracy”. My own prediction is that Biden will win, and win handily, quite possibly unanimously, as the GOP may not even have the vigor to field a realistic candidate. The motto of the ruling Party will be, in effect, “What are you going to do about it?” Hard swimming ahead, folks.… Read more »
“the safe bet is that current trends will continue”. Words to live by.
By definition you can’t plan for something you can’t predict. I stopped investing in my 401k and was hoarding bullets, toilet paper and whiskey, until my sister and brother in-law set me straight. The best bet is tomorrow will be pretty much like today. Invest your time and resources accordingly.
(How are all you preppers doing? After fifteen years, isn’t the hobby getting a bit boring?)
Zulu Juliet: Why not both (bullets/beans/bandaids + investing)? As far as trusting that they won’t nationalize/take your 401k, as they’ve been discussing for years, a lot depends on how the vote fortification goes and how restless some natives get over 2024 economic circumstances. I’d rather have a paid -off mortgage/car than numbers on a screen. Yes, even after they take their damned tax share – we’re past the penalty age but they still ream you on taxes because by now we’re supposed to be living minimally on social security. Too bad we don’t follow their script.
Amen @3g – Since I started my career I tried to do everything right. I’ve grown my salary, worked hard, I’ve saved/invested the max for retirement. In addition I stocked up on thousands of rounds of ammunition, stayed clear of any doubt outside my mortgage and put as much additional money away as possible in the hopes that my wife and I can retire comfortable in a rural setting where I can be rid of diversity and spend my time fishing, playing music and meddling in the software projects I enjoy. The hoarding of the ammunition was for when they… Read more »
Tired Citizen: Just keep an eye on your savings and investments. I know that plenty of people do extremely well in the stock market, and my husband bemoans times that he should have done this or that and we’d have an extra ‘x’ amount of money now, but . . . I don’t trust either the market or the banks. Even when it comes to cash, I’m of the belief that if you don’t hold it, you don’t own it. Between the end of Glass-Steagal and bank bail-ins, plus the past three years’ inflation, you’re better off with tangible goods… Read more »
3g4me-
According to this chart, all we had to do 20 years ago is put every last cent into Apple:
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/monster-ous-returns-these-are-top-sp-500-stocks-over-past-20-years
Look, I was offered Bitcoin at a dollar a coin. Hindsight is an amazing thing. Was relating that story over the holiday and then it was matched by another Bitcoin story from a nerd who during the day remembered a posting of an early adopter who managed to turn (trade) his 29 Bitcoins into a pizza and was quite happy to do something with his worthless/useless Bitcoins. 😉
Sounds like we are in the same situation. Buying extra bullets got tiresome. If 5,000 rounds of .223 isn’t enough, another 1,000 rounds won’t solve whatever problems I will be facing.
PS: All the down votes from you preppers made me smile. Who da seen that coming?
indeed, when you can’t decide tween one or the other, go 50/50.
Knowing the skill sets of my neighbors and contemporaries, I have accumulated 6,000 butane lighters. They’ll be worth their weight in gold when things turn to shit. Sure, it’s a gamble; after all you can’t eat them. But in a post-industrial free-for-all, barter will emerge naturally, and the ability to make fire will be a “hard asset” exchangeable for other basic requirements. On the same principle I have begun stocking cases of decent (though by no means superior) bourbon. People are going to want disinfectants, and getting seriously lit from time to time. Highly exchangeable, value-dense commodities answering basic needs… Read more »
Have you learned nothing from the last five years? Since then government, federal, state or local, can shut any business down, lock everyone in their house, your neighborhood can be burned down with police standing by drinking coffee. Gov can demand to see your permit to walk the street, food can get twice as expensive in a few months, civilian ammo production can be shut down. Medicines run out. And there are currently at least two wars with the potential to go boom! Better to have extra food and fuel and not need it than to need it and not… Read more »
Why would you wish this fool good luck? Especially after insulting you? He’s gonna get what he deserves.
Hey man they listened to their sister and brother-in-law, so you can’t argue with that sort of condescension.
Everybody should prep “some.” The mistake is thinking you can prep for the end of the world, and predict when and how that happens (unless you really want to live that way). Probably the best prepping is not having any debt.
Unless you’re a billionaire and can afford your own self sustaining compound on some south seas island. In which case you’re probably not reading this blog.
All preppers are is a target for the local warlord. If you join a church and learn a stone age skill you’re better prepared than organizing cans and bullets.
Defending yourself with kitchen knives will be a lot harder than with bullets. The local war lord won’t last long if he picks all the houses with bullets wrapped in guns. His successor will pick the “guns are evil” houses
Unless you’re the warlord, that is.
And you’re not a target for the zombies if you don’t prep? Another genius!
After reading the comments on prepping, my only advice is, don’t tell anyone what you are doing.
‘Loose lips sink ships’.
Good OPSEC is critical. Look as normal an unassuming as possible.
100%. Prepping is just stupid.
The Communist takeover of Russia and the ensuing Soviet domination of the surrounding area went on for almost 100 years.
You can’t hide in a cave for 4 generations.
The better bet, if you truly believe the end is nigh is to use your US Passport and go somewhere else. You choose where.
2020 really narrowed down the expat options. Pretty well eliminated the “west” and the Pacific Rim entirely. The country that came through that with its sanity most intact just happened to be right next door. Mexico. If they don’t become part of the Greater North American Co Prosperity Sphere in the ensuing years, which I think is a danger. But you can’t plan for everything.
If I were a young white man in the United States today, I would seriously think about emigrating to Uruguay. It’s a relatively stable country and Spanish isn’t a particularly difficult language to learn.
Even they had a jab mandate (Mexico never did). But I guess you could do worse.
Actually some people did go hide in the woods from the Soviets for 4 generations. They got really good at chopping wood.
ProZNoV: You’re better than this ‘all or nothing’ fallacy. I’m not hiding in a cave, but I have moved far away from the city and I love it. Yes, I am safer and more private but I am no hundred-year hermit. I don’t have 10 years’ of food put aside, but I do have extras so I don’t have to drive into town all the time other than for fresh produce or extra meat. I have no emergency medical training but I do have a variety of OTC meds. There is prepping and then there is prepping. We lived through… Read more »
Edit: failure to plan etc . . . is planning to fail.
3g4me: I respect your opinion. +1., all comments, always. Prepping for a disruption (natural disaster like a hurricane, grid overload, flood, or tornado) is common sense. Personally, I’m good for a year, minimum. MAYBE for an EMP event (weeks, or months). But “prepping” for a totalitarian cycle like a civil war or communist takeover isn’t rational. It’s insane. Absent a “mannerbund” (non-existent, in the USA), the only rational response is to leave. Even then, some fights can’t be won. Before it’s too late. Our forefathers had the courage to come here from their troubled countries. Those who survived the 6+… Read more »
ProZNoV: I equally respect and value your comments and opinions. Now that you have clarified your comment, I can agree that ‘prepping’ with a view to somehow surviving or waiting out “x” decades of an actively hostile regime is not rational or feasible. And I take your point that various people leaving their European nations for America over the past few centuries was a rational and ultimately good decision. But it was also a large gamble. They had no guarantee the US was going to continue to be hospitable and succcessful, but given their era and worldview it was a… Read more »
I used to tease my wife about how she would buy a case of TP every time we went to Sam’s Club. She had been doing that for years, and we had probably 4 cases (5 packages per case, 9 rolls per package)…maybe 180 rolls squirreled around the house. Then COVID hit and she would laugh at me and pointed at what was probably a 3-year supply of TP. She also had bought an extra 25lb bag of jasmine rice which got hard to find for a few months. Suddenly, her mild bit of prepping didn’t seem so dumb. We… Read more »
Do you have any idea how completely dark it gets when there is no ambient light, like car headlights, streetlights, lights from buildings etc. I’m talking so dark that you could walk off the road into a ditch if you didn’t have a flashlight. To that end I have bought, and regularly test, hand crank lanterns with solar cells on the tops, 1 minute of cranking provides 15 minutes of light similar to a 40 watt bulb. So far it’s really working out, one is enough to see what’s on your dinner plate, milk the goats in midwinter, do homework,… Read more »
We live outside the edge an urban area in Colorado and even there if I turn off the lights around my porch it’s a squint-and-step to the mailbox after dark.
I had a set of those hand crank flashlights as a kid. Squeeze it 10-15 times and get enough just to power the bulb for 30-40 seconds. I imagine with LED technology you can get a lot more time these days.
We have a lot of solar-powered lights. If you don’t leave them out in the weather, the batteries last a decade or more.
Prepping is only really expensive if you’re using it as an excuse to have a giant gun collection. And the boomers doing that aren’t going to be ruling the world with their AR-15s, the marauders will simply wait to move in until the rascal tips over and Rambo is left helplessly flailing his diabetic limbs like a flipped turtle.
Beans and mylar bags are cheap, and setting up your home with stuff like water collectors just takes time and effort not much money.
Ploppy: Or if you want a fairly extensive solar power backup system. I cannot imagine exposing my private life to public view by having a video blog, but I will admit envying all the free solar batteries/generators/inverters vloggers get in exchange for promotional and how-to videos.
Household solar isn’t that pricy if you just stop using your major electrical appliances, which, unfortunately, includes your coffee pot. I have two chest freezers that I’ve covered with several layers of cheap extruded foam board, and it’s a negligible draw.
But unless you live somewhere far enough away that the drones won’t catch the reflection off the panels, you are not likely to be able to keep them if it really does go SHTF.
Good Lord top pissing on the boomers, that’s just what theTribe wants you to do.
I’m just calling them as I sees them, and when I go to a gun store I see a lot of gray hair and dudes that seriously need to trade just one of their guns in to go buy a gym membership. The AR-15 is essentially a giant pacifier so we Americans can stay fat and weak convincing ourselves that we’re strong and secure.
I think it was investment guru Jim Dines, back in the 1970s who famously observed that a trend, once in motion, tends to continue until it ends. 🙂
I didn’t go to quite the lengths Dad did (in the 1970s “prepper” was called “survivalist”). But I do have a collection of tinned food ca. 2020 most of which is past sell date and is slowly being eaten.
I’m expecting housing prices to go up at least 5.4% due to expected Federal Reserve rate cuts and the stock market ETFs like VTI to return at least 10%.
Looking at housing, I don’t understand how the US isn’t on a path toward favelization, particularly with the massive inflows of third world poor just walking across the border. Concurrently with this, there’s comparatively little new housing for either purchase or rent being constructed.
The swarthy hordes don’t need much new housing; They are packed into hotels at government expense, or living thirty-five to a McMansion (twelve to a double-wide).
Zulu Juliet: “living thirty-five to a McMansion (twelve to a double-wide)” At some point in muh adolescence, it dawned on moi that necessarily pioneers in dirt-floored one-room log-cabins must have all slept in the same room [on account of there having been only one room, in the first place, to possibly have slept in]. Then almost immediately thereafter, muh adolescent pea-brain started wondering, “Well then how do the youngsters get made, if everyone is in the same room?” And pretty quickly muh adolescent pea-brain realized that the older children just had to lie there on the dirt floor, pretending to… Read more »
Crystal ball gazing is an inherently difficult affair and one of the hazards is extrapolating on the basis of past trends. So don’t be too hard on yourself if some odd prediction comes out not quite right. Meanwhile — and I know you don’t like him — here is Jim Kunstler’s prognosis for the new year:
https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nation/do-you-dare-even-look-forecast-2024/
It’s bleak but plausible. I need my daily bad news to slake the needs of my pessimistic personality and this delivers it in spades.
Arshad Ali: Kunstler is very much a “sky is falling” type, but still interesting to read/skim. His personal rabbithole is ‘peak oil,’ which I think is a distant ‘x’ to many other threats and concerns. I don’t make specific predictions (too many areas I’m ignorant of plus I don’t think the way most other people do) but enjoy reading others’. Plus ‘doomporn’ has its own black appeal.
Fair enough. I’ve mostly stopped reading him myself because of the sheer repetition. Not that I don’t agree with him, but you can’t keep saying the same thing over and over again.
The problem with Kunstler is he is pessimistic for all the wrong reasons. He’s a “limits to growth” type guy. While there is probably some truth in limits to growth, we really don’t know where they are or where we could become steady state. The only thing we know for sure is we cannot extrapolate the last 100 years very far in the future without cooking ourselves. Not by global warming, but by the waste heat of our heat engines. Whatever happens, I don’t think any of us will ever see anything like what he proposes in his fiction books,… Read more »
Why is this subject not being treated as, (((Kunstler)))?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Howard_Kunstler#Background
Reading (((insert any y!d’s name here))) is simply inviting the Mind Virus into your brain.
Unless you’re reading it for purposes of reverse-engineering it [either to understand history or to prepare for future (((psy-ops)))].
PS: The concept you’re encountering here is known as, “(((Demoralization Pr0n)))”.
JHK is a master of invective, and if he’s repetitive, well, so is Z man for that matter. Guys who crank out free hardcore dissident text several times a week, while also living their lives and earning their daily bread, are to be respected if not admired. Kunstler doesn’t get lost in lucubrations about the “death of conservatism”, the “failure of libertarianism”, the travails of internet wannabe “influencers” like Nick Fuentes et al, who in the real world no one has ever heard of. No. He doesn’t waste his or our time searching for sources of our crisis in the… Read more »
What’s the “w” for?
Weinstein?
I think we’re a nation of trust fund brats. Can’t figure otherwise. I mean, people work at home and speculate (gamble), and I’m supposed to believe that creates wealth? Yet the consumption goes on. It has to be seed corn being eaten. The idea that wealth can be conjured by fiat makes no sense. To my mind, that’s an infinite debt that can only lead to slavery, and I imagine that’s why I look around and see these people farming operations everywhere. Milk cows probably think they have it good and never realize what McDonald’s hamburgers are made of. How… Read more »
I think the regime’s focus for 2024 will be on maintaining the appearance of “normalcy.” It’s an election year after all, and not one in which the orange man is the incumbent (for which the opposite was required in 2020). This should hold true whether or not Biden is replaced on the ballot. If he is replaced, it will be sold as normal, with a lot of LBJ comparisons. Their ability to maintain the normalcy facade will be a great test of how powerful they still are. Any big plans they have for shaking things up will wait ’til 2025.… Read more »
Since you are mentioning WW2, did you know that official excess deaths (non-Covid) are now far exceeding WW2 deaths in the UK and in the US? And yet, it’s not not considered important enough to be in the news.
It’s important enough, but the news is controlled wrt these things. Eventually it will get out, but look for the argument that this excess death rate is directly responsible *by* Covid—not the vaccine—and further that those not adhering to the “program” were responsible for the spread and subsequent “after effect” of Covid infection. Never however, will the government authorities accept any responsibility. The US system is too corrupt for this “truth and reconciliation” process. Look to Europe for a more reasoned “after action” analysis.
“Never however, will the government authorities accept any responsibility.”
The surest prediction for 2024.
I doubt Europe will do much better. We may hear some noise, but no consequences for the people responsible.
No consequences? Yes, no consequences here and over there most likely. However, there seems to be some hope for a more truthful examination of the Covid scamdemic and aftermath IMHO coming from Europe. At least I see some hope there.
Tough year for many of our folk. The loss of Jeff Winston is a definite blow. We could use more men like him creating those on-ramps for dissident/pro-white topics and ideas as Zman has mentioned in the past. As it is an election year, there will be more general interest about social and political ideas dissident creators champion. It’s a good time for us all to get more involved. Not just in discussions about matters outside of our control, but doing things meaningful and uplifting for the people in our community. If anyone reading has some useful links to dissident… Read more »
With regards to my comments yesterday, here is something to ponder:
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/when-will-fed-pivot
I think the gentleman is being optimistic, we won’t make it to august.
The Fed will pivot when they finally break the stock market, because that is what is most visible to the masses.
Perhaps, but they pivoted before then in 2019. Remember, the market started to collapse in December of 2018. Fed started cutting rates from the ever so high of 2.5 in the spring of 2019. By the fall of 2019 another banking crisis had begun, the did some QE but didn’t announce it. They needed something big to really open the floodgates. We all remember what came next.
Good point. But they are much higher now. TBH, I am very surprised the stock market has not collapsed yet.
I only think they were able to go higher this time because they had injected somewhere around 5 to 6 trillion in a few months in 2020. QE from 08 ended around 2015, the fed began raising very slowly in 2017. Yellen did a .25 raise in 2015 i think, and the market thru a fit, so she quit. The Fed also resumed limited QE in march of this year when those banks failed. Its only a matter of time before they destroy the currency one way or another. QE is like a drug, each next hit has a lesser… Read more »
I’m more surprised housing hasn’t collapsed, but then again people are locked in a super low rates, so they ain’t moving. And i think alot of .govs 2 trillion yearly deficits and the QE from the FED in 2020-2021 is keeping alot of corporates from laying off. Its all politics now, fundamentals are dead and gone.
I believe we have quite a way to go yet, Dont buy the magnificent 7 though.
What explains the insane market run up in Q4? Is it pre-loading the gains that the expected rate drops will bring or can we expect even more gains when the inevitable rate drop is announced?
“What explains the insane market run up in Q4?” From what the FED has said, i’d say it was because they stated at the beginning of december they weren’t planning on any rate cuts in 2024 and then about twelve days later they said they did see rate cuts in 2024. Usually the market drops with rates being cut. The biggest difference between now and 2008 i would argue, is that the rest of world might be sick and tired of us and europe setting prices. I think that was what 2020 was about. In my opinion 2020 was the… Read more »
Gasoline in Germany is $6.60 per gallon. Not $10. Prices topped under $10 only for a few months.
I was in Germany last month and paid €2.50 a liter. That roughly ten-fifty a gallon, after currency conversion. Maybe I was in a pricey area.
That must have been an extremely expensive area. Sometimes they put a high premium on gasoline along the highways. Same in Austria or Slovenia.
Normal price is around €1.60. Was even lower earlier this year.
Not sure why my response was not allowed.
Anyway, the real prices are almost a whole euro lower and have been for several months. Your experience was a freak outlier. Sometimes, they add a large premium next to highways, so maybe you paid there?
My brain briefly went on tilt at that exchange rate until I realized it was a communist volume measurement.
Why can’t I respond to Z’s comment?
Sundance at Conservative Treehouse has a theory about the sanctions on Russia. He says the sanctions were not for the purpose of punishing Russia, TPTB knew that would not work. Instead the sanctions are part of a plan to isolate us in order to invoke their digital currency scheme. The cabal is fencing us in not keeping Russia out.
The sanctions are designed to keep us in the system. The scam will be complete when the digital currency is enacted. TPTB will have near complete control.
Sundance had been staring at the sun too much. TPTB’s modus operandi is “submit or die (if eventually)” expansionism, not fencing in and drawing borders.
Well the fencing in part is for us. Not for the GAE.
Oh, and the Borders are financial and investment in nature only. TPTB have no intention of stopping the invaders coming in.
The sanctions were clearly targeted at Europe and designed to keep it within the empire. CBDC also may be a goal, but the main one it would seem was to make the Western satrapies even more dependent. This portends to be a dreadful year, and watch Germany. The industrialists there are pissed at what has been done to them.
As well as the NS pipeline destruction.
At this point I’d think that the big German industrialist families are beginning to contemplate finding another painter with a funny mustache….
But he needs to be from Austria.
It seems to me that CBDC is a plan-b and not really a goal. Whatever problems the Dollar has, it is a major source of their power. Severing connections with the USD severs them from that power. Tying the USD to the CBDC just brings all of the problems of the Dollar onto the CBDC. It wouldn’t give them a clean new start. I’m pretty ignorant of finance, so there may be aspects totally invisible to me. But at best, it seems like internal control would be the only real benefit.
They would have to announce some jubilee, which would also destroy their control. Debt is the modern form of slavery when not used for productive purposes. Or perhaps remove all supports that have been keeping things on life support, let people starve, and beg for a CBDC? If people lost their jobs for a year or two, how many wouldn’t have to beg for something? They think their 401k is a savings account………
I think TPTB want CBDC, but I don’t think they have fully grasped the infrastructure and human capital required to implement, operate, and maintain such a system.
The X-factor is – do those resources still exist in the GAE?
For various reasons, I don’t believe they do.
That said, TPTB are going to do immense amounts of damage as they fail to fulfill their digital currency wish.
They’ll likely wait to see how China manages to do it, make some half-hearted noises about it being an impingement on human rights, and then implement it anyway at the first available moment. However, it will have none of the efficiency of China’s digital currency.
IIRC, Beijing ran a high-profile digital currency pilot program during the 2022 Winter Olympics.
I don’t think that pilot went all that well.
I know they have had ongoing pilot programs since then, but I haven’t seen much reliable information on them.
The CBDC will be in “U.S. dollars.” It will not eliminate the dollar.
Fun walk down memory lane; good on you for a review. In re: Alex Jones verdict. Rudy Giuliani fined nearly $150 MILLION for “defaming” two randos in another state. Absolute madness and a taste of where the winds are blowing. SBF is actually in trouble. Apparently rich, powerful people don’t like to get publicly screwed. The money power beats the political power, for now. — Requests for next years predictions: 1. Southern Border woes. Infinite immigration? 2. “America’s Greatest Ally”: Does the world figure out just bypass the US for help and just go direct to AGA and ask them… Read more »
Looks like the swamping of the US is one of their main objectives, so millions of illegals will continue to come until we meet them with force…
Covid was no accident..Japanese scientists have established that all variants were made in a lab….The deathvax continues to kill, as many obits confirm, though the cause is always listed as something else..
No one foresaw the incredibly effective Houthi blockade which is changing the ME…
Prediction? PAIN.
Bitcoin is, surprisingly, above $40k. Maybe it will collapse in 2024.
So far crypto is behaving like “collectibles,” specifically trading cards, with prices moving almost meaninglessly, almost all products suddenly falling entirely out of the market, etc. Bitcoin is the big name, the Magic The Gathering of the genre. There *will be* a last guy who pays $70,000 for a Black Lotus, and soon thereafter nobody will regard it as anything but ugly old cardboard. The “market” is don’t be him. It’s been an interesting test run for our future social-credit currencies. Bitcoin *is* surveillance; it has no other plausible claim to value. Who buys it? Reliably regime-obedient demographics who consider… Read more »
My recommendation is to sell Magic/Pokemon Cards and Super Nintendos when the bulk of the Millennials hit their midlife crises. Although maybe they already had that happen in their 30s instead of the typical 40s/50s.
I don’t understand how anyone even thinks bitcoin is an investment…… you may as well just buy a pet rock. Lets see, randomly came out of nowhere in 2008 or 09. Nobody knows who created, the Feds had just injected at shit ton of money into the markets (for the time) and it doesn’t occur to anyone it just may have been an inflation escape valve? Something you can’t hold physically and requires electricity and the internet to access. Yeah that sounds like a great way to buck the system!
at least you can take your pet rock to parties to show your friends!
As Yogi Berra was supposedly quoted, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”
Congratulations on the new abode and good luck fixing it up to your liking Z.
Whatever happens in 2024, it’ll be dumber than we could ever imagine.
The next big thing; “why didn’t I think of that??” Because you’re not insane or satanic so you don’t stand a chance in this game
Pretty solid predictions. Globohomo didn’t get the Serbian regime change they wanted. But instead they got one in Poland. And their first move was to crack down on independent media. So now Poland can be properly enriched
I agree with the comments that the “no recession” is probably fake. They lie about everything and the economy is one of the easiest things for them to lie about.
The party did try to rally around the sacred black man, but he turned out to be too ridiculous even for the Republicans.
The firehose flow of…stuff…is such that I read this and had to think for a few seconds before remembering Tim Scott.
The future is always going to be different than we think it will be. Things will happen and be invented we aren’t expecting. So Z had a good hit rate for this year. The problem with predictions now is more than normal reality plays no important role in the worldview of the elite and managerial class. In any organization, the easiest way to get ahead now is by jumping on any bandwagon cheered by the top people. Yes, a tranny will help us sell working class beer. Yes, we can defeat Russia since it is only a gas station with… Read more »
My prediction is Trump will not be the GOP candidate. He will be on the ballot in a few red states but that’s it. Playing in the system is like playing chess with someone who can change the rules as he pleases
Well, the RNC seems resigned to Trump as the nominee. They’ve canceled the remaining debates – because it’s pointless. There is no electoral way to stop Trump. The usual suspects put out some puff polls for Nikki Romney, but nobody believes those. Trump will easily secure a majority of delegates by Super Tuesday in March. He will win by margins 10% or higher than his current polling. For base voters, this is about inflicting a political vendetta, revenge, on the Government Party. Recent feeble efforts to keep him off the ballot will not succeed because their assertion of “insurrection” is… Read more »
I hope you’re right. But they’re trying all the lawfare tricks and they’re talking about smoking him, in the Washington Post no less. I think they’d do anything to stop him. We’ll see
My only issue with your analysis is thinking Trump can get elected. The only question is how many fake ballots in PA/GA/AZ/NV/MI would be so many that the media could not spin election fraud as a conspiracy theory. He would probably have to win by 10% nationally, where several hundred thousand fake ballots in each swing state is not enough.
I predict a Ruby Ridge type event somewhere in West Virginia next year. Hopefully thwarted.
Good god, that comment is pure black humor. (or would be better to say “noir” humor at this point)?
Maybe not West Virginia but somewhere, good chances of that
Maybe not Ruby Ridge, but if Trump gains traction and energy despite the regime’s best efforts, expect a MAGA killing. Trump will disavow and then step in every regime trap laid for him.
That would make sense if he had stepped into every trap laid for him so far. They’ve literally had to invent crimes in order to find a way to charge him. Government: Here are your documents Trump: Thanks, deliver them to MAL Government: OK, here you go. Government: did you put a lock on the door? Trump: No, but we have one now. Government: Give the documents back. Trump: Why? Government: They’re classified Trump: But you have copies of everything, and I declassified them. Government: No, they’re called “National Security information” now. Trump: You made that up. Prove it. Government:… Read more »
I hope you’re right. I fear there are no where near enough executioners to pull it off.
Me too. I call it operation:decapitation. Fire as many as you can and do it all at once.
The first line of self defense in a rural environment is instead of paying someone to pump your septic tank you dig it out yourself and put the stuff in strategically placed holes with a very thin layer of dirt on top to hide it.
What if I save myself the effort and buy a high-pressure water pump, connect it to the tank, and hook it up to a motion detector with a manual override option?
That would be glorious.
Ever driven past a dairy farm? Sure the pasture is nice and lush but that smell….
Back in the late 1980’s the local meat processing plant that employed most of the town decided to turn the unused cattle parts into a sludge and spread it on their corn fields. It was like living next to an open-air cemetery during the plague. We didn’t have A/C back then, so you had to sleep with your windows open at night in June and it was just awful. A few years later everyone figured out that mad cow disease was being caused by inserting the nervous systems of dead cows back into the food chain, so the practice was… Read more »
West Virginia? That’s Tim Pool compound territory. Surprised he hadn’t been Ruby Riged yet.
First nuclear strike, they have to be sure
Outlaw graffiti, 2026: “Zman lives!”
I thought 2023 was just going to be a crappy year and was right. The stolen-election administration doing it’s best to destroy and replace any opposition. Every foreign policy move is the opposite of our national interests. The economy limps along. How bad this is gets more obvious to anyone paying attention.
2024 looks really ugly. Bad enough that I’m stocking up on ammo, seeds, and dried food. Hope I’m wrong.
Good things to stock up on. There’s no saying what nutty thing happens next. I’d include gold and silver (physical possession) if you can afford it and you probably have a plan for water already
Maxda: I don’t want to go down the rabbit hole, and everyone has his specific theory, but between the push to eat bugs and the increasing cost of everything, not to mention last year’s drought impacting price/availability of hay so lots of culling of cattle, I believe one ought to stock forms of animal protein. You can easily ‘put aside’ various grains, rice, beans etc. at what is an increased but still modest cost. But protein and fat – specifically olive oil and beef – have skyrocketed. Fwiw – I first saw mention of these a few years ago at… Read more »
Also, chest freezers are cheap (small/medium ones) and use minimal electricity. Just bought one for a friend for Christmasl.
Wow, Prepper meats, top o’ the list.
Super thanks, 3g,
Seeds
Water tanks- use 55 gal plastic trash cans (I do)
Water filter straws
Fire, lighters, candles
Peroxide & alcohol
Layabout: “The future, my friend, is one word: Gerbils!”
The Fed can pump out enough funny money to keep it going until November. Then it all comes crashing down.
Maybe we are not technically in a recession because we borrowed another two trillion dollars and inserted it into the economy?
How many years in a row can a country borrow two trillion dollars before something really bad happens?
This. They delayed a recession by setting the stage for a depression and collapse.
You will never have a technical depression with fiat currency. The establishment will always print to infinity and real, useful assets like housing will continue increasing in price.
The second leg down of the 2008 depression began in 2020. Change my mind.
Depressions don’t have massively inflating equity prices, housing prices, and a blue collar labor shortage.
Even from 2010 through 2019, the economy was generally improving and asset prices greatly increased.
You never heard of weimar germany?
It was only “improving” if you played their game. That game was to rob anyone who didn’t want to gamble in the stock market of their return on savings. Think about it, 2008 was a liquidity crisis. What goes up in value when money is short? If everyone is going bust and you have cash, do you lend it for 0% or do you lend it for 20%? All the industries we’ve touted the last 40 years, healthcare, higher education, do not create wealth. They just transfer it from one person to another. Not to mention both of those industries… Read more »
You must play the game based on the expectations of what the other players are going to do. Just because you are unhappy with the establishment doesn’t mean you should play sub-optimally. Stocking up on gold and silver to use because you want a total collapse of the current system is not a good investment, they’re fantasy investments. ‘Safe’ investments will never match the true inflation rate of important goods and services such as housing. Yes, people will be forced to invest in the stock market and yes, I would encourage that over becoming impoverished via fixed rate investments because… Read more »
@leftcoastinmate
So why do you even come here to comment if you’re just gonna play the game? Why are any of us here?
People like yourself who rationalize cheating and evil are why we are where we are. Hope you and yours make it thru to the otherside with all your material possessions! Theft is ok as long as i play the game! Murder is ok as long as i play the game!
Because, House, it’s the only game in town.
You gotta do what you can with what you have, where you’re at.
If it allows me to buy time, or beans & bullets, or prep land- then I’ll use a tool to better my people’s chances.
Least harm, greatest good. It’ all a tradeoff.
The only thing you do by doing what “they” want you to do, is provide them with more fuel. More power. Do the opposite. Stop supporting those you dislike and disagree with.
Look where that game has gotten us now? Was it worth it? Serious question.
There is no labor shortage; the term you’re looking for is competency crisis.
You’ll only get competency if you allow failure. So again, stems from the bailouts in 2008 and 2020. Printing money isn’t meant to make your life better, its meant to keep those in power in power.
It all resembles Boiler Room and the scene about ‘nigger rich.’ “Greg Weinstein : [to Seth, while driving in his Ferrari] You’ve got to realize half the kids you and I grew up with, remember in Hebrew school shoving match was a big deal? Worst case scenario somebody got their Yarmulke knocked off it’s true these guys are no joke they get all tanked up, throw a quick fist some of them actually enjoy it, like Richie what the fuck is that? Probably thought I was being tough back there with that guy, I was shitting my pants, fucking Guineas,… Read more »
Some of us have principles and look down on corporate welfare 😉
If things keep going the way they’re going though, we’ll all be corporate welfare soon.
Me, I’m just broke and in debt.
Got 5 family situations in several states I’m dealing with here, what do I do, just tell them to eff off?
Captain of the Titanic, I know. But I was raised on Depression stories. They never quit, though by God they wanted to.
“I did not finish my book.”
An interviewer once asked Michener how he found the time to write those expansive novels. His reply was “Four pages a day.” A 1,000 page book in less than a year.
Sounds easy until you’re staring at a blank page on a typewriter (or screen on a computer in this modern age) but it sounds as though you have the discipline for it. Put me down for a copy when it’s for sale and Happy New Year with blessings for your new abode.
Talent is far less important than discipline as well as output. Michener left that part out. I really am a firm believer that applied discipline leads to revealed talent. The lack of instant gratification in that, though, is enough to put off most people.
Hemingway had that mentality. Wrote all morning and played with the kids all afternoon. Like it was an office job.
From chatgpt James Michener, the renowned American author known for his epic historical novels, was known for his meticulous research and attention to detail. While Michener did not have a “research staff” in the way modern media or corporate structures might envision, he did employ a team of researchers, editors, and assistants to help him gather information, fact-check details, and assist with various aspects of the writing process. Michener often traveled extensively to the locations he wrote about, spending time immersing himself in the culture, history, and geography of each place. Additionally, he consulted numerous primary and secondary sources, conducted… Read more »
Reposting three from me. The rest are best forgotten. >Iran and Saudi Arabia hold direct talks brokered by Erdogan. Brokered by the Chinese not the Turks. They are now talking, but the Borg is engaging in reality avoidance about this, because it upends almost half a century of US policy. Sort of proud of this call. >The Daily Shoah ends after episode 1088. TDS lives, but is gasping for air (despite the wooden doors). NJP not so much. >The ADL reports a troubling upswing in whites engaging in blatant anti-defamation. This was supposed to be a gimmie. Like predicting the… Read more »