The first week of May has brought fresh worries that the war in Ukraine will lead to the third and final world war. On Twitter, “WW3” has been trending on and off as various rumors hit the system. Currently, the driver is statements from Russia that any attacks on Russia by Western troops operating in Ukraine will be viewed as an attack by that country on Russia, which means war. Russia also announced that she will be testing tactical nuclear weapons to underscore the point.
To understand what is happening we have to go back to the big funding bill passed by Congress at the end of April. The political class in Europe and the United States came away thinking this would turn the tide, but soon learned that the bill was about paying off creditors, not funding new weapons. There are no new weapons to send, at least not until after the November elections. The $60 billion was about paying the MIC and the bankers for money invested in Project Ukraine.
Of course, there are events on the battlefield. The Russians have broken through the center of Ukrainian defenses in a major way. All along the line of contact the Ukrainians are on the backfoot, but in the center they are at risk of collapse. The Russians managed to do this without committing large numbers of troops. It is assumed they will now commit to exploiting this gap in the Ukrainian lines with the half million men they have in reserve, waiting for better weather.
In light of these two factors, the Europeans have been making noises about introducing troops into Ukraine. The truth is, NATO has had people in Ukraine for ten years and ramped up their presence at the start of the war. These have been contractors or government employees operating as contractors. Some contractors just happen to employ former soldiers of NATO countries. Even so, it is enough of a fig leaf for the Russians to pretend they are not NATO soldiers.
Then there is the rumor that the French Foreign Legion was dispatched to Ukraine and possibly hit by Russian missiles. Regime media was dispatched to deny this claim, which means it is most certainly true. While technically not French troops, it is unclear if the Russians will buy it. They summoned the French and British ambassadors to repeat what has been said in the past, which is any attacks on Russia by troops from these countries will result in retaliation on these countries.
The final piece of the puzzle is Victory Day. This is when the Russian people celebrate their victory over the Nazis in the Great Patriotic War. Rumors have been swirling that Ukraine, with help from Britain and France, will launch attacks on Crimea as a way to embarrass Putin this week. For a week, NATO surveillance drones have been in the area and Ukraine has been sending drones to map Russian radar. The rumor is this is in preparation for a massive attack on the Kerch bridge.
The fact is the only way the Ukrainians can attack this bridge is by using NATO missiles like the British Storm Shadow or French Scalp. These would have to be launched in large numbers along with other missiles and drones. The Ukrainians lack the expertise to operate these weapons, so it means they will be operated by British and French personnel, either officially or unofficially. The Russians know this, as they recorded the Germans discussing this over the winter.
Put all of this together and you have a scenario in which NATO is growing desperate over what is happening on the battlefield and Russia is losing patience with these pipsqueak countries doing the bidding of the neocons in Washington. From the perspective of Russia, the only reason NATO is not coming to the table with a deal is they just want to see as many Russians die as possible or they are plotting an invasion after the November elections.
Despite the growing desperation in Europe, there remains this weird delusion about Russia that is at the root of these escalations. Since the start of the war, it has been assumed that at some point the Russians will blink. For three years NATO has upped the ante in terms of weapons and rhetoric, always assuming that this new wonder weapon or new threat will cause the Russians to back down. This never happens, but the belief remains unshakable.
The question is what happens when the Ukraine army begins to collapse? The signs are everywhere right now. Elite units are refusing to fight. There have been mass surrenders of newly deployed conscript units. The ideological units now spend their time making stylish videos, rather than fighting. The Russians are preparing for major summer offensives, which may cause the line of defense to collapse. This would leave the Ukraine army broken into pieces.
When the unthinkable begins to be reality, what will happen to that unshakable confidence that all it takes is one more escalation? Can the West accept defeat in Ukraine, or will they have no choice but to go bigger? The evidence to this point suggests they will think they have no choice but to go bigger, maybe declaring a no fly zone over Western Ukraine or introducing troops to guard the Dnieper. Maybe they take control of Odessa and dare the Russians to attack.
One glimmer of hope for those who do not want to see the world end in nuclear annihilation is Chinese ruler Xi Jinping Ping visiting Europe. His first stop was France to flatter the megalomaniacal Macron. The point of Xi’s trip is to convince the Europeans that their interests lie in finding a settlement with Russia. Making Macron the first visit suggests the Chinese know he is a simpleton who is easily flattered, but also the driving force for escalation in Ukraine.
What the Chinese could offer the Europeans is a way out of the trap they have built for themselves with the Russians. They can get to pretend to be important figures by cutting a deal with China to end the war in Ukraine. Of course, this would mean breaking with Washington, so it is a long shot. Maybe it is enough to get Macron to retreat on the escalatory rhetoric. That could be enough to prevent another round of escalation and avert the end of the world.
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I was in the First Gulf War (90-91). Everyone who watched the war on TV thought it a cakewalk. They didn’t see the ports in Saudi Arabia operating 24/7 for 6 months to unload the equipment for an army corps. We were successful enough that the neo-cons got it in their heads that our military was invincible.
That giant Cold War army no longer exists and the Russians aren’t going to allow that kind of logistics build up. But nobody in charge wants to hear any of that kind of reality.
Looking back through history, it is clear the GAE internalized many experiences from the Gulf War that are really not applicable to battling a peer-level adversary.
Any Corporal who was there in 91 could point out how incompetent the Iraqis were and how lucky we were.
We are seeing signs out of the Pentagon and DoD that they recognize this reality. As things stand, NATO could not do what the Russians have done over the last two years, in terms of mobilization of resources, transition to the new type of war and upgrading their industrial base. It will probably take years for the State Department to come to terms with this reality, if ever.
I’d be rooting for a military coup at this point, but I doubt there are many patriots left in the US armed forces.
The same thing happened when we foolishly invaded Iraq. We have restrictions on flight hours that were instantly waived in the war zone. Some of our C-130 aircraft used up 10 years of normal flight hours in a few months. God knows what happened to our strategic airlifter aircraft, the C-5 and the C-17. The thing that most people don’t understand is that sealift is crucial. The American-flagged merchant marine is almost non-existent (thanks Jones Act) and our sealift command ships are often in terrible shape. Also, during the Clinton years, they sold much of our shipbuilding infrastructure, such as… Read more »
Dr-
I’d love to be a fly on the wall to listen to the aircraft maintainers at various GAE airbases.
This is because the analysis by open source flight trackers makes it appear the regime is flying the wings off the existing fleet.
Not good combined with the fact there is no significant replacement aircraft production planned.
As someone in the defense industry, I can tell you that has been the case since the 1990s. The stupid “no-fly zone” over Iraq and the Balkan misadventures started the forever wars that pretty much wrecked our fighter, transport and tanker fleets. Wonder why the wings are falling off F-15s and F-16s? That’s why.
Dr-
Thanks for the insight.
I spent a couple decades in the comms portion of the MIC.
Based on that experience, I am not at all surprised Russia is owning the EW space.
Not to mention the difference in human material. Russians are tough SoBs; us, not so much. And far too many women in the armed forces.
Russia doesn’t have the manpower to occupy Europe. Its a hell of a lot better off than in the 90’s but they didn’t get a baby boom either.
Correct. The neocons still think it’s 1991 and have no idea – even after the last 2 years – that warfare and the geopolitical system have changed forever.
Our president is a retard. The neocons are out of their minds. It’s not looking good boys.
Hells bells – they ALL are, Sid. Turdo is off his rocker, the Brits have some sabre rattling pajeet for a prime minister, and the Germans and Euros are taking orders from menstrual girl bosses. I don’t get it… maybe WE are off OUR rockers? I don’t think these loons are going to stop until they are either voted out of office, or someone sticks a gun in their faces and tells them to stop…
Agreed. But the more history I read, the more I wonder if the past was much better. Churchill was a brilliant leader, but he authored the Gallipoli disaster. FDR administration during WW2 was a hive of grift and corruption eerily similar to today’s bloated MIC. Napoleon lost a half million men in Russia. Etc. etc.
“Churchill was a brilliant leader”
He was a good speaker and he had a sonorous voice. But that’s about it. If memory serves he was out of sync with the British establishment during the ’30s, which wanted a modus vivendi with Hitler.
No doubt Churchill disliked the Germans, but was he correct wrt to Hitler? I say yes. The “modus vivendi” mentioned seems to been a failure with Hitler pressing for more and more “concessions” while obviously breaking the terms of the WWI Treaty of Versailles and rearming. As I said the other day, in hindsight, had the allies pressed Germany, i.e., Hitler, in the 30’s early on, WWII might never have happened.
Churchill’s mother was a j00ess.
[Don’t ask me WTF kinda kabbalah-istic symbolism the seven-pointed star was meant to symbolize.]
Here’s a picture of her with her two sisters:
They’re obviously j00esses.
The fambly was so j00ey that they hired a j00, named (((Stephen Heller))), to travel all the way across the Atlantic ocean simply to give her piano lessons in the New World.
Yawn.
The dude resembles Gene Wilder LOL!!!
Chamberlain was much more astute in his analysis of Germany in the interwar period. Churchill might have been correct about the threat of Hitler, but the biggest flaw in his thinking was ignoring the reality of the post-WWI European political dynamic. The root problem was that France wanted to treat Germany like a conquered territory but simply didn’t have the manpower to do so. In essence, the French basically expected Germany to pay reparations because that’s what the treated said, but simply didn’t have the political and military force to back it up if there was conflict. Chamberlain was correct… Read more »
No argument there wrt the “unfair” peace accords, however I’d say the French lacked will to enforce the treaty, not ability. There was a time early 30’s when Germany had little of the might shown in 1940 to fight off a French invasion, but the French had cold feet and attempted to deter/protect via their famous Maginot Line. This lack of resolve on the part of the French was further shown in May of 1940. The French were hit hard (in that short time frame lost about the same number of men as did the US in *all* of WWII),… Read more »
“As I said the other day, in hindsight, had the allies pressed Germany, i.e., Hitler, in the 30’s early on, WWII might never have happened.”
But how would the “allies” ( Who were the “allies” in those years?) have pressed Hitler harder? Please make specific statements, not a speech.
If you suggest that Britain should have sent troops to Poland dissuade the Third Reich from annexing part of Poland, my reply is that the British Army was too weak to defeat the German army at that time. It would have been worse than the events of May 1940 for Britain.
Hitler did “modus vivendis” as much as crocodiles do vegan. At some point, he would have had to have been put down like the rabid dog he was. Churchill got that one right.
Hitler’s strategic goal was always the Caucasus oil fields. He would do whatever brought him nearer to that goal.
Churchill was horrible and so was FDR. Let’s not forget what these leaders did to their countries.
Well, FDR made us the GAE, did he not? He laid back and let everyone else hammer themselves to death, then stepped in to secure the benefits of the war. No FDR fan myself, and I’d not even say he actually knew what the effects of his actions would be, but hell, he made out like a bandit.
He put us on a permanent war footing (we have been a war footing since about 1940). He vastly increased the size and scope of government. He appointed all 9 judges on the Supreme Court. As you say, he created the GAE. If someone asked me “would you go back in time and kill baby Hitler” my answer would be, “No. I’d go back and kill Wilson, FDR, Churchill and Stalin” I suppose it is possible that all these forces were far bigger than 4 men and that the past is inescapable. OTOH, it is hard to overstate the role… Read more »
FDR was indeed appalling. However, I think Churchill got it right.
That always happens when a democrat tries to manage a war. ie: Vietnam, Korea, Afghanistan, and now Ukraine.
Churchill was fully controlled by Rothschild. Very overrated. Because of it, he oversaw the death of the British Empire.
“British” now GAE. I buy the hypothesis China was the next move, since rebuffed. Moving capital and manufacturing, high tech, even the weird online thing about Asian wives.
Where does the empire go next? Which is just another way of asking, who will be the world’s banker? Who will finish the transition to high tech? Nobody seems to want the ring, but somebody will end up with it, or the whole world takes several steps back.
You know, I thought the Asian wife thing was kind of a redneck fetish, but I’ve noticed a lot of Jews do that too, like Zuckerberg. Maybe they’re working their way east back to Khazaria.
And then there is that line of thinking about the fact that Jews got their money by intermarrying with WASPs. Maybe that’s what’s going on with the Asians. Mitch McConnell seems to have gotten on that train as well.
@TempoNick The idea is to steal the DNA of the next host society to ‘blend in’ like they attempted to do with European Gentiles. Unluckily for them, this will be impossible with Asians. It’s the end of the line for the Parasite Express.
Genestealers…
Remember, that was the question posed to the US after WWII, and we took the ring to save the world lol.
Idk. It would be terrible, but maybe the world needs to take a few steps back. Maybe we need a financial system that doesn’t rob the future and replace humans with tech.
Precisely. Who needs a banker that can’t balance his books? One who cooks the books while stealing from the account?
Right now, no one can think of a post-GAE financial “system” because they all have their hands in the till. Yeah, collapse will be painful—for the dirt people, not the elites. From what I hear our elites are getting rid of dollars for commodities (Bill Gates likes farm land I hear) so are countries like China (for gold). If the current news be correct, I hear China has just bought/transacted oil for yuan—not dollars.
Land reform. Expropriation from foreigners and corporations without compensation. Granted in plots to men with families.
Churchill is an interesting historical character. Apart from his stand against appeasement in the 1930s and his leadership in 1940, he got almost everything else wrong.
People never have appreciated how close we are to nuclear annihilation. Throughout the Cold War, public discussion of a winnable nuclear war was verboten. Such insane musings have been commonplace of late. This Regime is in thrall to Neocon madmen and we are closer to nuclear war than ever thought possible. This is the cost of an alien and hostile elite able to bribe and cajole corrupt and stupid policymakers, and is a lesson for whoever comes next to never allow a certain tribe of intelligent but unhinged Bronze Age savages into their land. When the unthinkable begins to be… Read more »
JD-
At least in the 80s people were concerned about nuclear war and horrified at the prospect of it breaking out.
Now, if people talk about nuclear holocaust it’s the same tone as a sportsball game or Sunday BBQ. It’s sickening.
The Cold War kept a lot of guardrails up and injected some sense of stewardship and responsibility into decision makers. It didn’t hurt that most American leaders had WWII military experience well into the 80s.
Now we’re ruled by people who are delusional, alien and have never suffered any kind of consequence.
I hate to say this, but maybe there needs to be some consequences on our own soil. I guess 9/11 wasn’t a big enough hint.
Conversing with my wife about Ukraine and Russia I was about to say, “I don’t want to alarm you but the outcome of all this could be devastation for everybody involved … .” The words died on my lips. Could I honestly tell her not to be alarmed when I am near petrified? Of course we don’t want people we care about being deeply upset, but at times telling the truth as we perceive it may be the better course. The Cold War kept a lot of guardrails up and injected some sense of stewardship and responsibility into decision makers.… Read more »
They have given us into the hand of new unhappy lords,
Lords without anger or honour, who dare not carry their swords.
They fight by shuffling papers; they have bright dead alien eyes;
They look at our labour and laughter as a tired man looks at flies.
And the load of their loveless pity is worse than the ancient wrongs,
Their doors are shut in the evening; and they know no songs.
-The Secret People by G. K. Chesterton
Sorry, WGH, but sportsball is FAR more important than nuclear holocaust. Yours, Gen Z and old-fart boomers.
Annie Jacobsen’s book “Nuclear War: A Scenario” will make your blood run cold. Nuclear war has every likelihood of getting out of hand very quickly. One strategy US war planners have is called “Re-establishing nuclear deterrence” after someone breaks taboo and pops off a nuke or two. What is it? Launch a MASSIVE NUCLEAR COUNTERSTRIKE. Smoke ’em if you got ’em, use it or lose it. It’s insane, no one knows what would happen. Of course. ‘Merica. Also terrifying: The President has about 6 minutes (at best) to determine a course of action if there’s 1 or 500 ICBMs inbound.… Read more »
“The President has about 6 minutes (at best) to determine a course of action”
The president is an impotent figurehead, and probably has been since the end of WWII. The wages of a foreign elite in control of policy are proving quite high.
6 minutes or 60 minutes, makes no difference. The planning has always been to be able to sustain a “first strike” and retaliate with adequate—and terminal—response to the USSR. As long as one leg of the deterrent triad remains. As far as I know, our sub fleet remains viable in today’s environment to retaliate after a first strike. A Ohio class,Trident II sub has 24 missiles (MIRVs) that each split into 8 independently targeted nukes. The “throw weight” in megatons is astronomical. 192 nukes should be enough to take out every population center of Russia and then some. We have… Read more »
Indeed. We’ll blow them all to hell.
Small problem: The US only has about 50 missiles capable of intercepting ICBMs.
They’re 50% effective. At best.
The whole war is over for both sides in a few hours.
This is not argued, only that a credible MAD still exists between the two great powers. Tactical nukes however are an unknown. We have them too. I suspect they can be used.
Maybe. But the Russians have shown themselves to be vastly superior in the field of missile technology. It’s inconceivable that they haven’t applied this superiority to their nuclear capabilities as well. Russia would suffer badly, but the West would probably come off worse. Also, with the aforementioned missile superiority, the Russians have a much greater ability to take out our “leaders”. If push comes to shove, let’s hope they are the ones who die and that most of us plebs survive.
With Biden, those 6 minutes would involve changing his diapers.
All that on the pretext of perpetuating obvious lies such as the preamble of the Constitution. Who can be so confused that he denies the prudence of winding down the USA? The replacements ought to be discouraged from having any loyalty to the DC and the so-called “States”. Decolonize Hawai’i. Let Mexico absorb California if it can. And so on. If any portion of the USA endures, it ought to be no more than a toothless sliver of land between the Appalachians and the Atlantic Ocean, Florida excepted.
I doubt it. I have confidence Putin will manage this without nuclear escalation. I most certainly do not believe things would go from 0 to 100 (where 0 is no nukes and 100 is strategic nuclear weapons use) in a very short period of time.
What is possibly concerning is if Xi decides that now would be a good time to take care of Taiwan and open the Asia theater. But there are serious doubts that China is anywhere near ready for such an operation or that it will be in the near future.
That would depend at least as much on the rationality of Western leaders. I have no such confidence and find it hard to see why anyone would.
Yes, but this is why I think it is important to recognize that we won’t go from 0 to 100 in a matter of hours or even days. Using strategic nuclear weapons means all of the ground based ICBMs go up, up and away. This is full scale, hundreds if not thousands of nuclear weapons being launched and the end of Western Civilization.
WWI was launched by scheming politicians and out-of-touch heads of government in about one month. See July, 1914: Countdown to War by Sean McMeekin.
We have the same types of sneaks and idiots running things today. Who knows what could happen?
“I have confidence Putin will manage this without nuclear escalation.”
He’s not the one who has been escalating. It’s the US and its Europe satellites that have. Putin has been reacting. If the West continues escalating, he will continue reacting — maybe up to the nuclear level. If he does just remember who to blame.
It takes two to tango. I just don’t see Putin sleepwalking into strategic nuclear stockpile exchange.
Russian nuclear doctrine is out in the open. They have a no first use nuclear posture, at least as far as strategic nuclear weapons are concerned. While the US does not have a no first strike policy, I really don’t see them using them first. These people understand what a strategic nuclear exchange would mean. Their cushy lives would be over and they know it, probably better than anyone else.
Taiwan 20XX = Austria 1938.
That’s a bit of a stretch.
For decades during the Cold War, strong, brilliant men put their all into finding a balance into defending us against communism without starting WWIII. It’s a sign of how far and fast we’ve declined that we seem to have a bunch of grifters and blithering idiots simply blundering us into it out of pride, arrogance, and stupidity.
“We had a good thing, you stupid sons of a bitch! We had a Cold War victory. We had the biggest economy in the world. We had everything we needed, and it all ran like clockwork. You could’ve shut your mouths, built iPhones, and made as much money as we ever needed. It was perfect. But, no, you just had to blow it up. You and your pride and your ego! You just had to be the man. If you’d done your job, known your place, we’d all be fine right now.”
“You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you all to Hell!”
Yep. For 50 years US pols and diplomats kept Russia and China apart. It only took 12 months for Biden to push them together.
Maybe johnson can send his regime loving idiot navy son to fight or some of the new Americans. Watching the dumbass dc and brussels establishment get their ass handed to them all the while they are still stuck in their gnostic bullshit have been impressive. Next, get all the dual citizens to fight for that shifty piece of land in the middle east. Washington was always right, avoid the foreign bullshit.
I’m always fond of watching videos of idiotic tourists getting too close to bears and buffalo and receiving a quick lesson the danger of wild animals. The arrogance and stupidity of these tourists is startling.
NATO is like those tourists, poking the Russian Bear. I hope they don’t find that bears don’t like to be bothered.
The war is done and a negotiated settlement is the only way to avoid more bloodshed, which our demonic rulers apparently love.
Agreed. The West is that stupid Japanese tourist who recently fell into a volcano trying to do a selfie.
“Making Macron the first visit suggests the Chinese know he is a simpleton who is easily flattered, but also the driving force for escalation in Ukraine. “What the Chinese could offer the Europeans is a way out of the trap they have built for themselves with the Russians. They can get to pretend to be important figures by cutting a deal with China to end the war in Ukraine. Of course, this would mean breaking with Washington, so it is a long shot.” The Russians have been offering conciliatory ways out to the Europeans and Americans for years to no… Read more »
I think the Chinese are hoping to avoid a sanctions war right now, so they are courting the Europeans to slow down that process. They know what the Russians know and that is the war in Ukraine ends with the end of Ukraine. Even so, it is worth the jet fuel to try and drive a wedge between Europe and Washington. That wedge is France.
The thought that China might be able to broker a deal is the first ray of hope I have seen in this mess. With everyone in the West is obviously bat-shit crazy. It is up to a serious country like China to talk sense. This is something to be very much wished for.
Interesting to note the interplay between Katharina von Der Leyen and Macron. She’s obviously been assigned to him as a minder to make sure he doesn’t stray too far. Macron just announced France is not at war with Russia/Russian people and she all but contradicted him after both met with the Chinese foreign secretary. Remember when she flew with Macron to Beijing and Xi kicked her out and met only with Macron?
Don’t know what exactly, but there is a rift opening there.
Macron is truly a simpleton but name one Western leader who isn’t or even worse a simpleton with a vagina. How did it get to the point that we are ruled by people who should be fast food workers at the best in a real world?
Macron has been groomed by an old tranny since his early childhood into what he is today.
He thinks he’s smart because he’s sly, devious, and a fork-tongued liar. You can read all this just from his face.
How? The terminal disease called egalitarianism, that’s how. In the mad rush to engineer Potemkin equality, all brilliance and greatness are crushed as a matter of course, while stupidity and incompetence are promoted, particularly if the stupid and incompetent are Hutus, deviants, and Persons of Vulva. A civilization programmed by a deranged ideology produces a demented power structure.
How did we get such leadership? One word: Davos. These people are all Davbots and selected to usher in the Great Reset.
… Western “leaders” like Biden, Sunak, Scholz, and Macron. If there is a nuclear war I hope these scumbags get wiped out first.
And are instantly reincarnated, so they can be wiped out a second time.
And forced to listen to Taylor Swift for eternity.
The answer to the question of “what next” is to be found in the video I posted yesterday showing Biden shitting his pants while walking from the White House to Marine One. You can see the embarrassment of Jill Biden in the background while Biden coyly smiles with the release of his bowels. This is the symbolic archetype of the pseudo Mafiosi Tough Guy leading the Deep State and its EU minions.
What does it mean? The West will blink and back down.
I see the Ukraine war as a continuation of the Afghan war, which was simply about raping the American taxpayer on behalf of the transnational security state under the propaganda pretext of war. There’s a reason Ukraine began only six months after the end of Afghanistan. Julian Assange said it best in this 30 second clip here:
https://youtu.be/_IGU_7alJ80
Both Russia and Ukraine are controlled by higher powers pursuant to the below chart:
The war really can’t be properly understood except in this context…
This would be better written on Glenn Beck’s chalkboard.
The chart is poorly designed and obtuse but it is entirely accurate. Assange had it right, too: money is being stripped from American and European taxpayers and laundered to foreign elites, who then convert the fiat into hard assets. They are anticipating the dollar cratering even if there are no signs to support that just yet.
Yeah, all of these problems are just caused some rich guys and their personal greed. Nothing else going on. Nope, no deeper motivations.
That’s why the entire media and entertainment industry is anti-white, to make more money. Wait…
The madness stops when Americans throw the neocons out. Not making the mistake of overestimating people. Even normie seems to think life is a game. Normie just wants to eat, get drunk, and be entertained, so I can’t imagine what it’s like in the clouds. I think people with a say are still capable of contacting reality, especially at the brink, but the question is if they still have the guts for it, or if they’re content to go out as a bunch of losers partying to the end.
OT: Steve King is often mentioned here, and so I thought the readers would find this interesting. https://english.almayadeen.net/articles/analysis/muddying-the-water-on-us-student-protests “The RJC is gearing up to spend upward of $15 million in what will be the largest targeted effort toward the Jewish community in critical battleground states across the country … We have a long-standing history of speaking out against folks who are anti-Israel, whether they be Democrats like “the Squad” and the progressives on the left, but also against folks who voice anti-Israel sentiments on the Right”. “We were the group that was responsible for defeating Congressman Steve King. We’re spending… Read more »
The Republicans are showing all the signs of desperation one might expect from the Washington Generals if they found themselves leading by thirty points going into the fourth quarter.
“Noem, take a dive. Make up some story about how you killed a cute puppy or something.”
“Even so, it is enough of a fig leaf for the Russians to pretend they are not NATO soldiers.” And this is Russia’s conundrum. It’s clear they do not want to escalate, so they grant Nato all these little freebies and concessions (on what is and isn’t an actual combatant.) The problem is that the leadership in the West being what it is, views each concession as an invitation to push the boundary a little further until next thing they know they’re chest deep in the quicksand (aka the Russian war machine) and that when the panic starts: flailing their… Read more »
History is written by Winners, so you’ll likely get your wish.
If nuclear war happens, no history will be written because humanity will be history.
I agree. I was in the Navy in the 70’s when nuclear war with the USSR was an every day possibility. We had weekly drills on what to do in case of war and it pretty much consisted of bend over and kiss your ass goodby. Since the Soviet collapse the reality of war has faded into collective memory and a new generation has had their ideas of WW3 framed by video games and TV shows where plucky survivors hammer out a new civilization. Sorry folks, that’s not reality. In a mass retaliation event(MRE) + 10 years the fertility rate… Read more »
The problem is that the leadership in the West being what it is, views each concession as an invitation to push the boundary a little further until next thing they know they’re chest deep in the quicksand
This. Its why the escalation is partly Putin’s fault. Earlier declarations of red lines, and then doing nothing when they were crossed, has created a real dilema.
Its best to never declare a red line. If they enemy crosses one, simply react. That lets the other side know you are serious, and that they are in a “fuck around and find out” situation.
I do not think any of the world leaders think WW3 is right around the corner, but they all have huge incentives in convincing the world that it is. The U.S. and NATO leaders can use the threat of WW3 to justify extending and expanding their money laundering enterprises. Putin is about to start his 5th term and is more popular in Russia than ever. Xi Jinping is the most influential diplomat in the world and China benefits from being able to trade freely with both sides. I feel about WW3 much the same way I felt about Covid. They… Read more »
This is a logical argument and hopefully you’re right, however, a similar situation with trade entanglements and globalization existed prior to WWI.
Let’s not forget that the Biden Cabal desperately needs a distraction right about now. They keep show trialing Bad Orange Man, and his popularity keeps going up. They’re going to have to Fortify the almighty hell out of the election no matter what, but it’s about to get ludicrous. And then there’s the fact that they actually published the League Table of the Progressive Stack — what Covid was to medicine (the own goal to end all own goals), the hamfisted response to college Hamas protests is to the rest of the Apparat. The Biden Junta really is stupid and… Read more »
(Sadly, plenty of Grillers and Normies really will, but as their average age is north of 50 they won’t be of much military use).
Volkssturm baby, Volkssturm.
Republican party is suffering from a spiritual crisis. It has become a giant grifting machine that churns out slogans and collects money. It stands for no value and allows lockdowns, death-shot mandates, J6 political prisoners rotting in jail, burning cities, but always ‘stands for our greatest allies” in Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan and worries about “the left destroying our country”.
I do not think the situation is sustainable. The spiritual battle between Christians and anti-Christians will come to the fore sooner or later.
Same in the UK. The country is falling to pieces and Cameron somehow finds £3.9bn for Ukraine. They aren’t going to stop, so they need to be stopped.
This is like wondering if they will come to their senses and stop with the BS attacks on Trump and acting like insane tyrants. Not gonna happen. They’d rather America burn than let the people elect Trump. They made that rather clear during Covid, didn’t they? In the same manner, they’d rather have nuclear WW3 unless Putin (and the rest of the world, but especially Putin), comes and bows before them or takes a knee, they seem to like that gesture the best. In any matter, I have no doubt that they are willing to destroy humanity and maybe the… Read more »
This is like wondering if they will come to their senses and stop with the BS attacks on Trump and acting like insane tyrants. Not gonna happen.
You don’t want Trump in jail like most of the “commie teriate” here and their leader The Bolshevik? Shock… horror!
Exactly. It is the same dynamic–psychotic hubris. The current CIA director was Obama’s ambassador to Moscow. He told American officials not a single political faction in Russia would accept NATO membership for Ukraine. He obviously is being ignored. There certainly must be “Biden” advisors telling his handlers to lay off the astonishingly vulgar and ham-handed lawfare. They also are being ignored even as “Biden” becomes weaker.
It is truly dangerous. There is little doubt they will burn down the world if they don’t get a pony.
Looking at People Magazine for Davos, aka the FT, it looks like the Plan, such as it is, would be conscription and massive human waves against the Russians to create a North / South Korea situation. A “Frozen Conflict” that allows them to claim a win. That at least is the plan. The reality is that any such mobilization in Europe and the US has serious costs. In Germany, France, and the UK having most (White) military men away at the front (let us just imagine it happens) would pretty much guarantee an uprising of the Aloha Snackbar variety to… Read more »
Mission accomplished, then! White men dead, white people broken and enslaved!
They aren’t conscripting nobody. They threatened Ukrainian refugee men in Europe from 18 to 60(!) that they were going to be coming for them, not going to happen.
Stop being so negative, FFS! We have escalation dominance in the most important area: pronouns. The poor Russkies are still stick in First Generation He/She/It, while we have a vast armoury of instantly deployable, full spectrum ze/zey/zoos.
And just like that, Dr. Strangelove – war rooms, Buck Turgidson, and all is no longer satire. I suspect the Beltway retards actually think this way: “I’m not saying we wouldn’t get our hair mussed, but I do say no more that 10 – 20 Million killed – tops – depending on the breaks.
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I’ve had that thought, that deploying NATO troops to Odessa would salvage what rump state might be left while fortifying their own regime in Ukraine. It would also free up a bunch of troops that could be sent to the front (in theory). The limiting factor though is that the logistics of the situation would be pretty horrible.
Russia will call their bluff and a lot of NATO troops will die.
There’s strategic advantage for Russia to wait until the election. If Trump prevails, no WW3. If Trump loses or is overthrown, we get some weird version of WW3, but 1/2 of America refuses to comply. Russia takes out our enemies for us or the Government Party launches an unpopular war and risks Americans shooting at them instead of the Russians.
Whites, who have been discouraging military service, will likely react violently to a draft.
I don’t have your trust in Trump. He’s weak and easily manipulated. I can imagine him in Jan 2025 telling that Bolton and Pompeo are “good people”
Trump has repeatedly promised to end the war in Ukraine “in 24 hours”. That’s not something he can easily be manipulated out of. I do think the CIA and DOS will disobey orders. Military action may be required against both agencies.
In a full blown episode of clown world. The champion of fighting, “diversity” sinecures in the state department is himself a sinecure: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Office_of_the_Special_Envoy_for_Holocaust_Issues
Discovered via this: https://www.foxnews.com/media/new-state-department-diversity-chief-believes-us-failed-historic-model-colonizing-past
Can you imagine the US holding negotiations with Russia and China while they full well know that our government is staging a Color Revolution aimed at destroying the country?
How could you even be taken seriously by rivals? Seems like a total pushover just at the time that our Empire is falling.
I am not a fan of the posture of the Claremont guys. However, their understated analysis indicates that the GAE’s hand to play is extremely weak. They imply that Ukraine falling will drive the Europeans away from the GAE. A) The GAE brought them along and the EU got nothing more than a terrible economy and a very terrible draining of industry from Germany that they may not recover from. B) The GAE’s hand is so weak on so many fronts that the EU gynocrats walk away from Washington and figure the Eurasian alliance is a better deal from them.… Read more »
Did anyone else watch the recent Paul Craig Roberts interview on Dialogue Works? I normally don’t own with PCR, but he is the only one who has been saying the things I’ve been saying regarding the Ukrainian War. Too many people in the alternative space are uncritically adopting the views of The Duran, viz. that Russia’s time-biding approach to SloMo works in their favor. I do not agree with that. I think that the key to de-escalation is destroying the Ukrainian government and that Zelensky and Kiev should have been targeted long ago.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KpMHwFidMyM
“Dialogue Works” is generally good. I’ve seen the ones with Dmitry Orlov. And I’ll be watching the most recent one with Pepe Escobar.
Pepe Escobar…wasn’t he Chi Chi Rodriguez’s caddy back in the 70s?
One reason Russia did not send a million man army into Ukraine is they did not have one to send. PCR simply does not understand what Russia has been doing for the last two years. The transition from battalion to division level organization, for example, is not something you do in a week. Training 700,000 new soldiers and revamping your military to handle tens of new volunteers every month takes time. Then you have the technological revolution on the battlefield to contend with for which there are no ready answers.
I don’t entirely disagree. There are noises about pivoting to Klitschko, but that is difficult because Zelensky has been built up as the face of Ukraine.
I’m less in tune with the Duran than I used to be. It’s tiresome listening to Mercouris get the vapors because he can’t grok the idea we are headed for nuclear war.
The Russians will not deal with any of the Ukraine leaders now. Once they officially labeled them as criminals, that was the end of any chance for these guys to escape alive. Russia is a legalistic place. Unlike the West, they take their rules seriously. Once they officially labeled these guys as criminals, there is no negotiating with them. I suspect we may see a coup this month. Zelensky’s term officially ends May 20. I can see the ultranationalists launching a coup attempt, which may explain why those unites have refused to be thrown into various meat grinders. On the… Read more »
This is the only way out. A faction comes to power in Ukraine that is not beholden to the usual suspects. Macron is as much their creature as “Biden”, which is why Xi’s efforts will come to nought.
10 a.m. today:
Russian plot to assassinate Zelensky foiled, Ukraine intelligence agents say
https://www.yahoo.com/news/russian-plot-assassinate-zelensky-foiled-105733310.html
Zelensky claims there was an assassination attempt on him recently.
Putin has always assumed that the West, while ran by criminals, at least had it’s own self interest in mind. What he seems only recently to be aware of is that the West is not only ran by criminals, they are psychopathic and quite possibly suicidal criminals.
On the contrary, eliminating the Zelensky regime likely just triggers the next escalation by the GAE, which seems incapable of backing down. Which is why I believe it hasn’t already happened.
I think PCR is wrong. He never explains how Russia could have acted more quickly without its forces being destroyed by ISR and drones. It’s impossible these days to amass the kind of forces needed for his kind of action without it being destroyed a long time before it reaches the point of concentration.
So let’s say for the sake of discussion that (((they))) have made a deal with the Orange Man to allow him to be president again, in return for support of our Greatest Ally. Which I find quite plausible. The question is whether or not this would include his support for continuing the suicidal “strategy” re: “Ukraine.” Perhaps it does not. Israel does not appear to care a whole lot about Ukraine. What I’m getting at is voting harder, while not a solution for all or even many problems, could actually be the thing to save us from war with Russia.… Read more »
Israel never provided Ukraine with weapons or Iron Dome that Zelensky begged for, only medical help.
I think you miss his point – if OMB agrees to drop Uke to focus on helping Israel genocide the Palis, maybe our Zionist rulers allow him to be Pres. That seems to explain OMB’s rhetoric of late – signaling he would make such a deal.
Do you think Trump forgot that Netanyahu was the first foreign leader to congratulate Joe Biden on obtaining the Presidency? I don’t think he has forgotten that.
Jews in Israel licensed production of Tavor rifles to Ukrainians, and Azov battalion members got their hands on some of those. This scandalized a few “human rights” Jews in Israel who protested to their government. It so happened also that Ukrainians obtained Israeli armoured vehicles through some surreptitious route intended to preserve plausible deniability in Israel.
https://m.jpost.com/israel-news/article-723050
Trump doesn’t have to make a deal with anyone unless he wants to. That’s what they all hate about him.
FWIW: 2 Ukrainian security officials arrested for allegedly being part of the plot to assassinate Zelensky,
Can somebody help the slow kids out?
The war nerds I listen to are using terms I am unfamiliar with. There is supposedly the doctrine of “Combined Arms Warfare that was supposedly perfected by the Germans in WW2, and adopted by the Allies after the war. Supposedly there is a new doctrine of something called “Integrated Arms Warfare” – and the Russians have mastered it while Globohomo still functions under obsolete military paradigms.
Do any of you fellas know what Integrated Arms Warfare is? And what the difference between the two terms is…?
integrated arms warfare = “combined arms warfare” + microprocessor
The communications between different combat arms are automated
Thanks Paul!
forgot to add the precision strike aspect of it (another outcome of integrating satellite communication and microprocessor-programmed control of the hypersonic weapons). I saw an interview (CNN !!) of Iranian general, who said that his rockets strike within a feet of the distant location where they send it to, and everything is automated.
Precision strike capability is the only silver lining in this very dark approaching cloud. It means that there is no place to hide for Macron, Zelensky, Schwab, Johnson….
Integrated Arms Warfare = Combined Arms Warfare + fat General Dynamics contract
I think the worst possible outcome to the Ukraine war from the point of view of the neocons would be a Chinese-mediated peace settlement. If that happens, China would be a factor in not only the Mideast (the Saudi Arabia-Iran reestablishment of diplomatic relations) but also in eastern Europe.
I have never been a fan of the Chinese, but given how unspeakably awful our own government is – warring all over the globe, spending trillions and trillions of dollars it doesn’t have, flooding the country with the crappiest people from all over, forcing folks to accept sexual degenerates, perverts, and criminals as the best of us – I am just fine with China running things.
If they can broker a peace, that would be OK.
One could make a very strong case that the worst people on the planet are the rulers of the West. Everybody is preferable to them.
In Korean War, America was under the command of the UN. Chinese soldiers were all “volunteers”.
As much as I hate to say it, Europeans being “our people.” On its face it would seem smart for Europe to lean in towards China, since the GAE has used Europe as a political pawn to squeeze Russia and payed a heavy price for it. Europe has suffered more economic / political strife than Russia caused by the U.S. sanctions. Especially regarding fuel. China is the world’s manufacturer, the U.S. produces nothing of value the Europeans can’t get anywhere else including China. The only thing Europe needs form the GAE is its military. China could offer as much foreign… Read more »
About 40 years ago Gore Vidal predicted a future where China would rule the world, the US would be its farm, and Europe its boutique. Not looking bad as a prediction but he seems to have thought the USSR would just collapse into nothing. Not unreasonable, that was on track, but then Putin happened. Well, as a wise man once said, predictions are always risky, especially about the future.
The ONLY hope for Europe is to drop the Ukraine crap and go back on bended knees to beg Putin and beg for forgiveness. That would of course mean getting rid of all Euro leaders apart from Orban and that guy in Slovakia.
it’s all just theater. they will finish geocoding the Ukrainians , then divide up the non Russian parts of the country to corporate interests.Then they will continue to destroy western food production to drive the prices to astronomical . we will all pay the $20 for a loaf of bread, and $2 each for eggs. , that is unless your social credit score boes to low, then you will be frozen out of all transactions.
$2 eggs brings to mind the Jack London story
The One Thousand Dozen (americanliterature.com)
I have a nagging suspicion that we are on the cusp of a resurgence of Eastern Orthodoxy in that part of the world.
When viewed in a certain light, the Ukraine adventure is an uptick in Neocon strategy. It’s a lot like Tom Sawyer charging the kids (Europeans) to whitewash his fence. Conversely, it shows the epic stupidity of this generation of European politicians. In the old days, the US paid for everything.
Excellent roundup. This is what I’ve been reading since Sunday night.
Thank goodness for Mssr. Z, and for Cold Fury/WRSA.
I mean, try finding any of this in regular news…tain’t gonna happen.
I have a question. A sudden case of brain vapor-lock.
We know the WHO Pandemic treaty is this month;
but something big is supposed to happen in July.
Can anyone remember what the big July blowup is rumoured to be?
And the next day after XI visits, the UK has a cyber attack on their ministry of defense. By China they say.
I suspect that the powerless simpletons which are ruling over us european servs will find a new pandemic or something like that to worry about. And they will brag for years to come that they have prevented Russia from sweeping all the way to Spain and that they are the saviours of “our democracy”.
Wise man once said, “It’s the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine.”
We’re past Lend/Lease, but not quite to “shoot-on-sight”…
Lend-Lease became Bend-n-Lube
The insanity among Western “leaders” is breath-taking. They have learnt nothing from the last two years. There is a palpable sense too that the Russians have had enough of being taunted and talked down to by people like Macron and Cameron. I live in Europe and have a family, but I almost – almost – hope they do take out some relevant targets here just to teach them a lesson.
It would be a really long shot and if it ever happens Washington will probably take it as a declaration of war.
Check out the first half hour of Lex Fridman’s interview with Annie Jacobsen about her new book, “Nuclear War.” It takes 72 minutes to blow up the world, killing 5 of 8 billion people. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GXgGR8KxFao
It’s a great book, but I’d rather die in a Global Nuclear Holocaust than watch Lex Fridman.
2 days ago (Orthodox Easter) Zelensky announced that Ukrainians are G-d’s chosen people.
I have a confirmation for Zelensky: yes, G-d chose them for annihilation, according to His promise to Abraham: “I’ll curse those who curse you”.
Ukrainians did unspeakable cruelty to Jews for 200 years, but could not be punished before they became a nation for the first time in their history in 1991.
You mean “unspeakable” retaliation against abusive Shemitic supremacists who never needed to establish colonies in Europe. Now let’s think about the first person singular pronoun in the quoted passage. Was it not inserted by spiteful priests of the master priesthood nation? Israel, you see, has been narcissism on stilts since its obscure beginnings, and this crybully is nothing if not a vindictive fool. The god, a literary character, speaks for the priesthood (of no authority) and its loyalists. Be of good cheer, though, hannahless one. It will be all over for the master nation, Israel, within just over 200 years.… Read more »
If you read the Bible, much of it is about God punishing Israel for disrespecting Him. Why would they (Jews) leave all that stuff in there for thousands of years if it wasn’t true? The Bible does not exactly paint Jews in a good light (or any of us – none of us non-Jews are any better). I don’t believe priests or anyone else inserted stuff.
Also remember that the Arabs (descendants of Ishmael) also share in God’s blessing as a “great nation”.
Here’s an interesting channel: MiniPix US V53 16×9 VO1 (youtube.com)
Why would they (Jews) leave all that stuff in there for thousands of years if it wasn’t true? That material was added by clever guys who had some understanding that their posterity would stray from the plan for world domination (Pslams 2, Isaiah 66) and so need to correct their course. Military men are capable of the same thinking, but they are in most cases still just foolish brutes, at least in western Europe, N. America, and, of course, Israel. All Bibles reek of origins among common, fallible beings. They have a multitude of errors including bad geography and cosmology… Read more »
So good. Bone-chilling accurate, a perfect example of what is spoken in the prophecies. This is why the Christians will never see the meaning of things in the same way, Thank you Anna dear. Now, from BigCountry’s point of view (an American military blogger): “Recently there was a vidya circulating out there of Two Recruiting Commissars who were forced to dig their own graves, and then got blasted by Farmer Petrovich with a 12 gauge. There’s also another one of a bunch of Romani (gypsies) storming a Recruitment Center to ‘rescue’ one of their own who got snatched up off… Read more »