Trump has only been in office for five months, but he has quickly managed to smash up a bunch of things. One of those things is the relationship with Europe, which has been in place since the end of the Cold War. By walking away from Project Ukraine, he is putting the world on notice that things will never be the same between the United States and the rest of the NATO countries.
Something similar seems to be developing in the Middle East. He went for the homerun shot against Iran, but that failed, leaving the region on the edge of war and Israel scrambling to avoid Iranian missiles. Trump is left with two terrible choices, either of which probably breaks the old order in the region. He can launch and attack that probably fails or cut a deal, either option looks like a loss.
There is the third option to commit to a long air war against Iran, but you do not win wars with just air power. That was the lesson of Iraq. It took a million-man army to topple the regime. Iran is bigger, tougher, and more stable than Iraq under Saddam, so toppling the government will be much more difficult. The long air war would most likely be a very expensive failure.
The way things currently sit, the end result of this Iran – Israel war will be a new security arrangement in the Middle East. Israel will not be able to threaten her neighbors, expecting the United States to cash the checks she writes. That will be a revolutionary change in a region that needs it. Whatever it looks like in the end, it will be the result of Trump smashing and breaking things.
That is the show this week. As with so many other things, Trump is not the man with a plan, but a man with a hammer. He breaks the old stuff, often by his mere existence, but this opens the way for new stuff. He has broken the political order in Washington and now that he has real power, he is breaking the order abroad. He is the Mule, the destroyer of worlds, bringing the end of empire.
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This Week’s Show
Contents
- Intro
- Trumps Foreign Policy
- Project Ukraine
- Israel
- China
- Fast Versus Slow
- Trump’s Legacy
Direct Download, The iTunes, iHeart Radio, RSS Feed
Full Show On Spreaker
Full Show On Rumble
Full Show On Odysee
As discussed before, the bungling of Trump 1.0 revealed the limit of his abilities. He clearly made some deals to get back behind the resolute desk. The first 100 days, the DOGE stuff, the gutting of USAID, and ICE raids are all results from a team that was most likely assembled to help him. Now the loudest voices in the oval office are steering him towards disaster. Back in March when Trump greenlit airstrikes against the Houthis, no one in the administration expected the op to turn into an international embarrassment. 2 F-18s flopping off the USS Truman deck (missile… Read more »
“He should leave it alone and get back to domestic issues, especially immigration reform and deportations.”
Disagree somewhat. He should get back to domestic issues to be sure, but one of those *is* the military. a DOGE effort needs to be unleashed there. $1T budget. How much is wasted? How much of our current defense/offense (in)capabilities is based on unworkable “wunderwaffe” boondoggles?
Ignoring big money for the moment, he has the authority immediately in hand to handle such an overhaul in his Constitutional role as Commander in Chief.
“How much is wasted”
Well, I’ve heard over the years that our military is absolutely and unequivocally not ready for a major conflict were one to erupt tomorrow, it gets BTFO’d in every single wargame, and it can’t beat a bunch of bronze age guys firing missiles into the ocean, so it seems like all of it is wasted. Every single dollar. But note that DOGE never got near the DOD and Musk was chased out of the WH with his tail between his legs.
History has proven it is, in modern times, almosts impossible to defeat an enemy that does not play its part by surrenduring.
Saw the parade, Strykers? Abrams? Bradleys? The 1990’s are calling, they want their obsolete vehicles back.
I hear from my circle of Normies … they were duly impressed .. a tank!
God help us.
Scott Greer wrote an article about how the parade was for lowbrow White normie consumption, and at that it probably succeeded. But for the rest of us… wow. We saw how well those weapons did against a modern army in Ukraine. The answer is… not good. That should have been a wake up call in the Pentagon. it probably was, for some. Then the manufacturers got some senators on the phone and the matter was put to rest. The Pentagon and the “defense” budget is not to win wars. It is to procure weapons. It’s very good at that, but… Read more »
IMO it would have been nice to see just the Doughboys, Continental Army … as a marching military museum would have been better than an inadvertant … military museum.
I guess Greer is on to something, since the target audience would not be our adversaries … nor anyone in the know.
Went to the article by Greer. I see there was all of 1 comment, and the first link to ‘something, something Conservative’ wanted me to ‘donate’ $$.
Please.
His article could have been written by AI, with a few sentences edited to sound human. Reading it did not make me any smarter, nothing learned I did not know already.
Perhaps his piece was also for the “lowbrow White normie” you mentioned??
Oh goodness gracious me! Meow!
Mycale: “But note that DOGE never got near the DOD and Musk was chased out of the WH with his tail between his legs.” A Bad Man: “Saw the parade, Strykers? Abrams? Bradleys? The 1990’s are calling, they want their obsolete vehicles back.” In fairness to Musk, 100% of everything he’s doing in the Outer Atmosphere can be switched over to Military use in a literal blink of an eye. At this point, Musk is essentially the future of the military. I don’t know that even the F22s are of much use anymore; their payloads are way too small to… Read more »
Military strength doesn’t come from spending a trillion Dollars a year on the military, it comes from industry. America went into WW2 a fairly bit military player. It emerged the biggest and most powerful military in the world. That was because a large percentage of industry was directed to military production. We built 90 aircraft carriers, hundreds of fuel ships, hundreds of non-carrier ships, 70k war planes and the atomic bomb. We couldn’t even make 16 million uniforms or pairs of boots today. We haven’t faced a worthy adversary in 50 years. Even then, the Vietnamese defeated us. We are… Read more »
Stalin thought one of the mistakes the Germans made was putting too many men in uniform rather than prioritizing military production.
One of the limitations of German WW2 logistics was their heavy reliance on horse-drawn carts.
Of course FDR made sure to send massive fleets of trucks to the Soviets.
One of the most incredible stories of WWII was the production of the A6M “Zero” fighter plane that was nearly invincible early in the war. Mitsubishi had no airfield at their factory and the Zeros had to be transported to the airfield for testing on an oxen-drawn wagon.
The problem is three-fold. First one is the industrial base. We got rid of so many shipyards and aircraft production facilities, along with all of the needed subcontractors in favor of the “Peace Dividend” after the end of the Cold War. We also got rid of many of our government-owned aircraft repair depots and shipyards with all of those custom-built machine tools and other infrastructure that you can’t regenerate overnight. Then it’s a people problem. Many of the old tradesmen retired after that great dismantlement or went to do something else. Most of them are either dead or too old… Read more »
I grew up just outside the gates of Mare Island Naval Shipyard, the primo sub maker and port on the west coast. Washington closed it in the mid-Nineties to ‘save money’, decimating the town. My paternal grandpa was a career master machinist on the ‘Yard’. He and his cronies made the parts for your ships in WW1 and WW2. My dad was an officer in the merchant marine in wartime. Where will Ms. Amerika find their like again? And how long would it take for her to fire or cage them, given their unrepentant — and occasionally dangerous — masculinity?… Read more »
We are building a frigate based on a European design. The Navy decided it didn’t like it and the design went from the intended 85% commonality with the European original design to 15% and is years behind schedule. Is this the ocean-going frigate that is being built at a freshwater shipyard in Wisconsin, of all places? I love the Great Lakes, but for pete’s sake, you can’t simulate an ocean environment there. The Lakes are huge, but the world’s oceans are a different order of magnitude when it comes to waves and wind. There is also the matter of saltwater,… Read more »
In a system like that I can easily imagine a byzantine level of corruption and inefficiency.
M10 Booker reminds me of Polish WPB Anders, a “hopeful” project that went nowhere as the brass controlling the procurement kept changing the requirements (they still do). Lately, Taiwan cancelled the Clouded Leopard procurement which makes this type of armament quite unlucky so far.
This erosion of military-industrial capacity is pretty much universal in NATO. The empire switched its military system with War on Terror and the vassals followed suit.
Overhauling the military IS a domestic agenda. A crucial one, because the enlisted ranks still are the most trump-friendly of all institutional elements. He must make use of that. And you are right, he needs to retire 3/4 of the general staff, toss the princesses and homos and etc. out, and make sure with the rest of his domestic agenda that the Ebil Ebil White Males WANT to enlist in his forces again. That means dumping permanently the feminist agenda and the rest of the identity agendas that run everything in New Amerika, including the armed forces. Now, will he… Read more »
I actually think the wunderwaffe might be even more difficult to cut back on now. A lot of people probably think that using the military as a laboratory for wacky social experimentation can still work because we have all these magical gadgets that nobody else has. It’s another form of American exceptionalism. Sure, having your male officers prancing around in high heels is probably demoralizing as hell for the kind of basically normal and traditional people that typically join the military but hey look – laser cannon! The problem is that it’s obvious now that our technological advantage has been… Read more »
It’s not just the age of the equipment, it’s the incompetence of the new Identity Armed Forces. Your daughters plus a bunch of homos aren’t going to win any wars, nor even any skirmishes as with the impoverished Houthis. Sure, they can wear the insignia and get called ma’am all day and push the automatic buttons, but beyond that . . . well let’s just say that The Revolution finally will run out of self-delusion and deception, and smack straight into the wall of Reality, as embodied in basically any masculine nation that wants to test New Amerika. Who will… Read more »
I’ve said this before, and it’s worth mention again for new readers, we are pushing the limits outlined in the theory of the “Smart Fraction”. Worth looking up…AI (?). Basically, it states that a 1st class technological society depends upon a fairly small fraction of the population being at the right end of the Bell Curve wrt IQ. When that decreases beyond a point, we start to decline. Point here is that we might not feel the decline evenly across all aspects of society. We might see bridges begin to collapse yet still direct remaining (Smart Fraction) engineering resources to… Read more »
OK let’s say you gotta boss-ass technological military thanks to the Smart Fraction, the drones can make your breakfast too . . . but chaos, oppression and impoverishment at home.
What is the point of that boss military? What is it exactly that you defend? This satanic horror of a nation?
No point at all Ray. Just pointing out a common detraction from the theory. Decline is possible without notice in many areas and can be gradual and initially imperceptible. Nonetheless, we are getting stupider as a nation—and that really is the motivating driver wrt reaching “the high ground” of AI before the tsunami of 3rd world mediocrity overwhelms us.
I suspect that the military cannot be reformed unless the society that spawns it is likewise reformed. I doubt that can be done with the present system.
No one expects you to defend the horror, just the diaspora with its headquarters in the Levant.
While true, it’s not solely the fact that the military is corrupted by DIE. It’s not as if Chesty Puller’s and Douglas MacArthur’s 100% masculine military was able to win a resounding victory in Korea, or that drafting millions of males only created a winning formula in Vietnam.
It’s imperial overstretch, and a detached class of mandarin politicians calling the shots and committing us to wars that are either unwinnable, or winnable only at a cost they are not prepared to pay.
Wondering if the late Roman empire suffered from arms manufacturers and slave merchants grifting from their wars…
What we know is that it suffered from extensive speculation on land and the bloated, cosmopolitan city of Rome had little soldiers to defend with. Even while Rome remained ahead technologically, its force generation capabilities were declining, making more and more room for the foederati allies that eventually turned on the Romans.
I can easily imagine arms grift happening in those conditions.
Historians also think that the increasing aggression from the barbarians and the Roman response (more soldiers and mercenaries costing more money) put enormous economic pressure on the Roma populace.
They used a diluted and “diversified” military to fight forever wars in order to protect an over-extended empire. Ring any bells?
A lot of it is this idea that you can have “limited war.” War is like pregnancy. You’re either at war or you’re not. There is no such animal as a “police action” or “nation building.” We’ve forgotten that war should be rare and brutal. Take off the gloves and destroy the enemy completely. Gut their will to fight. Lobbing some lazy cruise missile strikes or bombing empty bits of jungle that are supposedly “truck parks” is the antithesis of this approach. We need to stop intervening in conflicts that don’t concern us. No need for thousands of Americans to… Read more »
In fairness to the military, the goal in the Korean War was not victory but stalemate. Objecting to that was what got Mac fired.
Despite all the hoo-hah about Whites once again signing on to ‘serve’ AINO, the actual demographics tell a different story.
Army is 50% White, 21% black, 18% mestizo, 16% womyn.
Air Force: 63% White, 15% black, 17% mestizo, 21% womyn.
Navy: 45% White, 18% black, 18% mestizo, 21% womyn.
Marines: 54% White, 11% black, 26 % mestizo, 9% womyn.
Throw in a handful of Asians (east and south) and ‘multi-racial’ mystery meats, and you have one ugly and representative pie.
https://usafacts.org/articles/how-many-people-are-in-the-us-military-a-demographic-overview/
All too true, but I believe the military top brass in their quiet moments realize this. They also notice, that our modern military has a “tooth to tail” of about 1 to 5 at best (depends on branch) and often higher. Meaning that the boots on the ground can be predominately White, while the support structure can suffer from the “blessings” of diversity with little degradation in lethality. Now I didn’t say I bought into this, just that 50+ percent White might be sufficient in military planning. What I will never believe however is that the top brass doesn’t realize… Read more »
Of course that isn’t evenly distributed. My son would occasionally send me photos of his 101st Airborne platoons in Afghanistan. Upwards of 90% White male. Zero women.
Amerika is a nation that can’t even lie to itself productively. Oh yeah all yr princesses are Equal — no, wait, Superior — until the dying and suffering time comes. Then Our Betters are nowhere to be found.
Pus-hole of a nation. Your hour will come.
We sent our vaunted weapons to Ukraine, only to have them revealed as obsolete, along with those of the U.K., Germany, the whole bunch. If we HAD sent our people, what makes one think they too would not have been revealed? I don’t mean 6 Delta guys, or their ilk. Getting to Ukraine, from Poland …. is easy street compared to getting ‘boots on the ground’ to Iran. We did not go east, and if the IDF, themselves a military force living in the ‘Heights of Courage’ …. aka the PAST … can feel free to. I don’t recall the… Read more »
He should leave it alone and get back to domestic issues, especially immigration reform and deportations. One hundred percent, although it can be argued that neutralizing the military before the Left can unleash it on the citizenry–which will happen–has to be a consideration. The same Left howling about the use of the military to repel an internal invasion will have no problem with using it to terrorize white Americans. That aside, literally everything is downstream from mass deportations. It goes unsaid, but I think one consequence of throwing open the borders has been the public’s total disassociation from D.C.’s war… Read more »
Even my teenaged nephew KNEW that Trump was a player in a quid pro quo, for the $$$ and return to the Oval Office in exchange for:
— Increased enlistment of the usual suckers, poor people with no other options.
—– dog gets wagged when the waggers want to wag the dog.
American interests? Please, see my previous posts about Wilson, FDR … 100+ years of charlatans promising to stay out of foreign wars …. while all along CONSPIRING to involve us and see to the death of untold numbers of Americans .. and sadness for their wives and mothers.
I would agree with most of your points, especially that Trump should switch to domestic issues. As for the F-35s, the oldest ones were bought around 2007-2008, so they’re pretty young. Also, it’s all about fatigue life. Even the B- and C-model jets, which are heavier than the A-models used by the Air Force and most foreign operators, have a minimum life of 8,000 flight hours and that’s with some time spent at sea. At about 180 to 250 hours per year per jet, that’s 32 years at the worst case scenario. We’ve fatigue-tested to failure all of the F-35… Read more »
“Very interesting!” say the Houthi tribesmen.
The Houthis were not the Houthis. That is, a bunch of 70 IQ illiterates did not target the Truman 200 miles out to sea and moving. That was Russia not even Iran and as payback for sinking the Moscva, and a lot of other stuff. [Pre hitting the bombers I think]. Remove Russia from the equation and Iran has few friends. China, maybe, but China is not going to do much now for Iran. Certainly not intervene militarily when Taiwan and southern Japan (to protect the Taiwan flank) and Guam and other targets are on the menu. The mistake is… Read more »
SATURDAY EVENING, JUNE 21ST
Apparently we’ve Bunker-Busted the Iranian nukular facilititties.
ATTN PERSIAN BROS:
Kindly target your retribution upon the following locales:
1) Scarsdale, NY
2) The “Rittenhouse” section of Philadelphia
3) The entirety of Broward County, FL
4) The “Glenview” section of Chicago
5) Hollywood California [north of I-10 and south of Santa Monica BLVD, although you don’t want to miss, “GARNSEY”].
Thanks so much!!!!!
Trump as a merchant can still break a huge number of things. On the docket are things that could set the stage for going from hegemon with a geography and weapon system that could have ensured an eternal American power, to an incendiary pile of plebian racial factions and rival alien ruling factions able to command the continent as satraps on behalf of their Asian homeland. Here is what he is forsaking his duty to deal with or actively pursuing that will bring ruin at home: The open invasion and colonization of vast swaths of territory that is openly supported… Read more »
trump broke the political power in washington?!! … is this a joke? he was allowed to come back for war with iran, that’s why elections weren’t rigged. democrats are still in washington(not in prison), they’ll be back and they can’t wait to spill some white blood. republicans focus on israel’s enemy abroad(middle east), democrats focus on Israel’s domestic enemies(white race), this is basic stuff. if by some miracle trump doesn’t want war with iran he’ll get ousted. white americans should get ready for post trump era cause a demoncrat coup is coming(whites don’t fight back) or a civil war(whites fight… Read more »
You know you’re living in strange days when Bernie Sanders, of all people, is tweeting that, “….Netanyahu is not the President of the United States….”
Even stranger is that, while nominally correct, you not really sure it effectively is
After he Tweets: “No Kings!”
Leftist Finkels are ambivalent at most toward Israel. It’s the centrist, neocon and rightwing Jews who regard Israel as the center of the cosmos. And it is those Finkels who are presently in the ascendant.
Yes. Leftwing Jews care much more about hurting Russia than propping up Israel, which is their rightwing brethren’s main concern. The whackadoodle Christian Zionists have made the latter’s job easier for years but that faith is in rapid decline and its younger adherents are abandoning Israel First.
“The whackadoodle Christian Zionists … .” … do not exist and never did. One may be a Christian or a Zionist but not both. Christians worship the holy and undivided Trinity; they do not worship Israel. Christians do not “worship dumb idols and run after false gods.” So-called “Christian” Zionists, however, do exactly that. So-called “Christian” Zionists regard the Scriptures as a dime-store paperback on the astrological fortunes of this country or that. Christianity for them is restricted to “Woo-woo” scary stuff about “the future” and a mish-mash of gibberish that was generated by a demented 19th-century convicted felon who… Read more »
Theologically, yes, but these types identify as “Christian Zionists.” I agree the notion is ridiculous on its face but these types have numbers and power, both thankfully is remission. They do not need to be any closer to foreign policy than Scientologists need to be running our healthcare system.
Part of what drives Christian Zionism is rapture theory, which appears to appeal to people because they don’t have to die. All for the low, low spiritual price of “blessing Israel”.
I can tell you from personal experience that Christian Zionists are quite real. I even built a website for one once (yes, I charged him for it and it wasn’t about Isra-hell). The existence and power of that faction of Christians, for me, is one of the black pills about the malleability of ordinary people and the power of propaganda to reconcile even the most obviously incompatible ideas. It’s also a reminder of how virtually everything in the US has become twisted around to serve almost the opposite of what it’s real purpose should be. I guarantee you that, now… Read more »
It’s a pretty stark dividing line. Living memory is doing its thing.
The Left has been pro-Palestinian etc. for many decades. This is not new.
The far right and far left have always had things in common. I recall the bailouts after the 2008 crash. The far right and far left (including Sanders) voted against it while the establishment of both parties pushed the bailouts through to save the “too big to fail”.
In one of his lesser-known titles, Nietzsche employs the metaphor “philosophizing with a hammer.” In this case, he’s not proposing breaking stuff. Instead, he alludes to the practice of tapping a barrel with a mallet and from the resultant sound, one may judge how full or empty the container is. Applying that to Trump: even though he may not be able to break everything, even a tap with a hammer can reveal how empty are many established beliefs and structures. Very well, perhaps even a loud rap can break an illusion, at least for those who listen carefully.
What advised you not to tell the title of the “lesser-known title”, though?
Good point. One should reference the citation for the group—and such is trivial these days:
From ChatGPT:
The book you’re referring to is Twilight of the Idols (Götzen-Dämmerung), written by Friedrich Nietzsche in 1888.
Disclaimer: I know nothing about Nietzsche and his philosophy. I leave such to Ben.
I’m flattered, CompSci. Truth be told, even though I’ve been reading him for yearsn now, I still am far from understanding Nietzsche well.
To reply to Chmi’s query, because it was not relevant to the point I was trying to make.
“…it was not relevant to the point I was trying to make…”
I disagree. If you quote or use an exemplar from an authority figure, you should cite the reference for the edification of the audience. We often don’t do so I admit, but it makes an assumption (knowledge/understanding) of the audience not always in evidence. It’s good practice.
Make Reality Great Again
So, explain how to realistically bake six million cookies…
We were forced to live in their fantasy then
We are forced to use their pronouns now
Delusional people, that is, I wouldn’t want to be…
Mondelez sells 34 billion Oreos a year. 92 million a day. I didn’t look up the numbers for Chips Ahoy.
Even though I am pretty much off the President TACO train at this point, I have to respect Trump’s ability to create a lot of pressure for his opponents with seeming ease.Doing the 2 more weeks thing on the Israeli’s is going to put a ton of heat on the Netanyahu regime since Tel Aviv is getting hammered a lot worse than the news is letting on right now. Every day of “maybe” that Trump uses is going to be another night of rockets for the Israelis.Israel likes to play tough but how much of that is actually real vs.… Read more »
Yes. The Neocons realize the longer this drags out, the greater likelihood of (a) no US intervention, and (b) internal politics in Israel leading to Netanyahu’s ouster. I don’t know who in Trump’s inner circle came up with the two-week pause suggestion, but they clearly realize delay is working in favor of no intervention.
Bibi and Zelensky are almost two of a kind: their survival is completely dependent on using self-destructive acts to try and draw the U.S. directly into their conflict. The problem of course is if the U.S. isn’t drawn in all they get is the self-destruction.
Quite true. There is, however, one big difference. (((Zelensky))) doesn’t care how many Christian Ukrainians die in that self-destructive process, much less Russians. None of them are Zelensky’s people, which is why the war has been allowed to drag on. Israel, however, contains millions of “chosen people” whose blood and treasure is actually valued. Unlike Ukraine, Israel’s leadership won’t sacrifice their own young people as cannon fodder. (Thus, their desperate bids to send Americans into the meat-grinder instead.) Heck, look how the Israelis hollered about a single hospital getting hit (not even flattened). Apparently, it’s a war crime when it… Read more »
When you do not consider people outside of your group to be human beings, looking for others to be cannon fodder makes perfect sense. To be clear, I carry no brief for any of the tribes of Bronze Age savages, all of whom have done awful things to our people.
“Foghorn Leghorn America is going to step in and stop and fighting before there is real blood.”
It’s possible to get self aware Canadians in an honest moment admitting they don’t need to support or build a military because the US will protect them.
“He is the Mule, the destroyer of worlds, bringing the end of empire.”
That’s exactly what I voted for. Yeah, it may be in the end my undoing as well, but really—there is only so much one can take these days from the old establishment. Odd how so many here blame us Boomers for all the ills of current society and then decry us yet again when we install the “Mule”.
Sit back, detach, enjoy the show.
‘Yeah, it may be in the end my undoing as well, but really—there is only so much one can take these days from the old establishment’
Right about where I’m at also. My own nation has been too evil for too long. Change it or plow it under.
Absolute power corrupts absolutely, especially when you have a bunch of WASPs and Jews running things.
The nation was created by and for White Anglo Saxon Protestants. The fact that a big subset of them have a suicidal attraction to outgroups doesn’t make them all bad.
Too bad that group includes evangelical nut jobs.
don’t attempt to adjust your set
As just one generation on, this is all fun and games when you’ve got yours, and the next 20 years promises to meet your maker regardless. There are millions of people younger and sometimes much younger than Boomers. I don’t think there were ever many volunteers to live in the chaos of the end of empires. The frustration with the Boomers is that the world began and will end with them. It’s the lack of self awareness.
Apparently boomers want to be congratulated for doing a murder suicide on civilization just as they are about to croak.
Seems you forget who brought on the “post-Boomer” generation(s)—the Boomers. No Boomer I know wishes hardship or extinction upon his own progeny. Don’t let your jealousy and hatred interfere with sound logic and reason. If you are a loser in life’s “lottery”, look to yourself and the choices you’ve made.
Iran comes out ahead in the long run. Let’s war-game this: 1) Israel and the U.S. jointly attack Iran with air power. 2) Neither can or will put troops on the ground, so the air attack ultimately fails. 3) Iran rebuilds and now, rightly fearing invasion, has total justification to obtain a nuclear weapon as a deterrent, as the U.S./Israel attack had been an unprovoked act of aggression. 4) Iran gets this deterrent, maybe with Russian or Chinese help. Maybe they are allowed to have a limited, WWII-style uranium bomb or a tactical nuke, but not MIRVed thermonuclear weapons. 5)… Read more »
“Maybe they are allowed to have a limited, WWII-style uranium bomb or a tactical nuke, but not MIRVed thermonuclear weapons.”
Once they successfully build a plutonium based bomb, they may have a thermonuclear weapons capability shortly thereafter as its follow on engineering, which in my admittedly ignorance, I considered quite possible for Iran’s engineers. MIRV’d weapons I’m not sure can be prevented either, but they seem more complex.
In any event, Israel is only a short distance away.
It is worth noting that there is one rogue nuclear power in the Middle East and it is not Iran. Iran is a signatory to the NNPT and allows IAEA inspections of its facilities. Israel is one of three nuclear powers that is not and never was an NNPT signatory* and does not allow IAEA inspections. As recently as last month (May 2025), the ODNI reported to Congress that Iran has no active bomb program, that it has remained shut down since Khameini canceled it in 2003. * The other two are India and Pakistan. Even North Korea was once… Read more »
Trump just bombed Iran.
Now we know why the Jews let him win a second term… he’s Bibi’s bitch:
US has struck three Iranian nuclear sites, Trump says, joining Israeli air campaign | AP News
On Friday, Macgregor had sources that said the strike was already greenlit. Beyond ambiguity, the delay was to redeploy assets to the region. Some mid tier analyst finally realized that they should evacuate the more vulnerable US military personnel, so a bit of that happened too. People like to point out the stupidity of it all without realizing how the decision making and planning gets done. Top level, mostly oligarchs, decide the strategic goals from their Davos volcanic lair which filters out via the think tanks. Then you have a two-tier strategic implementation layer split between the intel agencies, on… Read more »
They’re not “team players”. Obstructionist nit-pickers,
This breaks my heart. War with Iran is a serious matter, and the consequences will not be good for anyone, especially for AINO. Defeat and humiliation beckon. Trump has fallen into the tarpit. He was the horse we put our money on, and we’ve lost. And all for fucking Israel.
I am not sympathetic to Iran (or the Palestinians for that matter). But this is so outrageous it’s unreal. The U.S. just committed an unprovoked act of aggression against a country that never attacked it and never really threatened it directly. It is so transparently obvious that the Jews are giving the orders and that the U.S. government is wholly owned by Israel. Both parties, both Houses. No matter who is in the Oval Office. Remember how just after the Secret Service allowed some KID from Pittsburgh (about whom the lugenpresse is remarkably uncurious) to get within 100 yards of… Read more »
Our regime probably wants that. Then they can use that as the excuse to bring full scale war.
What if they blow up the Brooklyn Bridge during rush hour?
(No. No. I won’t go there…)
Ostei-
You raise a good point regarding a possible false flag.
The optics of something like what you mentioned occurring on or around the 4th of July would provide a nearly iron-clad pretext for AINO entering a state of all-out war, which could include the domestic imposition of martial law.
There’s a big tanker truck fire in the Columbus area right now. With all the muzzies in the area, kind of makes you wonder.
https://www.nbc4i.com/news/local-news/columbus/thick-smoke-seen-from-interstate-270-north-in-northeast-columbus/
That was the only reason why he was allowed to be installed. Because he would do what the Jews wanted. We truly have no country.
There is a slight chance that this is more pro-wrestling style theater to permit a short-term reduction in hostilities by the Israelis.
Worst case?
Iran will shut down the Straits of Hormuz within 48 to 72 hours, possibly sending a barrel of oil to $120 or significantly higher.
That probably leads to $7 to 8/gallon gas and bye-bye economy.
https://youtu.be/MJPTqcVcZNU?t=29 need to tweak the lyrics a bit, but you will get the idead
it’s ironic that trump i so capable of breaking things, and so incapable of building anything (other than actual buildings)
Those generally go bankrupt, give it time 😉
Trump is not going to save America. We’ve known we aren’t vooting our way out for decades. But … I think he’s a good step in the right direction. Demolition is a huge part of actually “building back better”. The idiot lefties that came up with that tripe will have to be destroyed, brought down in a controlled fashion…and their corpses and debris will have to be carted away and disposed of. Once all that is gone we can sit around scratching our heads, and hemmm and hawww about what we want our future to look like. I’d be happy… Read more »
Real estate deals The Trump Organization has done in recent years have been strictly licensing arrangements.
That’s the American economy in a nutshell. Have you noticed all those grand old brands like RCA, GE, Magnavox, Aiwa, WESTINGHOUSE, etc. are just licensed out to other people who do the hard work of actually making things. CBS, the former Westinghouse, makes good coin licensing out the Westinghouse name.
As an aside, somebody has been posting little video tours of Tehran, taken before the current hullabaloo.
It looks like America in the 1950s. A lot of the girls don’t cover their hair (noted, outside of the capitol, still not allowed), but there are no mulling youfs, pridefests, or drug raves like October 7th. The packed subways are clean, orderly, and quiet, the street cafes and bazaar are lively yet civilized. They smoke over there, we wear our hair uncovered over here, so who’s to say who is freer.
Great observation. Peter Hitchens wrote a long essay on his travels in Iran a few years ago; he hung out with Iranians in their coffee shops, did the tourist visits to ancient sites, and so on. Impression was that Iranians – aside from their government – are sophisticated people, well aware of the distinction between Arabs and themselves, descendants of empires preceding Islam by centuries.
In AINO, they tend to call themselves Persians rather than Iranians. Seems pretty clear that a big part of their identity is the ancient and early medieval empires of Persia going all the way back to Medea and terminating with Sasanian Persia.
“Israel will not be able to threaten her neighbors, expecting the United States to cash the checks she writes”Alas, that is wishful thinking. Jews never give up on their agenda. They will still have free reign to abuse people in Syria and Lebanon. Iraq will need to be paused. Gaza is the interesting scenario. What happens there in the short run?Nothing significant will change in the near term domestically and won’t as long as Jews wield so much power in the US. A very plausible scenerio is people vote Democrat enough in 2026 to win the midterms w/of the need… Read more »
More plausible than anything I’ve heard yet, unless Vance hurries up those deportations right pronto.
With all eyes on Gaza, Syria, Lebanon and now Iran, Israel’s crimes in the West Bank are going almost completely unnoticed. Israel has been brutally repressive — more than usual — in the West Bank since Oct. 7, but without the justification of Oct. 7, because the West Bank leadership had nothing to do with the Hamas attack.
Trump bombs Iran and says it’s for “peace”.
Orwell says he told us so,
I suppose that one can pose the question rained by Leo Tolstoy in War and Peace: Are events created by great men or do events themselves cause certain men to stand out?. (That’s a paraphrase, Tolstoy probably said it better.) Is Trump the “Mule” breaking things, or are things breaking more or less of their own accord at the time that Donald Trump is in office. It may well be from the perspective of 2040 or 2050, let alone the 22nd Century, that the American empire that (arguably) began with the Spanish-American War in 1898, had run its course and… Read more »
Leo Tolstoy raised the question of men versus historical forces–he did not rain it. Sorry for the typo.
As i recall, Tolstoy came down on the side of historical forces (for instance, the great man Napoleon being undone by hf).
Too fatalistic for me, I’d rather fight even if I lose.
failure to show some fight causes endless problems
I fear that @sshole is going to end up breaking America and possibly Europe too. People who still think he’s “our man” are in denial
The big question would involve the circumstances concerning Netanyahu’s decision to go all “Pearl Harbor” on the Iranians. Was Trump informed beforehand that Netanyahu had decided on a “Pearl Harbor”? Might Trump & Netanyahu have engaged in any dialogue, beforehand, concerning the “Pearl Harbor” option? Or was Trump completely in the dark when he learned that Netanyahu had launched a “Pearl Harbor”? A wise & experienced & brilliant leader would NEVER agree to a “Pearl Harbor” gambit. The “Pearl Harbor” gambit is always far too dangerous of a risk for any nation. My guess is that Trump did NOT know… Read more »
There was a complete failure to control the leader of a very small country before he got everyone into trouble. And it’s not just this incident. Trump is a serial screw up who somehow comes out on top. Not so much his “friends”. The second I hit the post comment button I knew there would be angry pushback for this. But there always is when you tear the scales from other people’s eyes. People lash out against contradictions to what they need to believe. Trump is an arrogant, pompous, shallow narcissist. He has the right enemies but that does not… Read more »
Moran ya Simba: Trump is an arrogant, pompous, shallow narcissist. Yeah, but Netanyahu is many many orders of magnitude worse in every regard. Apparently some Mizrahic Rebbe has declared Netanyahu to be the Mashiach, and Netanyahu is all aboard the Cluster B Express to Hell. tl;dr == These days we got way way way too many different folks trying to Immanentize the Eschaton. If I were the king of the world, attempting to Immanentize the Eschaton would automatically induce the Death Penalty. No pardons & no paroles whatsoever. All Immanentizers of the Eschaton would be immediately dispatched to the gallows… Read more »
No argument about netanyahu there. He even has a disturbing trait I don’t think Trump has, bloodthirst. But Trump takes orders from him. What does that tell us?
On other issues Trump is on board with the total ai surveillance state, run by a private company. And on and on it goes. He is not a good guy. That’s nothing but a comforting fantasy. I regret that good people, men and women who understand how crazy this has all gotten, balk at reading the multiple hints at trump’s character
men and women who understand how crazy this has all gotten, balk at reading the multiple hints at trump’s character Admitting that to oneself would cause more harm to the person than to Trump. In fact, it wouldn’t affect Trump at all, unless the person was able to convey their disappointment in his character to Trump personally. It would be an admission that one is not a good judge of character, and on the highest of levels — that would be very difficult for most people to do. Descartes says somewhere that men are envious of every other man’s possessions… Read more »
Trump supporters do mental acrobatics to “explain” why he’s still okay, no matter what he does. It’s griller behavior, only on our side of the fence
Netanyahu and his family are right there with the other Israelis, making huge sacrifices:
Netanyahu stuns Israelis by describing ‘personal cost’ of Iran war – postponing son’s wedding | Benjamin Netanyahu | The Guardian
Biden allowed at least 10 million poc s into the country. Harris would have increased that number significantly. Accelerationists who voted Biden gave us that many more 3rd worlders to outbreed us and to swamp us. Demographic replacement trumps foreign policy on issue importance so while I find Israel’s actions repulsive I applaud the ICE blitz.
Anyone that touts the Obama deporter bs is not a serious thinker by the way.
Yeah, but Netanyahu is many many orders of magnitude worse in every regard. Bibi is an extremely dangerous character for several reasons. One is that he spent significant parts of his youth in the US in the 50s and 60s. That means he has an excellent understanding of the American mind and culture. One key driver in his outlook was his rejection of what he saw as a superficial US lifestyle. That also means he speaks English at near native levels. He knows exactly what to say to Congress and his US backers and how to say it. Heck, I… Read more »
He’s a formidable and dangerous man agree. He doesn’t care two pots of, you know, about goys. Jewish supremacist to the finger tips. But formidable in a way no leading western politician is
I think Putin shares some of his impressive qualities and without the regrettable antisocial disorder that netanyahu probably has
He’s also a grade A psychopath.
Any leader who allows and in fact facilitates what is happening in Gaza, is evil. His higher “goal” is “great beach front resorts” however the truth is it is genocide by any other name.
By the time the Iran situation is over more hundreds of thousands of innocents will be killed, starved and/or die of exposure or disease. All of this due to lies and false assumptions that are being fed to him. Worse he wants to believe those assumptions.
Trump is not in any way a thoughtful man and he is not the man his supporters think he is.
Trump tweeting “EVACUATE TEHRAN” the other night was evil, no question. I can’t imagine the chaos and harm that caused. Screaming “fire” in a theater of millions. Wonder how many people died needlessly in car accidents, or in hospitals after being moved to basements or garages, or criminal activity that occurred in the hours after what was essentially a declaration of imminent bombing that never came.
I believe Trump was mocking the Iranians who had issued similar bombast the day before.
Yes, he is a child.
“Trump tweeting “EVACUATE TEHRAN” the other night was evil, no question.”
Disagree—if one considers we are at war with Iran. Generating consternation and fear in the enemy’s home front is part and parcel of such undertaking. How is that different than Iran sending undirected missiles into Tel Aviv where they can only destroy the populace, rather than their military?
War simply sucks.
Disclaimer: The above tacitly assumes Trump knew what was coming out of his mouth. Doubtful.
Compsci: “Disagree—if one considers we are at war with Iran.“
Iran did not attack Israhell.
Israhell [in the guise of Benyamin Netanyahoo] ATTACKED IRAN.
The Iranians’ hands are clean.
Whereas the j00z’ hands are soaked in blood.
The Iranians did not stage a Pearl Harbor upon Israhell.
Benyamin Netanyahoo staged a Pearl Harbor upon Iran.
This is Statecraft 101.
Do not pass “Go”.
Do not collect 200 shekels.
Your comment is not a rebuttal of what I stated. You argue which side is *just*. I stated the obvious—that both parties are now at war with each other.
In war many evils are committed, I simply stated that wrt the willful harming of non-combatants, we see such happening now. Both are typical evils of war.
Read, reread, and then comment as to the salient point of the commentary. You not in this case.
The Gaza Palestinians now suffer, are largely powerless, and wear the victim hat. When they weren’t powerless, over decades they proved to be among the most fanatical among Arab Muslims. “Genocide” is bandied about far too liberally these days. It’s not a descriptive term any longer (if it ever was), but a political rallying cry. Also, not all “genocides” and ethnic cleansings are born equal, it appears. Hardly anybody noticed, let alone raised a finger when the Azeris recently all but cleansed the Armenians out of Karabakh. Arabs decimating African Darfuris by the thousands? What the heck. So, a subtext… Read more »
Let’s dissociate mentally from all involved (okay, with some are nuances) and care for our own White societies first and foremost. I enjoy the fact that you think others don’t share the same goal, and that you need to issue moral instruction to us in order to assess this situation in the right light. The problem has been that Americans CANNOT DISASSOCIATE FROM ISRAEL. EVER. HERE’S ANOTHER HOLOCAUST MOVIE. HERE’S A COMMERCIAL FOR THE INTERNATIONAL FELLOWSHIP OF CHRISTIANS AND JEWS. It hasn’t stopped since the 1970s. I know very few people who care at all about Palestinians or their crimes… Read more »
I don’t think Wilton is “deflecting”; note that one set of semitic victims heartlessly pushed another set of semitic victims into Europe just in time to light the match.
They use each other to advance each other’s unstated goals, as seen with Joseph and his brothers.
Also, the Muslims seemed pretty content to stay right where they were, until further “empowered” and incentivized by Judean manipulation.
This comment seems mainly to follow from observation of the “Boomer” generation. The typical younger American can’t find Israel on a map, and will replace the Boomer generation within 20 years tops.
This will be the end of the special relationship between America and Israel. Even now, many commenters are remarking on this mental separation and new realization of such. It’s just a matter of time.
When you drop 2000lb bombs on hospitals or shoot children in the head, that is not self defense. When snipers target old women in front of Churches who were Christians, that is not self defense. When you have government leaders calling for enforced starvation, that is not self defense. In the case of Gaza and the Palestinians in the West Bank you must consider that they have been kept in an open air prison for a long time. That situation will reliably create mad dogs. However they are certainly no worse than insane Israelis and the lengths they go to… Read more »
This is quite a moral conundrum, but any talk of Gaza, genocide, and such needs an historical context. Not going to bore folk with a lengthy history, but the Gaza Strip was turned over to these people (Palestinian Authority) by Israel 20 years ago. Two years later, Hamas was allowed (?) to take over by the people there and it was off to the races…so to speak. Gaza was turned into a base of operations for a war against Israel. Hamas turned the entire country into a military base from which to wage a war against Israel—precisely what was predicted… Read more »
A valuable corrective to the reflexive anti-Israel deluge, compsci. Look, I’m no fan of Israel. I don’t care whether it sinks or swims just so long as it does either under its own horsepower. But the Palis, Iranians and Muzz in general are no saints. There’s plenty of blame to go around. But the most important thing for us to keep in mind is that we don’t have a monkey in this circus.
Well according to Trump and the U.S. Government we do and apparently it is a very large monkey.
A bloody albino gorilla in a kippah. But when I say “we,” I don’t mean the BFE’s gubmint, and at this point I’m not sure I even mean Trump.
Jews are their own category of problem, but at least they wear European clothes.
They don’t block the street at noon to pray en masse outside the temple.
Even if they were elected Prime Minister of Scotland, they wouldn’t immediately start ranting about how there are too many white people in Scottish government.
There are degrees to uncivilized behavior…theirs at least abides by the norms of European corruption.
They would be easier to identify and manage if they all dressed up like Hassidics.
Our “fellow white people” have been at the forefront of practically every anti-white initiatives of the last 60 years. They don’t do it overtly or as obviously as the muz would, but they do it much more effectively.
You need to borrow Roddy Piper’s special sunglasses.
I’d rather have Muslims. You KNOW that they are the enemy because their are sensible queues, optical and audio, that they do not hide. They do not hide that they are going to spread at your expense their patterns genetic and memetic (cultural). The Ashkenazi Jew is specialized in infiltration and conquest of the control nodes of European societies. Way too many of our dumb-dumbs never perceive beyond the superficial. I used to think the Mongols were the greatest evil that befell the Earth. They killed about 1 in 6 of all humanity when they exploded out of East Asia,… Read more »
“At least they wear European clothes”.
You are beyond parody.
Correct. Gaza was a shithole and the Palestinians are the n1ggers of the Middle East. Presently their women and children are suffering terribly, but that does not mean it is America’s duty to side with them. Nor is it America’s duty to side with Israel, though. The Israelis really do treat the Palestinians like shit, and they seem to sadistically enjoy doing so. People seem to have forgotten that the Jews gleefully defiled the al-Aqsa mosque only a couple of weeks before Oct. 7. One is tempted to say that the way the Israelis treat the Palestinians isn’t much different… Read more »
Yep. To be brutally honest, the only thing of American interest that Israel has going for it is that *if* Israel is overrun, America will could double its Jewish population seemingly over night. Unlike SA Whites, the Jewish power base here is massive. We’d take each and every Israeli Jew into the United States as a permanent refugee.
Suddenly everybody here is a weeper for the palestinians. Where was all that last year, um hmm?
They made their own bed and I am not going to embrace them because it’s momentarily popular and because Israel.
Someone needs to consult a calendar here. The little man in Israel started the war to destroy Gaza well before Trump took office. He also has beat the drums of war with Iran for *20* years now.
Trump could do better wrt Israel, but it did not start in his watch.
It’s not Trump’s treatment of palis, it’s his treatment of America that’s the issue. I like you (it’s funny how one develops sym- and antipathies for fellow anonymous commentators but one does). So I don’t want to go twelve rounds on Trump with you. We don’t agree on him, so be it.
No disagreement. As the ‘little man” Netanyahu said before Congress some years ago…”Sometimes the enemy of your enemy *is* *your* enemy.”
If the Israelis want to eradicate the Palestinians from Gaza and the West Bank, I would be in favor of not supplying them the weapons to do so from the U.S. Taxpayer. I would also appreciate a President who does not cheerlead the endeavor. It appears quite unseemly when he does that.
First, you act like Trump’s flaws were a big secret that nobody knew. Trump is a flawed man, like many others. Do you think Kamala was a better pick? Biden? How about Hillary? Obama? Dubya? Clinton? Bush? Reagan? How far do you want to go back? For all of Trump’s flaws, and yes, I too am pissed at him, he was by far the best candidate and the only one who talked about issues important to us, like immigration. While all the war chaos is happening, foreigners are still being deported, though not fast enough. A Harris regime would be… Read more »
The “oh you would have preferred kamela then??” fallacy is ludicrous. No I would not have preferred lung cancer to pneumonia, thank you very much.
My point is, Trump would feed your mother to a wood chipper for “a good deal” on something. That’s how much he cares about you or me. He’s bought and paid for
Trump did rather clearly not have beforehand knowledge.
Chmi: “Trump did rather clearly not have beforehand knowledge.”
I hope that’s true, and I hope that the Truth of the matter will so infuriate Trump that he will finally dispense, once and for all, with this obscene decades-long judeophilia/philosemitism which has been his family’s curse.
Trump minus the judeophilia/philosemitism would be something of 21st Century Saint.
If memory serves, the US was recommending non-essential U.S. personnel to leave neighboring countries just before Israel’s “sneak attack” upon Iran 06/13.
What makes you think both aren’t already broke?
Totally valid point. My point is simply that Trump is a lot less worried about whether they, and in particular America, is than his job description warrants. A LOT less
For years I’ve been wondering if there really are such things as “Sleeper Cells” among us. You’d think that if there are any, they would have arrived with the millions of illegal aliens we’ve allowed in over the years. If these “sleepers” don’t wake up and do something now, I don’t reckon they ever will.
AINO’s idiotic bombing of Iran is quite possibly a 55-gallon drum of espresso for the sleepers, assuming they exist.
And if they don’t exist, they can make them exist it seems, though that does seem to have gotten harder to pull off in recent years. So, at least there’s that one small sign of hope.
Fixing relations with China is near impossible. Even if you sign a deal with them, their signature isn’t worth the paper it isn’t printed on. China is probably the only country whose signature on a deal is worth less than America’s signature. China does not follow rules. They’ve been in violation of every term of the WTO since they entered it. They don’t even follow their own rules internally.
China doesn’t follow OUR rules. And who can blame them?
Complete projection.
I suspect you are both a little bit off here. China does what China does in its own interests. Son has some dealings with them. They simply don’t have the Western values based on a “trust” society. It’s up to you to avoid being cheated by them. If the contract you sign has a “work around” to their advantage and you’re disadvantaged by such, they’ll use it. It’s your job to be cautious and avoid being “cheated”. Also, the Chinese State has laws wrt joint business ventures, such as majority stake holding to be Chinese and exchange of trade secrets… Read more »
Where would the US even do a ground invasion of Iran from? Take a look at a topological map of Iran. It’s insane. Landing on the Southern coast would give us a beachhead on … 750 miles of the most inhospitable mountainous wasteland on the planet on the way to Tehran.
Iraq and Iran share a border.
A terrible border, rivaling the mountainous terrain in Afghanistan, but yeah, we have bases there. I wonder how happy Iraq would be about hosting an entire invasion force there, though.
As if Iraq, or any nations “hosting bases”, would have sovereignty over their territory.
This is all very interesting, except, what kind of “invasion force” can “the world’s superpower” muster? The last time I read about this, the AINO military has about three divisions – 45,000 troops – battle ready. For perspective, the Wehrmacht invaded the USSR in June 1941 with about three million troops spread over a nearly thousand mile frontier – with all their supplies and replacements directly behind them. AINO’s “expeditionary force” of 45,000 would be spread over the 750 miles you noted, not open plain as the Germans faced, not supplied by easy land routes… sounds to me more like… Read more »
Very interesting podcast, Z. I think the key point here is that the Israelis told Trump that they could wipe away the middle east issue in 24 hours, just let us do it. When it looked like they succeeded, Trump was out there strutting like a peacock. When it became obvious the attack failed at its objectives, he started to push Iran to surrender immediately. When they didn’t, well now he is saying two more weeks, which means that he is pissed at Netanyahu again and wary of heavy US involvement. Of course that could change tomorrow. It probably will… Read more »
It’s often been stated that the value of the US dollar is backed up by military force. So what happens to the dollar if and when that force is seen to be lacking? That’s why I think Trump has no other choice but to bail on Project Iran now, before US impotence is exposed for all to see, making this a true Suez Moment. Bibi demanding support, and coercing or blackmailing Trump and Congress to get it, doesn’t make the war winnable. Maybe it is already too late to avert that outcome/perception. But the world needs the dollar in a… Read more »
It’s too late, JZ. The world already sees the weakness of the American position and how to exploit it. As our Esteemed Blog Host said, they just have to wait us out. Then the democrats will be back in power and they’ll pay through the nose for the rope to hang themselves. Which to me, begs the question: the Donks came very close to destroying the country with Biden. The next whack a doodle is almost certain to be worse. The only way to avert that now is a good successful beer hall putsch, followed by a deep cleaning purge… Read more »
They were headed for Fordow, but some damn fool accidently hit the drop switch when they were over DC.
Woopsie-Daisy.
It can.
white man and elite leader of a formerly white nation protecting not only some brown guy, but one he knows is here illegally is a representative image of a people who won’t survive
Perhaps the saddest part of this is it demonstrates once again that elections cannot change anything. America cannot be made great again without a new political party led by people independent of [redacted] and the corrupt American Establishment. These people would have to avoid being assassinated or arrested and prosecuted by the American Establishment. This would require militant supporters willing and able to use violence. Who is there to lead such a movement? The American Establishment will not permit any such force to appear. The American Establishment would not even permit Americans to protest a stolen presidential election. In light… Read more »
I don’t see anyone discussing long term repercussions if this thing goes sideways. Closing the Strait of Hormuz for 6 months would have massive global impact. ONE example: US airlines directly employ about a million people (mechanics, gate agents, pilots, flight attendants, etc.) They indirectly employ about ten times that. (Travel industry, AC manufacturing, etc.) A 30% spike in oil prices would 1.) cost the industry billions 2.) cause demand to plummet. Bankruptcies post 2000 and Gulf War adventurism: TWA (gone), US Airways (2x bk, then merged), ATA (2x then gone), Delta (1x), Northwest (1x, then merged), American (1x), etc.… Read more »
A 30% spike in oil prices is about the most optimistic outcome with a full blown war in the Middle East with the Straights of Hormuz shut down and Saudi oil fields offline. More likely is 300 Dollar oil with shortages.
Yeah, oil demand is very inelastic. A doubling in price would be the short term aspect. Of course, we’d need to pump more in the USA for our needs—we don’t use that much ME oil these days. Immediate shock, recession, etc. perhaps a year for things to settle out.
Most likely the oil companies would use it as an excuse to jack up prices even if they had reserves or alternative sources.
Since WWII, the wars in which we have involved ourselves reliably turn into giant steaming piles of excrement with a moldy cherry on top.
Given yesterday’s events, perhaps a humorous link is appropriate. If not, it’s a good example of AI at work:
https://substack.com/@brunnowallace/note/c-127440447?r=tq4xf&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action
If you don’t “Substack” also an opportunity to visit the technology.
Enjoy.
Compsci-
I prefer this AI-generated clip from JakeGTV, which covers what it’s like trying to watch Iran-Israel war news after being redpilled:
https://x.com/JakeG_Official/status/1936130593605271603
Yep. Interesting point. The “news” is more like propaganda supporting the effort. Non stop. Obviously my fault for viewing these channels/commentators in the past.
“Whatever it looks like in the end, it will be the result of Trump smashing and breaking things.”
I’m not convinced that this isn’t intentional.
“…by destroying the white working class, the white upper class gets a huge advantage from the monopoly descendants of white upper class…”
This theory would carry more weight if we saw that the white upper class was having more babies.”
by destroying the white working class, the white upper class gets a huge advantage from the monopoly
descendants of white upper class easily inherit their parent status, because there’s no competition from working class
The issue lies in the fact that ethnic minorities outnumber the white upper class, and those minorities do not view the white upper class as the same species.
The white upper class’s shortsighted greed is causing the decline in Western countries, which is harming their people and removing their protection from the outside world.
The delay of two weeks is something I don’t understand. Is there a “deal” with Russia (Trump told Pompeo and Graham to shut their mouths or bad things can happen to them re: Ukraine)? Something else? Stalling for time? If Trump does strike Iran and we have a whole host of Iran sponsored terror attacks by sleeper cells who came across during Obama’s third term, allowing mass deportations, would that be a win? [No more District Judges with any injuctions then.] I just don’t have any sense of what is really happening, but there seems to be something in the… Read more »
Is that the page views at the top in blue? I hadn’t noticed it before.
Do you think that Ellul s “technique” is at play with this upcoming war? Could the blueprint or drive to efficiency or a set of rules be running things rather than people? The people switch out and the plan continues. Ellul seemed to say it can’t be stopped.im just getting into Ellul but he is really interesting
People are getting all upset over nothing. Yes Trump bombed Iran. Obama bombed Libya. Nothing much happened to the US or his Presidency. See also Clinton with Serbia and also Iraq (Operation Desert Fox). Reagan I had forgotten not only bombed Iran in 1988 and sank their navy, he also bombed Libya in 1986 after Lockerbie. Iran does not have many or any real friends. Neither Russia nor China seems willing to come to its aid in any significant way. My guess is Trump will deal a “swap” — Russia gets a free hand from the US (no more support… Read more »
Unspoken is the apparently serious attempt by Iran to assassinate not only Trump but family members and associates. In retaliation for Solemeini’s assassination. The latter was the architect and overseer of the Khobar Towers bombing so he already had a price on his head (literally). But Iran’s regime is non-Western: it is more Mafia like than bureaucratic. Khamenei has already ruled out “negotiations” so he thinks he can just wait out whatever Trump and Israel deal out and then continue on; Iran feels it is stronger than Trump. It is a fairly stupid move by the Iranians, they had a… Read more »
The GAE could “win” against Iran by using nukes (that’s the only way they could), but “win” what? But even then a win is not guaranteed. Since the Iranian regime could wait out the nukes and still be there. Unless the GAE is prepared to eradicate the Persian population via nukes. I doubt that’s gonna happen.
So, let the Iranians be taught the lesson that nuclear proliferation is so dangerous, so disruptive to the global order, that all means available – including nuclear annihilation itself – are legitimate and righteous responses to such proliferation.
The baseline assumption behind such ludicrous attitudes is that Iran is not a normal country. As opposed to, say, Pakistan, North Korea, Keir Starmer’s Great Britain, Macron’s France, Xi’s China, etc…
Let the fuckers have their weapon. Are they assholes? Of course they are. Not unlike all the other gangster regimes with nukes.
You got downvoted because you failed to blame israel for everything.
Yeah go ahead and downvote me too I despise kneejerkers. Joo this and Joo that, it’s boring. Go live in Syria or stfu.
‘Obama Term 3’
It was, too. He is still v dangerous, carries a lotta juice with single white women, and a card not yet fully played.
This blog is run by jew-haters and Putin’s c***-s***ers. What did you expect?