The first takeaway for me is the spine of Scott Walker. For the Left, having an extreme right-wing extremist in the governor’s mansion is a click worse for them than a Jewish lesbian as mayor of Mecca would be for Muslims. Wisconsin is the spiritual home of the Left. For instance, as soon as Obama became the leader of the Cult, his first act was to go to Madison and give a speech to the faithful. Walker’s success is a sin against nature in the minds of the faithful.
The lesson to be drawn from Walker’s success is two-fold. One is that no state is majority Liberal. Liberal states have a lot of fanatics, but they are not a majority. They are just better organized and perhaps more fanatical. The majority in any state will be sensible people. Walker’s appeal is based on responsible government. That’s why he has succeeded in a place thought terminally hostile to common sense.
The second part of this is that Walker never just made the economic argument. He connected his policies with people’s sense of decency and fairness. Public sector unions are expensive and unnecessary. Walker made the connection between bad product and the unions. You can sell better and you can sell cheaper. Better and cheaper sells itself. That’s why a mundane guy like Walker can withstand the best the Left can throw at a man and still win.
Another takeaway is at the other end of the scale. Scott Brown managed to lose to a wretched old bag in a state generally amenable to moderate Republicans. He suffered from one unfixable problem and that is the fact he is an outsider. New Hampshire is a funny state. A lot of voters there would have a tough time voting for a Masshole, regardless of his opponent. Granite Staters are an ornery bunch. There was simply no way Brown could explain away the fact he just moved to New Hampshire.
His bigger problem was self-inflicted. Brown had nothing to sell. Conservative Inc is always prattling on about electability, but one part of electability is having a reason to run. The Karl Rove approach of never uttering a discouraging word or taking a difficult stand, results in bowls full of mush like Brown. Brown should have picked a couple if issues and pounded those relentlessly. The voters who saw him as a carpetbagger would at least have had second thoughts about voting against the Masshole. Instead Brown played it safe and is now looking for work.
The other thing interesting thing is what went on in Maryland. In fifty years the state has had a Republican in the governor’s mansion for six years. The Democrat running this time is the Lt. Governor and backed by the full party and had Obama in to stump for him. He’s also black, running in a state that is the fourth blackest in the nation. His opponent was a guy no one knew until yesterday. Larry Hogan is still an unknown to most voters. His victory is due entirely to the fact he is not crazy.
The other unique thing about Maryland is it has a large black middle-class that is suburban. The collapse of Baltimore and Washington first led to white flight and then to black flight. Those black people living in the burbs enjoying middle-class life are finding it hard to keep it real when it means tax hikes and a tough economy. All around the country black turnout was down. More frightening if you are a Democrat is 10% of those who did vote voted Republican. In Maryland, the share was most certainly higher.
Finally, and this is for the optimists, this may signal the end of the Left as we know it. In the 60’s and 70’s, Liberalism ate itself. In 1980 Reagan ran against Liberalism. He turned it into an epithet. The Left did not fold up; they simply hid out in the Democratic Party, which still had loads of normals and even a fair chunk of conservatives. Mass media was dominated by Liberals willing to run interference for their coreligionists in office. Liberal pols could talk one way at home, but be pure moonbat in DC and no one was the wiser.
That’s not what we see today. For the first time in our history we have a purely ideological party. If you run as a Democrat, you are a Liberal. There’s no party to give the Cult cover because the party is the Cult and the Cult is the party. If the people are turning on Liberals, it will bring down the Democratic Party, unless they shed the Cult, which is unlikely. Maps like this one and the fact that the Democrats control very few state houses now, suggest the Democrats are about to become a fringe party, based in a few coastal cities.
Excellent piece. The day after the election I texted a friend that Scott Walker was the big story of the election (along with the shocker in VA). Barring any surprises, Walker will be the GOP nominee in 2016, and probably the President.
Scott Brown is a dope. He made immigration his central issue, which is not a major concern in the Granite State. New Hampshire is not MA. If you run as a conservative you better be a conservative. As Lowin points out, guns are a big deal. So is the economy. NH is a state that will respond well to a libertarian-slanted conservative candidate, and Brown wasn’t even close.
In Maryland, I think immigration was a serious issue, to the Democrats’ detriment. The Democrat power structure in Maryland was practically begging the Children’s crusaders to settle there. I don’t think that sat well with middle-class voters, particularly African-Americans, who recognize a real threat when they see one. This is something the GOP should pay attention to. Divide and conquer. Interestingly, a vitriolic Chris Matthews was the only pundit, on the left or on the right, who correctly recognized that immigration was a disaster issue for the Democrats on Tuesday, and will continue to be so.
To be fair, Walker has also been helped by the opponents the left have chosen to run against him. Not that they have a great pool of non-batshit talent to choose from, but they’ve picked some real losers lately.
I can only hope they decide that their candidates suffer from *not* being ‘out there like freaking pluto’ crazy enough.
Brown had an additional problem that’s being ignored — gun control. Before he moved into NH, he was on record as supporting do nothing anti gun legislation. Apparently being a slow learner, he was protested by the Gun Owners of NH crowd in the lead up to the primaries, then he refused to answer questions in a NH firearms coalition townhall, didn’t bother responding to the NRA questionnaire (Brown’s NRA rating is ?). He voted with obama 70+% when he was a Mass senator, so there wasn’t a lot of difference between the two. Corrupt as she is, shaheen has been quiet about gun control. There’s a precedent for this single issue, the last congressclown, dick swett, who voted for Clinton’s AWB was turned out the next year. NH is not massachusetts, politicians ignore that at their own peril. NH, VT and ME are still second amendment friendly outposts in the moonbat northeast
Scott Brown will not be looking for work very long. If he isn’t already there, he’ll be back at Fox within two months. If I’m wrong, pretend I didn’t post this, please, because I will.
Brown was not helped by the fact the governors race was poorly fought. The people running the New Hampshire GOP are incompetent. They can handle the small stuff, but they get clobbered by the pros the Democrats bring in for the big races.
As far as the Left, they have been a part of the Democratic Party since Wilson. What’s different now is they are the party. All the other guys fled. Ideological parties either expand or contract, just like the mass movements upon which they are built.
I don’t think Liberalism ate itself so much as it consumed the Democrat Party. Once upon a time in America, there was a significant percentage of Democrats who today would have passed as mainstream Republicans. Then the Leftists infected the party like a virus, just as Leftism has infected nearly every institution in the nation.
“Brown had nothing to sell.” True, because he is not a conservative, which is what we were looking for here in New Hampshire. He’s a nice enough guy, (I’ve met him and his wife), but I voted for Brown as a dissent against Shaheen. I’m sure that a lot of Republicans just skipped that race on the ballot, but I’m just guessing.