It is that time of year again when I slaughter a goat, examine the entrails, and reveal to the world what will happen in the coming year. Given that last year’s hit rate was spectacular, the entrails tell me you should send a donation to the Seer of Lagos for providing this valuable service. There is no “black swan” prediction in the mix as by definition any such prediction would no longer qualify as a black swan event if it were to happen, so 2024 will be white swans all the way down.
Trump Will win Iowa and Ron DeSantis will finish second with Haley finishing a disappointing third place, tied with Ramaswamy. In New Hampshire, Trump will win the state with DeSantis finishing tied for third place with Ramaswamy, who will start talking about himself as having momentum. Trump meanwhile will win South Carolina and Michigan with more than half the vote. He will demand that the other candidates drop out of the race, with Ramaswamy being the only one to do so.
In the spring the convictions will start to come in from the various kangaroo courts accusing Trump of being a big meanie. This will have no impact on his polling, but the media will begin to form a narrative where the party feels it has no choice but to disqualify Trump and expel him from the party. The Supreme Court will take one of the 14th amendment cases, but hold off on delivering a verdict, giving the Republicans time to figure out how to expel Trump and relieve the court of this burden.
This will create chaos in the party as voters will accuse the remaining candidates of being in on this new round of election rigging. Someone will stand up at a Haley campaign event and caller her a rigger. With the remaining candidates so unpopular, the party will look outside the field and ask Glenn Youngkin to join the race. He will be quietly guarantied the nomination, as the party will control the Trump delegates and their own super delegates, thus having control of the nomination…
On the Democratic side, Biden will win the early primaries, mostly because he is running unopposed. In the spring he will have a serious episode that calls into question his fitness to hold office. This will be something more egregious than his shaking hands with invisible people, a thing he now does often. It will be something that the media cannot ignore. This will lead official Washington to intensify calls for the GOP to nominate Youngkin as a unifying candidate.
What no one will discuss in public is that Youngkin has deep ties to the military industrial complex, the neocons, and the intelligence community. He is this generations version of George H. W. Bush, a guy who does what is required to satisfy the rubes in fly over country, but is primarily loyal to the permanent ruling class. What Youngkin represents is a final attempt to claw back some order from the gathering chaos. Conservatives will rally to this idea, as they are this stupid…
The Federal Reserve, having convinced itself that inflation is not real, will relent to pressure from the usual suspects and begin a program of cutting rates in the first quarter of the year. By summer it will become clear that inflation is real, and it never went away just because the Fed stopped believing in it. People will begin to compare Jerome Powell to Arthur Burns, who fell into the same trap in the 1970’s when he failed to raise rates enough to control inflation…
By summer Argentina will collapse under a combination of social unrest, political unrest, and economic chaos. Javier Milei was a fun protest vote, but Argentines will soon learn that having a clown in charge is actually worse than having crooks in charge and they will begin to protest the government. The political class will use its real power to undermine his government. The economy will crater as foreign investment vanishes and the cost of borrowing soars…
In the first reported sighting of the heretofore mythical Ozark Mountain Shark, Paul Ramsey will be attacked by said shark while tending his property. He will not be injured, but the shark will warn him that if he does not paint those pink walls in his studio, he will come back with friends, and it will not be pretty. Faced with having to repaint the studio, Paul will abandon the format and instead start a new YouTube cooking series in which he only uses the microwave…
On the sporting front, the Lagos sportsball club will win the annual sports bowl, prevailing over the club from San Francisco. Both of the Japanese stars the Dodgers signed over the winter will have season ending injuries. The sporting god are never kind to the big spenders. In the other football, the one played with feet and round balls over in Europe, the Premier League, which is the highest level of the English football league system, will file for bankruptcy…
The Israelis will keep trying to escalate the Gaza war in order to draw in the United States, but the Iranians will not take the bait. Russia will start to upgrade the Syrian air defense systems as a way to both defend against Israeli attacks and to open another front in the proxy war with the Global American Empire. The Saudis agree to move forward with Russia and China on developing their nuclear program, signaling an end to the Saudi-American relationship that has defined the region…
The concept of antiwhite will become mainstream as the media continues to push the culture war in advance of the elections. Normal white people will begin to talk publicly about the war on white people. The “great replacement” will go mainstream, and the usual suspects try to scream it down with the usual language, but normal white people will shrug off these tactics. For the first time in generations, the claim of racism will not terrorize normal white people…
The entertainment industry will have its worst year in memory as the combination of antiwhite content, reduced inventory due to the 2023 strikes and changing habits results in a lower box office and accelerated cable cutting. Not only will people cut the cord, but the internet services will see a drop in subscription numbers. Content owners are insulting their customers and pricing them out of the market. The market for video content is tapped out and will begin to decline.
The Biden administration will intensify efforts to confiscate Russian assets currently frozen in Western banks. The stated goal is to free up money for Ukraine, but the real point is to bring Russian to the table. The administration wants to avoid a total collapse in Ukraine by “freezing” the war. The Russians are not stupid so they have no interest in that idea, but the West thinks the threat of confiscating Russian assets could force the Russians to reconsider their position.
This will fail as the Russians will see it as an opportunity to remind the rest of the world that their money is not safe in Western banks. The Russian army will continue to grind down the Ukrainians all along the line of contact. Yulia Tymoshenko, the “gas princess”, will become a serious threat to Zelensky as Washington quietly backs her play, which in turn leads to a political collapse in Kiev. By the end of the year, Zaluzhny will give his Mannerheim speech, which he spoke of last year…
My book will be the number one Christmas gift in 2024…
If you like my work and wish to kick in a few bucks, you can buy me a beer. You can sign up for a SubscribeStar subscription and get some extra content. You can donate via PayPal. My crypto addresses are here for those who prefer that option. You can send gold bars to: Z Media LLC P.O. Box 432 Cockeysville, MD 21030-0432. Thank you for your support!
Promotions: Good Svffer is an online retailer partnering with several prolific content creators on the Dissident Right, both designing and producing a variety of merchandise including shirts, posters, and books. If you are looking for a way to let the world know you are one of us without letting the world know you are one one is us, then you should but a shirt with the Lagos Trading Company logo.
The Pepper Cave produces exotic peppers, pepper seeds and plants, hot sauce and seasonings. Their spice infused salts are a great add to the chili head spice armory, so if you are a griller, take you spice business to one of our guys.
Above Time Coffee Roasters are a small, dissident friendly company that roasts its own coffee and ships all over the country. They actually roast the beans themselves based on their own secret coffee magic. If you like coffee, buy it from these folks as they are great people who deserve your support.
Havamal Soap Works is the maker of natural, handmade soap and bath products. If you are looking to reduce the volume of man-made chemicals in your life, all-natural personal products are a good start.
Minter & Richter Designs makes high-quality, hand-made by one guy in Boston, titanium wedding rings for men and women and they are now offering readers a fifteen percent discount on purchases if you use this link. If you are headed to Boston, they are also offering my readers 20% off their 5-star rated Airbnb. Just email them directly to book at sales@minterandrichterdesigns.com.
I have to disagree. The media has done the one thing I thought they would never do, and that was to create another Trump, and to do it in the very same way. When they remove Trump from the race for the nomination that will leave only Ramaswamy who the media has given all the free airtime on the debate floor to make himself the new Trump, or at least a mini-Trump. All the Republicans to the left of Ramaswamy, and that will be all of them, will split the moderate vote and Ramaswamy, the new Trump, will win the… Read more »
Y’all need to watch Javier Milei in an interview where he’s not being “on” for the cameras. The guy is a serious economist (that’s actually his expertise) and seriously anti-woke directly because of the societal effects.
If he fails, it’s not because he’s a clown, it’s because Argentina has its own deep state and a huge system of bribery that will be majorly unhappy at being cut down to size. Pretty much the Trump problem.
Re Argentina: That is not so much a prediction, as it is just laying out its normal cycle.
§ If, somehow, DJT gets back on all ballots and wins in November, he’ll be arrested before the EC’s votes are counted in January. This will instigate an “insurrection” to be blamed on DJT, and it will be cited as justification to nullify his EC votes. As during the campaign throughout October, reruns of his “dictator” remark will pour out of TV, radio, and Internet 24 × 7 in scary ads warning the public that Hitler is back for the umpteenth time. § A new variant of the Covid-19 virus will be announced. We’ll know that it’s the deadliest ever,… Read more »
Watching memes on wrsa I had the thought that 2024 is the year when general white awareness rises. That is, whites in general understand that it is exactly a concerted effort to genocide us out of existence. This could be the game changer
By summer, several weeks before the first convention of the Uniparty, mudshark ads will virtually disappear. People who point out this coincidentally timed change will be denounced with the usual claptrap. The mudshark ads will reappear around Thanksgiving, and again noticers wil be told that they are racists who are just imagining things.
The racism scam has hit diminishing returns. Soon it will hit catastrophe theory which is a mathematical theory that models “one small step, one giant change” phenomena. The jig is up
Thanks for reference to catastrophe theory. Probably ruling and managerial classes have PhD candidates and poast docs working on models to identify critical values where their schemes blow up. Goal is to learn optimal moment to relax their hand. Imagine them combining this with fractal analysis in an AI system. It will make them even more dangerous, like any bad actor wbo can practice virtue of the self-correction habitually and accurately.
My predictions, bear in mind I am by nature a contrarian and that colors my thinking so I could be wrong (its why I am DR) are driven by the five forces I see: 1. The rise and aggression of the War Karens. 2. The Soros-Biden Civil War. 3. The Military and suppliers having buyer’s remorse over Biden and likely secret Trump-Military deals. 4. Raw ambition among younger White male Republicans who see no future (for them) in a majority-non White nation run by Biden and the War Karens. 5. Putin and Xi wanting Trump rather than Biden, viewing Trump… Read more »
“[During 2024] The concept of antiwhite will become mainstream as the media continues to push the culture war in advance of the elections. Normal white people will begin to talk publicly about the war on white people. The “great replacement” will go mainstream, and the usual suspects try to scream it down with the usual language, but normal white people will shrug off these tactics. For the first time in generations, the claim of racism will not terrorize normal white people…”
From your lips to God’s ear, Z-Man.
Trump is removed from the ballot in most blue states. Biden dies of a stroke in May but remains on the ballot because reasons and “A dead Biden is a better Presnit than a live Trump”. In the aftermath of the electoral chaos resulting from this and the fact that over 1 billion people voted by mail, perpetual joke candidate Vermin Supreme is found to be the real winner of the election. Puerto Rico and DC are finally granted statehood but each secedes from the Union three days later. DC declares itself the People’s Democratic Republic of Wakanda and Puerto… Read more »
Finally! Someone remembered Candidate Supreme. The boot on his head was ahead of its time — doesn’t look so silly now when a feeble potentate, allegedly live-streaming in from a Caribbean island needs to have his handler, wife squeeze his arm not so gently and say, “ice cream, it’s ice cream.” When the inevitable power outages come with failing infrastructure, that ‘pony’ that everyone was to get will be VERY handy as, since Vermin plays 5G chess, it ackshually is a special hybrid Draft Pony, and comes complete with wooden plow and starter set of seeds for planting. Listen to… Read more »
Two Predictions: 1: They will try (and likely fail) to take out Trump permanently the old-fashioned JFK way with the added possibility of using a different method, like a freak accident or terrorist attack. Bonus points if they find a Palestinian passport at the scene of the crime so we can send the US military to “fight those terrorists” over there so we don’t have to fight them here while surprise, surprise, clearing out the Palestinian homelands for the Chosen. (BTW, I predict this plan would fail spectacularly on several levels.) 2: They will try — and very possibly succeed… Read more »
“They will try (and likely fail) to take out Trump permanently the old-fashioned JFK way.”
I agree. And they may well succeed.
As for Biden, that creature doesn’t matter. He is a mere placeholder.
“As for Biden, that creature doesn’t matter. He is a mere placeholder.” Quite true. But this only makes him an ideal sacrificial lamb. If they can false-flag his spectacular death at the hands of Evil MAGA-man, what better way to impose harsh penalties on those White deplorables in middle America? Look what they did on J6. Odds are, they’re rubbing their bony little hands together now, thinking of all the punishment they could mete out to middle American if Biden were JFK’d. Heck, for all we know, the Big Guy is dead in the freezer already, just waiting to be… Read more »
If Biden is a placeholder then for who? They don’t have anyone viable to take his place. If they did he would have died of “suddenly” by now.
This all makes complete sense to me. Biden wins re-election in a landslide, then – perhaps on Inauguration Day- a “MAGA extremist” assassinates him; the assailant strangely disappears, but leaves behind him a Confederate flag and a tattered copy of ‘My Struggle’. All the news channels, newspapers, and liberal white people with BLM signs in their lawns, then call for a “complete solution to the MAGA problem”. The “conservatives” will dutifully write op-eds making “The Conservative Case for liquidating the MAGAists as a class”. As in 1934 when Stalin had Kirov whacked, thus removing a popular rival and justifying his… Read more »
“Biden wins re-election in a landslide, then – perhaps on Inauguration Day- a “MAGA extremist” assassinates him; the assailant strangely disappears, but leaves behind him a Confederate flag and a tattered copy of ‘My Struggle’…”
Exactly. Now this is a man who gets it.
Your prediction about a “Biden victory followed by a MAGA assassin” is the best move for our opponents. I hope that they are not as crafty as you are to come up with this plan.
This presumes that the regime sees MAGA as a genuine threat requiring elimination rather than just another useful scapegoat. As things stand they get to paint Trump supporters as a bunch of diabetic fat retards that cause all the country’s problems, throwing them all in gulags would take away that scapegoat. The greatest recent victories of the dirt people have only been to mildly inconvenience the company making the gay beer and to put a narcissist with a weird face in charge of twitter. At the same time the regime has shoveled massive amounts of money into the pockets of… Read more »
<>
What?! LOL
A TRUE STORY
Late last night, I awoke to the sound of gunfire.
All around me. Big booms, small pops, even a couple machine guns.
I thought, “This is it! The balloon’s gone up!” and was halfway to the fields with my go bag when I saw the first fireworks.
I thought, “Waittaminute, I live on the West Side…”
This must mean… this must be…
Happy New Year’s, everyone!
When I lived outside of Sacramento in the late 90’s, New Year’s around midnight was a cacophony of gunfire. Seems it was a pretty traditional celebration by the local citizenry. It was pretty amazing.
August 18, 2024: Congress declares war against Iran after they are blamed for blowing up the Sears Tower and a dirty nuke in Jerusalem. Six million Jews become landowners of the richest black soil in the world (Ukraine). In November Trump is elected in a historic landslide.
Most importantly, after the Ukes throw in the towel, Keev will return to its rightful Kiev pronunciation. Chickens everywhere will be again volunteering to be the latest chicken kiev on the menu…
For some reason my infallible tea leaves only partly agree with your goat entrails. You sure you used the right goat?? – Zelinsky is removed and moves to Germany which is forced to take him. Ukraine surrenders thereafter – Russia having had an epiphany, strikes a secret deal with the real capital of the US, Jerusalem, that it will put pressure on Iran to ease the pressure on Israel in exchange for Nato giving up Ukraine. Russia will therefore not send anymore AD to Syria once it has gauged how it’s AF stacks up against competently piloted US aircraft –… Read more »
I see a lot of talk by dissidents about the R word losing its power. I’ll reply to yours. It strikes me as wishful thinking. I’m not really seeing it. What I am seeing is white parents making a public show of forgiving negros for murdering their children.
Shawama is right. Electricity is one of many white privileges. If she’s honest, she’ll include literacy as another.
It may be a little optimistic but social conventions can turn with alacrity and the “magic of racism” dam is starting to show real cracks among youngish whites. If the optimists on this are off by a year or two I still think we’re right
Everybody knows Yakub invented electricity, colonizer!
“stacks up against competently piloted US aircraft”
You mean Lt. Col. Shanika parking her 35 mil. F35 into the drink?
Please, make it stop!
No, IDF piloted over Syria. Russia is milking data on US tech as used by Israel to map the US system of the art
For what it’s worth there is actually a word for divining the future via entrails – haruspicy. Apparently it was possible to make a professional career out of entrail reading as a haruspex in Ancient Rome.
Today it’s called macro economics
New thing I’m seeing in everyday life and I think will become statistically noticeable: white spinsters hurrying into marriage so they can live in a man’s house or install a man in theirs. Physical threat level (immigration) has escalated enough that they’re at least subconsciously registering a need to employ security. Biden’s dementedly whispered promise that the GOP would no longer exist by election day 2024 hasn’t come true yet. They seem to have screwed up the plan. Or maybe not. Final execution may be a last-minute “election season” thing. If there is an election, the eternally promised increase in… Read more »
“What no one will discuss in public is that Youngkin has deep ties to the military industrial complex, the neocons, and the intelligence community. He is this generations version of George H. W. Bush, a guy who does what is required to satisfy the rubes in fly over country, but is primarily loyal to the permanent ruling class.” Eminently plausible. The MIC is what really matters. The only part of the US economy really functioning and that only because of its symbiotic relationship with the imperial state (or deep state, if you wish). The Federal Reserve will try to put… Read more »
“Argentina will go to hell but who cares?”
Well, seeing as I live there, I do. And I’m more sanguine about what may happen in the country, although it may fall apart due to cowardice on the part of the general population, much like what’s happened in the USA and Europe. Credulity, cowardice and complacency, the enemies of change. Don’t count Milei out quite yet.
As a corollary to the Z-man’s prediction regarding removing Trump from the ballot, Biden wins in a landslide in 2024 as disgruntled Trump voters realize they have been disenfranchised by the Republican party and stay home on election day. Texas goes blue. This marks the end of the Republican party as a national political force. Extending to 2025, the rainbow coalition of the Democratic party establishment claims that the landslide victory gives them a mandate to govern from the far-left. Their legislative priorities include reparations, amnesty and citizenship for illegal immigrants, and mandatory automatic motor voter registration and mail-in voting… Read more »
“Republicans lose 30-40 seats in the House as a result, with no hope of ever gaining a majority again.”
I’m struggling to see a downside to this, given the decades of GOP cuckery and ‘reaching across the aisle’ to give the Left what they want.
Eff the GOP.
After 3 election cycles of total Democrat victory everywhere, the Dem party begins to break up along ethnic lines and balkanization can finally pick up steam.
Happy New Year to Zman and commentariat. You all challenge me, educate me, irritate me, stimulate me, and brighten my days. May you and your loved ones be happy, healthy, and wary as we all face difficult times ahead.
3g4me, promise me you will remember the following words: ROOM TEMPERATURE LIPID NANO-PARTICLES When they start bragging about having created & sustained Room Temperature Lipid Nano Particles, then you’ll know that The End Times are near. The only reason they failed to meet all of their objectives with the original COVID-19 psy-op was because the Pfizer & Moderna v@xxines had to be stored at something like a sustained NEGATIVE ninety-two degrees Fahrenheit, and of course the various step-n-fetch-it groids in the distribution channel couldn’t even dream of meeting those kinds of requirements. But if they can engineer the Lipid Nanoparticles… Read more »
Maybe so, but right now a bigger threat is room temperature IQs of far too many idiots in this forsaken land.
Huh, the JIDF is now running interference for (((Pfizer))) and (((Moderna))).
Predictable, I suppose.
I predict the Gas Princess will become a spokeswoman for Ranch Style Beans.
PS–Normal whites will shrug off charges or racism, eh? Could be a game-changer. IF there are any normal white people left in AINO outside of the DR.
Pretty much everybody, normie included, seems to think 2024 will be a year of great upheaval. Everybody’s kind of on edge since 2020. Like waiting for the other shoe to drop. Maybe that’s an indicator that not much that’s so dramatic will happen. Lulling folks back to sleep before the real crisis year of 2025. However, politically, we’re approaching a situation in which neither competing party appears legitimate, which makes the environment ripe for some kind of apparent coup, to restore order and “legitimacy” and “normalcy,” perhaps a military coup, although whoever perpetrates this coup will have the backing of… Read more »
Happy New Year Everyone…We are definitely going to be living in interesting times this year… Hopefully this will be the year most of our side will wake up to the fact that we all need Tribe to survive what’s coming and start working towards that fast and furiously…
The Government Party will run out of time to throw out primary votes and install their preferred “candidates”. Their business model is built on the illusion of choice. Trump has the primary basically wrapped up on Super Tuesday. We’ll get a limp repeat of Ted Cruz 2016. Conservative Inc has so debased itself that (unlike 2016) they will be unable to mount a serious challenge to Trump. The RNC has already canceled the remaining debates. They are going broke as voters reject sending them money. Mega donors are cutting back as well because the GOP commands no voting base. That’s… Read more »
I was following along right up until Trump gets 40% of the black vote
I think he typed that zero accidentally. Yeah, that’s the ticket.
I was having a little fun there. However, do not be surprised if Trump picks Ben Carson as his VP. There will be a big push by the CivNats for him to pick Byron Donalds who says the soothing words and chants that prove the rest of what I wrote.
Sorry, I was being a little cheeky there. My true prediction is that Biden makes it a close election by getting 123% of the vote in Detroit, Madison, Philly, Atlanta, and Phoenix, improving on his 2020 vote haul by 8%.
“For the first time in generations, the claim of racism will not terrorize normal white people… ”
Possibly I’m guilty of optimism, but so be it: I think this has already happened, to a substantial degree.,
Now see here! You plead guilty to optimism? Do you know what you’re doin’, man? That is a hangin’ offfense in these here parts!
My predictions: * Another year with nobody being punished for the vaxx deaths/injuries. Vaxx injuries will be mentioned in the media from time to time as a rare occurrence. Excess deaths will remain forbidden topic for the media and a “conspiracy theory” for the uninformed masses. * GOP will not find a replacement for Trump. There will be a lot of bluffing, though. * US stock market will decline at least 15% before going back up. Interest rates will start dropping fast after that. * As usual, Israel will face no consequences for their brutal and inhumane actions. Instead they… Read more »
re: Israel. As long as Hamas supporters keep showing up at Christmas pageants to scream at people, Israel will have free reign to do what they want.
Israel can do whatever they want, no matter what Hamas does. They own the GAE.
“My book will be the number one Christmas gift in 2024…” Another great thing about the escape from Lagos is the fact that you can write from Uncle Z’s cabin in the mountains. I heard that “Feed the World” song far too often this Christmas season. That line “do they know it’s Christmas time at all” makes me laugh now. If they don’t know it’s Christmas time in Africa, it’s not for the reasons the song suggests. Africans had no idea how to track time until the calendar was introduced to them. It’ll be a good day when larger numbers… Read more »
six gorillian? six megatonmillion?
Sorry, I couldn’t resist :). Happy new year, Melissa.
“Well tonight thank God it’s them instead of you!”
Amen
and I just learned what photolithography is.
I would like to see the New Year’s prediction motif replaced with a “prescription” variant in which we each seek to promote solutions to anticipated problems that are forecast for the coming year. Proactivity versus doom porn. In this spirit, I advise the following. When Trump is cancelled from the election, stay home, and when Bongino knocks on your door to badger you about voting harder, kick him in the nuts. When the GOP anoints its Trump replacement, go to his rallies and call him a backstabbing two-faced faggot neocon piece of shit, and then hurl real feces at his… Read more »
Not just any old diarrhea, but Portland diarrhea, laced with shigella bacterium, and in this way emblematic of our appreciation of Leftism In Action.
“Seer of Lagos?” Aren’t you now the “Seer of the Mountain” now?
Rasputin morphs into Daniel Boone. But he’ll now have to contend with a new type of (political) savage.
The Old Man in the Cave?
Happy New Year! I would agree with your comment regarding online television programming. Hardly anyone in the family watches Netflix, Amazon or Disney for the reasons you stated. But I have to admit, watching commercials with Africans in lederhosen, swilling beer in the Bavarian Alps are hysterical. Laughs all around! Here’s how I see 2024 for Europe and Germany – Immigration – Last week the EU included Romania and Bulgaria into the Schengen area. Citizens of Kosovo can now travel visa-free within the European Union’s Schengen areas effective January 1st. This means western Europe can expect a flood of people… Read more »
Thanks, Karl. Would a fair summary be that indigenous Germans will be squeezed to pay for migrants and leftwing fantasies? A lot of that is going around these days.
September 26, 2023 “Germany plans to halve the federal aid allocated for states to cover the expenses of receiving and integrating refugees next year as part of belt-tightening amid soaring inflation and economic slowdown. The federal government will cut refugee costs to 1.25 billion euros for the years from 2024, from 3.75 billion euros this year.” “…the states must provide their municipalities with the necessary financial resources,” The Federal government is simply “passing the buck” directly to the states. You can imagine how well this will play for Chancellor Olaf Scholz and his coalition government in the 2025 election cycle.… Read more »
Yes, Western masochism is highly contagious.
Paying good money to watch commercials. Prime says they are introducing that now. It already sucks and now it’s gonna suck even worse.
Every single time I open Prime to watch something someone has recommended, it’s not available.
Get a DVD player and start collecting DVDs. Why give those bastards a red cent when you don’t have to?
I already do. I enjoy thrifting and flea marketing. Never miss an opportunity to pick up CDs I don’t already have or occasionally movies I’d like to see. It’s cheaper than renting them used to be. Mostly you can pick em up for a Dollar. I also buy VCR tapes. I’ve gotten a lot of good fights on VCR tape. One of these days I’m gonna invest in a blue ray player. But you don’t see many blue ray movies in thrift stores, yard sales and flea markets. I used to have a really good newsgroups provider. I downloaded hundreds… Read more »
Good luck to you and yours Karl. All of that not to mention the deindustrialization brought to you by the U.S. via the destruction of the Nord Stream Pipeline.
An act of war the powers that be no longer talk about.
Nord Stream was just the straw that broke the camels back. If we had a more technically diversified industrial portfolio, it’s unlikely that would have been a major issue. Germany has been relying on cheap Russian gas for ages and as a result, kicked the “energy issue” can down the road year after year. And because they lack the spine, the coalition government allowed the Greens to shut down our nuclear power program. Trump was right on the mark about Russian gas. But the arrogance of German politicians laughing at him was typical of our elite rulers. German leaders like… Read more »
A conversation between Germany and the USA where American policy is counter productive for Germany goes something like this…
German Ambassador –
“We strongly protest! You can’t (fill in the blank).
US Ambassador –
“You killed the Jews”.
German Ambassador –
“Oh, right. Thank you for reminding me. Never mind.”
(((US Ambassador)))
Almost everybody who wanted to leave Romania and Bulgaria has already left. The only people who have been waiting for Schengen are the risk averse, law abiding, educated, hard workers.
I read in the FAZ that Tesla is having some trouble with labor unions in Europe. Musk hates co-determination. Is any of this significant?
I have heard that Tesla has had their fair share of labor problems, but nothing exceptional. Since they are a relatively new company here in Germany, they probably hired a lot of inexperienced people to get things going.
No one with an established career with VAG, Ford or Mercedes would willingly leave their job for an offer with Tesla. The major German automakers have a very good reputation for paying and treating their employees very well.
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-rejects-union-claims-reports-health-safety-issues-german-plant-2023-10-10/
I wonder, is it possible to overestimate German’s willingness to follow orders?
Probably less so than Normiecons. Only Normiecons are too stupid to realize they are being ordered around.
Germany and it’s culture and heritage must live on in the heart and mind of good people like you and your progeny since it seems the nutjobs in Berlin are out to ban anything authentically German in Germany. You will be the carriers of something truly precious
I predict that some of the usual assholes will finally start getting theirs. As the stinkers at Blab say, mail-in voating will become popular among the Unabomber demographic on both sides of the political aisle. Chicago and the entire state of California will attempt to pay reparations to noggers, and black poverty and evil white privilege will start to reach critical mass. The deplorables will begin a BLM-esque campaign of ‘shoot, shovel, and shut up’. The Boogaloonians will be framed by the FBI, along with their cohorts in the Proud Boys, Oaf Keepers, etc. Gold and silver will become legal… Read more »
Regarding reparations, I do not believe any of these blue cities or states intend to pay reparations. The strategy will be to get a sufficient number of blue cities/states to implement reparations programs, then demand the federal government pay the tab.
New York just formed a commission to evaluate reparations. Many of the other blue cities or states will form commissions and make recommendations in 2024. There’s a good chance it will get to fedgov in 2025, and if the Democrats are in charge it will pass.
The repubs might even go along with your scenario, to “get it over with”, “yeah, now those devilish Dems can’t hang this over our heads anymore”, and “they’ll have to remove the race card from their playbooks now” as their excuses.
To celebrate the Dems removing the race card from their playbook Lucy will allow Charlie Brown to kick the football.
Successfully fobbing the 6 quintillion-gorillion dollar tab for reparations onto the federal government pretty much guarantees that secession goes mainstream even faster than it already is. Even the White cucklibs here in Oregon don’t want to pay for every Shitavious in Cali to get a new sound system in his Escalade.
Prepare for an even worse year than you can imagine:
https://voxday.net/2024/01/01/welcome-to-2024/
Apologize for the HGG link but it was where I was sent from somewhere else.
Yeah. We are doomed.
Even so, don’t post links from that faggot’s page.
Seconded. Teddy ought not be promoted.
The dreaded Jim Cramer Reverse ETF!
My wish, I mean prediction, is that at least one US naval ship will be decorating the ocean floor in the general vicinity of the Red Sea…
Why the downvotes? Do you still think we can get out of this mess without some pretty major pain? Some minor pain now might save us from really big pain later. Those guys in the region don’t belong there so they’re pretty much on their own as far as I can see. You serve Moloch, well there’s a price to pay. That goes for everyone in the MIC even the ones making weapons and ammunition given to the Ukraine.
“My wish, I mean prediction,…”
“What’s with folks”—well, the above. One can predict, but to wish for such an event is still beyond the pale for most of us. Such an event is fraught with grave danger of all out war between nuclear powers. 30 minutes and it’s all over type of conflict. That is never to be wished for—unless you are a Neocon, whose fondest wish *is* for war.
The US government will get their war any time they want, lost ship or no. Putting them in harms way up the odds substantially – and of course gives them an ironclad ready made excuse. The government here has been prodding the bear and dragon (among others) for years. Sooner or later it’s going to one too many – I predict.
Remember the Maine!!
Compsci: Evil soul that I am, I would love to see some of AINO’s stronk white wymyn and dey sassy blaq sistahs at the bottom of the sea. Along with all the dusky ‘sailors’ who don’t know how to swim.
Quite. Those are not our people, they are our enemies. And as such, I wish them nothing but harm.
If there is another way to illustrate what you decry, then I’m for it. And I believe there is. Until then, I wish no one harm, however they should always be held responsible for their actions and incompetence as are the rest of us.
Exactly Right Sister and the effect it will have on the GAE to project force which means hopefully a dollar collapse and then the whole rotten system can tumble down… Hopefully this year we can actually meet up before that happens…
I’m just waiting for Governor Katie Hobbs to deputize Cartel and hand them the keys to the National Guard armory, since she’s owned by them.
They can then ship those to the zona frontera (border zone) in Texas to defend their oppressed masses yearning to breathe free.
CalifArizona versus Texas- hey, you guys wanted some states to secede, roger?
(Meanwhile, the Rez Nations, Indians of New Mexico, will make enough from smuggling through their underground railroad to declare Anasazi Independence.)
oops, shoulda said CalifA versus the Lone Star Republic
Gotta start that American Yugoslavia somewhere
I was not one of the downvotes, but if I had my ‘druthers, it would be that enough flag officers would start answering the question, “Hans, are we the baddies?” in the affirmative and declare the Resident’s orders unlawful.
Problem with that wish . . . I mean, prediction, is that it is just as likely to increase our involvement as reduce it. Why else do you think they are there?
I will re-up that this is the year the GOP unofficially dies nationally. That is regardless of how the Trump show trials/nomination/ballot removal play out. Conservatives indeed are incredibly stupid but the also-needed Normies who would vote for him don’t really do ideology and simply will stay home if he does not appear on the ballot. If he is nominated, Never Trump will go full bore for a True Conservative independent. Both Normies and to a lesser extent conservatives won’t go to the polls for Younkin, if that happens (and it is a very good prediction), and the party will… Read more »
We are at at least 60,000,000, outright illegal aliens in the country now. That grows by about 250,000, per month. That actually badly understates the problem because many/most of the resident alien card holders are just as bad as their illegal cousins. Combine all of that with the first generations of the said “immigrants” and you are easily over half the population that has no loyalty to America.
We have not had a nation in a very long time. Soon we won’t even have any semblance of a country.
Yes. The United States made itself ungovernable on its own volition. It will continue to use raw power and totalitarian methodologies but tens of millions of unknowns roaming the land moots such control efforts. We will suffer, but so will the psychopaths who brought about this situation, for whatever little comfort that offers. It will explode no matter what the Regime thinks. It can hunker down in D.C. but that is not a long-term strategy for survival. This will make Marxist-Leninism appear rational and well thought out.
60M sounds a bit high, but if you include DACA, then probably on. I would point out however, these DACA folk are different than those coming across since Trump. They are basically Americans in behavior and such. New arrivals will not assimilate, but will group and feed ghettos based on nationality/race. This is *not* unnatural or unprecedented and is why we have in the past created moratoriums on immigration. The goal being assimilation. But that was before clown world. It would be wise of Congress to initiate a midterm census to attempt to measure just how fucked we are, but… Read more »
Non-assimilation is the point, I think. It really isn’t possible anyway, but a separate nation within a nation appears to be the goal.
Lebanon has a constitution based on a census last taken in the Sixties, I think. Demographics have changed so spectacularly there that a census cannot be taken because it would overturn the applecart since offices are appointed on religious affiliations. There will be similar resistance to an accurate account here eventually for similar reasons since everyone involved would have a gored ox.
Yep, the US Census is subject to the same corruptions. For example, waay long ago we had racial characterizations of “White” and “Hispanic”. This did not produce the desired numbers of Hispanics since many of them choose “White”, so we now have “Hispanic-White” categorization. I won’t even try to explain why we have so much emphasis on Pacific Islanders and such. Seems there is a new minority classification every major census.
Reminds me of a good story. The first census I ever took (long form, mid-term Census to obtain Residential Housing info in the USA) was given/sent to me when I lived in the dormitory. Confused, but intrigued, I called their help number. After a bit, they located my name and began to go over the form with me and fill it out from my answers. What I called for was that the questions asked did *not* suit my present condition—a broke student living with 80 other broke students in one of the university’s dormitories. They would brook none of that,… Read more »
@Compsci:
I think there has been a push to invoke a sense of inevitability about minority status. For all we know we are a minority even now, but the push is to make us feel that way.
The dorm story is great!
Compsci: Assimilation is a chimera. What actually happens is more an amalgamation or a synthesis. White, Christian, Europeans were able to achieve this in the US, although the Irish, Italians, and even Germans changed and shaped America at least as much as it changed them.
No such even semi-successful synthesis is possible with Indios, subcons, and east Asians (not to mention sub-Saharans). You can dress them in jeans, feed them pizza, give them a sail foam, and pretend they speak English, but you’re merely gilding the pig.
You end up with Brazil . . . if you’re lucky.
Assimilation aside, these DACA folk have grown up here and are (rightly) seen as a cut above “Jose and company” who arrived last week. Further, these DACA recipients are by and large employed and absorbed by the system. New arrivals are not. Rejection/expulsion of new arrivals is infinitely easier than those DACA recipients. Politics is said to be the art of the possible, therefore I keep such divisions separate as I do for IA’s from Africa as compared to say, South America. And African “imports” are getting to be a significantly large proportion compare to numbers a decade or so… Read more »
“…more an amalgamation or a synthesis. White, Christian, Europeans were able to achieve this in the US, although the Irish, Italians, and even Germans changed and shaped America at least as much as it changed them.” I think that argument can be made for the Mestizos. Simon Bolivar changed the nature of South America; emulating his hero, George Washington, he created six Constitutionally based nations. So now, the Mestizos are repeating what the German and Irish waves did. Remember, in 1850 our Congress was 10 votes away from making German the official language, so great was the Prussian influx. Truman’s… Read more »
Addendum: that same historical root was free to resurrect their culture in the Conquistador era. Although officially banned from Spain, they found new opportunity in the Americas as well as in Moorish lands. They made Indian slavery a centerpiece of the Conquest economy; they controlled the baronial plantations harvesting hardwoods for the Spanish galleons and fruits, vegetables, and spices from the New World. Many are still present as hereditary ruling families such as in the fruit companies of Guatemala, Mexican border cities such as Monterrey, or in politics across South America. The New World was particularly suited to their nomadic… Read more »
The Vichy GOP will likely find some way to push Dickless Cheney over the line. How can they resist nominating a non-white subcontinental woman who wants to bomb everyone and end internet anonymity? The larger historical justification is a last minute substitution from the vape-filled backrooms at the Stupid Party’s convention of someone not even running would be quite out of the ordinary and inertia is king. On the other hand, no one expected the Trump phenomenon…
I think Z’s prediction there is solid. Nimrata would be even more of a train wreck than Youngkin, but either option spells doom for the national party. As Z pointed out, Youngkin himself is a neocon deluxe albeit in a far more subtle way.
I think a fun question to ask the GOP hopefuls would be if they’d consider Liz Cheney for a running mate.
I’m not near as optimistic as you Zman. The oscillations are increasing, and the bridge collapsing is getting nearer. My five predictions: 1. A nuclear weapon will be used against a civilian population somewhere by someone. 2. A new highly virulent and directed paque will be unleashed across the world. 3. Trump will be eliminated from the election one way or another. This will result in the most corrupt evil government ever to curse the planet taking over (and that’s saying something!). 4. Ukraine falls. 5. The Gods of the Copybook Headings ring in 2025. I give the chances of… Read more »
“ will seriously consider my pessimistic views are due to the realization all men face when they’re closer to the end then the beginning and see that reflected in everything around them”
Beautifully stated.
#WhiteVotesCount works in any political configuration. It will work especially well as a shit test in the scenario described above, in which the anti-white media may do some part of the work for us. The best outcome would be for Youngkin to lose after accidentally mumbling something vaguely pro-white, leading conservatives to conlcude that they would have won if they had only been more anti-white. On the other hand, #WhiteVotesCount will prime some part of the base to engage in a boycott if Trump is not on the ballot. Or even if he is on the ballot but has… Read more »
I give Johnson a lot of grief, deservedly so over the ethnostate LARPing, but his goal to make white identity a moral issue is brilliant and laudable. The wind is at our back on this point.
1. If by some quirk Orange man bad actually pulls off an election win, the entire country will finally be introduced and understand in a very personal way the concept of a “color revolution”. (CIA loves this trick, has done it worldwide for 70 years, but normal US citizens haven’t heard of it or think it’s crazy talk) 2. Republicans will sign onto a mass amnesty bill, instantly giving the franchise to tens of millions of newly created voters that are being shipped around the country at this moment and avoid 1 (see above). A totally legal, too. They’re not… Read more »
I’m surprised you don’t think Trump will end up in jail or dead. You have way more faith in normal white people than I do. I was at a small NYE gathering and there were two guys there who caught my eye. One was a white normie wearing a Packers jersey. The other, an older black man, the only one. I overheard them talking and eventually the vibrant just had to mention how his grandfather had to use the back door to enter a BBQ joint. I swear, these creatures just can’t ever NOT be “victims”. All of the preferences… Read more »
The DeSantis crew is emblematic of upper class conservatives. They are too embedded to want drastic upheavals, so they hope DeSantis can just calm things down.
Nice guys, just haven’t been through enough pain yet.
Problem is that when the appropriate pain *is* applied, they would be able to do much about it—except poss and moan!
Tired Citizen: Happy New Year to you and your family. My hope is that you can bring your strategic relocation plans to fruition earlier than you’ve indicated. I don’t think you have a decade – I honestly don’t think any of us have even 5 years at the present rate of decline. Hope I’m wrong, of course.
@3g –
Same to you. Very interesting you mention this. My wife and I just had a conversation about this very thing. I guess we will see what happens.
Hopefully she sees the light Brother and is onboard with whatever you decide…
China will play it cool because even as their population ages out, the power of the USA declines even more rapidly. China will not have to fight for Taiwan, it will be welcomed by the Taiwanese when the USA cracks and no longer has Beware with all to impact events in the Western Pacific.
Beware = wherewithal. Voice to text has a limited vocabulary.
Not an expert, but China still has close to billion peasants scraping the ground for a “living”. I still maintain they have a supply of able, and relatively smart young Chinese available whereas the Western nations either shrink or attract low IQ Browns and Blacks to maintain their population numbers.
Compsci-
Your points are exactly why I think the West’s internal attempts at digital control schemes will fail.
It’s hard to say if China would ever move in on the West and openly try to impose such schemes.
On the other hand, I think it can be argued that TikTok and Temu are the leading edge of their attempts to do so by proxy.
There aren’t nearly a billion Chinese living hand to mouth. The spread of a fairly middle class (by Chinese standards) lifestyle is quite widespread. Their poverty is worse than ours but it’s hardly Great Leap Forward standard.
Their (average) standard of living is not my immediate concern. And I agree, they are not the starving masses I may have implied. Yet they have *not* nearly converted from a rural based populace to an urban based populace as we did in the early 20th century. There is much room for automation in the country-side. We did this in the late 19th century and early 20th. We once had 90 percent agricultural employment. Now about 3%. The excess labor went to the cities and viola, we became an industrial powerhouse. Chinese were living in abject poverty toward the end… Read more »
Certainly no expert. Looks it’s OK to make generalisations but at least don’t be ‘Not Even Wrong’ when you do. China’s rural population in 2022 is ~490M. Urban population is ~920M. And this didn’t happen last week. The transformation has taken decades. But your mental model of China appears to be back in 1985 or 1990. And that rural population has 5G internet smartphone banking and micropayments, is surprisingly literate thanks to going to Chinese public schools not American ones, and knows far more about what is happening in US presidential elections than your average American Normie Voter. (Consider that… Read more »
I know why (too old) but I literally can’t watch regular entertainment type tv shows any longer. Believe me, I’ve tried, but just can’t. If cable was free, I’d pass.
Is it just me or does it seem the larger part of the “entertainment” available on the talking screen appears to be aimed solely at women? It’s all gussied-up soap operas. Family members were watching “The Morning Show” and while I ignored as much as possible some impressions seeped through. Why would any man care about dramatizing the Steamy, Juicy, Behind the Scenes Machinations of TV Morning Talk Shows? Nothing Hollywood says about itself is true in the first place. And who but women would care about a thinly disguised exploration of the Matt Lauer me-too thing, or be interested… Read more »
There’s a book by Neil Postman titled “How to Watch the Evening News.” One of the points he makes is that the audience is the product and advertisers are the market for the product. This observation always seems trite when stated out loud, but the answer to your question is that entertainment is fundamentally aimed at advertisers since they are the ones paying for it. Network heads don’t rub elbows with the proles to figure out what they’d like to watch, they run elbows with the c-suite persyns. The insidious reality is that shows like the View are like general… Read more »
Manuscript Wish List is the gathering point for book agents seeking would-be authors. These are the gatekeepers for what gets published.
https://mswishlist.com/agents
> The Supreme Court will take one of the 14th amendment cases, but hold off on delivering a verdict, giving the Republicans time to figure out how to expel Trump and relieve the court of this burden One thing a conservative Supreme Court is not is bold. The Roe v Wade decision was a punt to the states to undo a decision even most liberals thought was meritless. 2020 showed that the SC is terrified of any election ruling, and while I doubt the case Texas brought had much merit, it was exactly the case the SC was designed for,… Read more »
You beat me to it! In a world where Republican officials of any kind never miss a chance to fink on their party’s voters, keen observers like Robert Barnes, who expect the court to intervene, may see that instead of stepping in to stop the madness, the Terribly Republican SCOTUS will find it easy to dither and avert its eyes.
Yeah, Barnes points out how the justices prefer to hide in their desk wells rather than overturn rulings of lower courts or reverse legislation. I think he said they only average 1 case per week, but thinks they should handle many times that, considering their interns do most of the work. Their ideal Christmas gift would probably be a robe of invisibility, ala Harry Potter!
Chet Rollins —
Kavanaugh, with his weepiness before the nation and his girls’ soccer teams and his empowered female law clerks.
Yeah whatta tremendous visage of current masculinity, a true modern conservative.
And we also had weepy ACB crying with her adopted African daughter over the death of George Floyd. We also gave Gorsuch who turned SJW by decreeing (along with the usual suspects) that half of Oklahoma is still an Indian reservation. Gorsuch is also an immigration squish. But by golly we got the aborshun issue our way.
mikew: Voat harder – for the courts! (How many times have we seen that particular and odious cuckservatard clarion call?)
Buncha feminist women and soft men, ptooey.
I don’t see any Christian fire-breathers there to terrorize the Politburo. Thomas at least looks manly.
I disagree with both your and Z-man’s predictions about SCOTUS..If they don’t dispose of this cancer, Red States will start removing Biden from the ballot..Since the legal theory behind it is a bad joke, they can dispose of it simply on the basis that an elected President is not an Officer under the 14th, which is the existing precedent…
I’m also dubious that the Republican party is that willing to commit suicide, going the way of the Whigs, because Trump will start his own party if necessary..
I agree that they will take the CO/ME cases and overturn them in the narrowest way possible.
Seven out of the nine members may hate Trump and personally hope he gets stopped, but they are all turbo-narcissists, and will do what they can so that SCOTUS has their hands clean and is not the one blamed for the rigging.
Conservatives will never remove Biden. They are cowards who will crawl on their bellies for a pat on the head from the people they pretend to oppose.
Conservatives – the only questions being left, how far they have to slither on their stomachs to lick the boot which struck them, and whether their tongues wash bottom or top of said boot.
Conservatives basically have allowed their virtues to be used as weapons against themselves. Therefore, they will not allow the Dem’s to define the rules of engagement, e.g. “lawfare”.
You’ve mentioned this before.
I once made the mistake of discounting cowardice as conservatives’ primary motivator, but that was wrong as hell. Even as much as they love Our Greatest Ally, it give them the sadz to have to disagree with the Left, so they do so half-heartedly. If someone on the Right, hence a powerful person, speaks truth to power about Israel, the cons will rip their lungs out.
Conservatism failed as an ideology even more than Marxism.
It would be very surprising if there is a red state AG/SecState/whatever who is willing to deal with the regime’s retaliation for taking Biden off the ballot. The lefties removing Trump don’t have to worry about that.
I don’t see many Red states being willing to remove Biden but I will agree that the GOP is in a very tight spot that it probably cannot wriggle out of. The Republican Party, at the grassroots level anyway, **IS** Trump. There is just no party without Trump. The wealthy old GOP donor types who keep people like Miss Lindsey going don’t get this. They think they can stand up another drug store cowboy like GW Bush, play some country music, and the rubes will fall in line again. They won’t. They will back a third party headed by Trump,… Read more »
I have not followed it much, so am a bit confused as to how Red states would remove Biden from the ballot. From what I understand, the current fiasco is the GOP removing Trump from the GOP primary ballot. Ostensibly, the GOP is controlled by “conservatives” but it seems in CO and ME, they are just liberals who like their coffee black or something (preferably from Black Rifle). I do not see how liberal Democrats in “Red” states would have any incentive to remove Biden. This is a political party primary ballot issue, from what I understand, not a “Red”… Read more »
How much is this more of a wish list and less so predictions?
Anyone notice the first , screw you America, act displayed on all networks when the ball dropped last night?
What’s a New Year in 2024 without two homo’s kissing. Merica!
Like a normal man, I didn’t watch the latest sermon from our pozzed overlords.
If you haven’t already, 2024 is a good time to check out of regime media completely. News, sportsball, entertainment, all of it.
All predictions are what is hoped for or what is feared.
I continues my life-long tradition of consuming no media content on New Year’s Eve. I was up for the first time in at least a decade this year, only because I took a long nap in the afternoon. I rang in the new year working a puzzle.
“I rang in the new year working a puzzle.”
I was up at midnight loading ammunition…
That’s sad. Useful, but sad all the same. Get some friends, dude.
Sounds like he had some friends. Smith, Wesson, Heckler, Koch, Remington, and Winchester. These are all the friends a man needs sometimes!
I was doing Sudoku, but pondering the state of my self defense supplies, which may need supplementing….
How much time do you spend alone? You never complain about a woman nagging you.
On your podcasts you seem like a social guy but you appear to live like a monk.
Just curious.
I rang in the new year with a couple glasses of local red wine and reading up on finding property with timber on it.
Don’t forget Water Brother whether that be a year round spring, creek, or pond…
Wild Geese: Lots and lots of timber and water and wildlife . . . and not nearly so many people . . . in the Ozarks (either Missouri or Arkansas). I’d be wary of northeastern Oklahoma because of all the feather Indians and political (tax and zoning) influence they have there.
This all depends on where you are willing to move to. We didn’t want to move out to the northwest, but we definitely wanted to stay west of the Mississippi.
I spent the evening in bed listening to the fireworks go off in the wash behind the house. Lasted until 1:00 or so. Was not too annoyed and grateful that I had a field dog trained to ignore gunshot.
I spend a lot of time appreciating the lack of “Karens” in the neighborhood and the children being children without the hinderance of police calls and patrols. I never had that freedom as a youngster.
You need Tribe Brother…I rang in the New Year planning with my Tribe on what we could do to make our families more secure and less reliant on this corrupt degenerate system…
David: Why were you wasting your time watching network tv?
I turned on five minutes before 12 because my wife wanted the traditional ball drop. Two guys kissing, then she shrieks. Quick off then. Don’t have broadcast tv, youtube live feed.
Don’t worry, same old me. Still off the pozzed grid.
When will China make its play to turn the U.S. into the pan-Asian satrapy with all the trappings of a new retro-colonialism?
I do not see much happening on the China front this year. The empire has its hands full with the Ukraine debacle, the growing problems in the Middle East and domestic politics. China is not going to attack Taiwan, as it has its own domestic issue to address as it tries to develop a stronger domestic economy.
China has no need to attack Taiwan, and won’t, by Xi will threaten it just to whip up some patriotic feelings in hard times…
Taiwan—even under Biden regime—is busy moving to the USA. We have a couple of their chip makers breaking ground in the Phx area. They’re no dummies and are seeing the writing on the wall wrt China. This will take some time, but it will be interesting to see if China attempts to head them off in the future.
I haven’t been paying real close attention, but have heard that Taiwan semiconductor has had trouble getting quality Taiwanese workers to make the jump to AZ. Better for Arizonans if they can find the right people here rather than importing more foreigners.
Has it occurred to you that if China *did* move on TW, the USA would immediately move to kill all the big brains at TSMC plus level the fabs so as to leave the PRC dust and ashes? TSMC is a football. Of course they have a bit more agency than a football… but it’s not as if it’s all fear of China which is driving them to build fabs in Arizona… it’s US blackmail. Does anybody serious THINK that the USA has the quality of people who can actually get the work done in these advanced facilities? Dream on!… Read more »
The issue is that the Kagans might try to force Xi’s hand because scorpion & frog. Doesn’t have to make any kind of geopolitical sense. But not in 2024 methinks. Too much other stuff going down. Things could get a bit flashpointy around late January 2025 though. Xi does have to look over his shoulder at mass domestic political opinion — especially when issues of national pride are involved. But otherwise, it’s a no-brainer for the Chinese to wait and let Taiwan fall into their lap at a later date as the Pax Americana fades away. They’ve read their Thucydides.… Read more »