Enjoy The Decline

British Prime Minister Harold Wilson supposedly said that a week is a long time in politics, and we have certainly seen that recently. The documents case against Trump in Florida has continue to unravel as the government had to admit that they faked those photos of documents lying on the floor. The Supremes just handed Trump a huge win in the case brought against him over January 6, which came after the other ruling from the Supremes on the other January 6th cases.

Of course, sandwiched in between the legal triumphs was one of the most shocking debate performances in history. Biden’s Captain Pike look was not just bad in the conventional sense of bad debate performances. It made people want to turn away as it looked like an act of cruelty. It was made worse by the reaction of the media and the chattering classes. They went rocketing off demanding a new zombie to lead the fight against Trump only to find they are fresh out of zombies.

Things are looking good for team Trump. He is up in the polls and his opponent looks like he will drop over dead at any moment. The regime media is melting down and fighting with one another, rather than attacking Trump. It was one of the unremarked aspects of the debate, but a critical one. The moderators had to put all of their energy into helping Biden, so they had no time for their usual shenanigans. Trump was able to coast through unscathed.

The trouble for Trump is the election is still months away. The polls are looking better now, but nothing like one should expect. This 538 simulation has it a coin toss, which means Trump is the clear favorite. You have to assume the people running 538 have their thumbs on the scale. Even so, the fact that Trump is not up by forty points over a man who is half dead speaks to the core issue. That issue is the problem of America’s demographic collapse.

Here is a bit of math to illustrate the problem. In the past election, the breakdown by race was in line with past trends, despite the shenanigans. That means the percentage of the voters identifying as white had declined, while the nonwhite percentage continued to climb, especially the Hispanic share. Whites were 67% of the vote, while blacks remained at 13% and Hispanics are now at 13%. Here is what the vote would have looked like if everyone voted for either Trump or Biden.

2020
Trump Biden
Race Vote Share Win % Vote Pct Win % Vote Pct
White 67 58%         38.86 42% 28.14
Black 13 12%           1.56 88% 11.44
Hispanic 13 32%           4.16 68% 8.84
Asian 4 34%           1.36 66% 2.64
Other 3 41%           1.23 59% 1.77
        47.17 52.83

Biden got 51.3% of the popular vote and Trump got 46.8% of the popular vote, so Biden lost more votes than Trump to third party candidates and none of the above. It should not take a mathematician to see the problem. Trump’s nonwhite vote is just 18% of his total vote and the ceiling is extremely low. He can bump it up a little with the black vote, but blacks see Republicans as the white party. Hispanics see the Democrats as the free stuff party, so the ceiling there is probably 40%.

The main problem for Trump or any Republican is that the white vote is shrinking and shrinking quickly as the baby boomers begin to age off. In 2016 the white vote was 70% of the total vote and in 2012 it was 72%. In the 1980 election 88% of the voters were white which is why the claim that we are going through a repeat of the 1970’s is wishful thinking by old people. Regardless, the white vote will be even smaller this time, which means Trump needs even more of it to win.

2024
    Trump Block Of Wood
Race Vote Share Win % Vote Pct Win % Vote Pct
White 65 65%         42.25 35% 22.75
Black 13 12%           1.56 88% 11.44
Hispanic 15 32%           4.80 68% 10.2
Asian 4 34%           1.36 66% 2.64
Other 3 41%           1.23 59% 1.77
        51.20 48.8

None of this is new math as it has been posted here many times, but the point is to explain how it is still possible for Trump to lose to a corpse. We are reaching a point where the only way a candidate representing the white middle-class can win the White House is if he gains the maximum share of the white vote. That maximum share is 80% as roughly 20% of whites suffer from high mutational load. These are the spiteful genetic defects we call the left.

Of course, there is a lot of time between now and November. The recent setbacks at the Supreme Court probably mean Trump gets jail time next week. In her dissent in the immunity case, Sotomayor spoke for the entire kook community when she said Trump could start randomly assassinating people once back in the White House. For kooks like the judge in the New York case, this means he must use any means necessary to stop the evil orange man from becoming dictator.

In other words, in a week the dogs will bark, and the caravan will move on from Biden’s death shuffle to Trump facing jail time. The regime media will have gotten the memo to stop talking about Biden and refocus on Trump. The fake pollsters will be churning out new fake polls, while the gremlins are printing off ballots. The point is the die is cast and there is no salvation at the ballot box. The most we can expect is some entertaining moments as we sink under the weight of demographic reality.


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One Dimensional Chess

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Since the Thursday night debate at which Joe Biden looked like a hospice patient, there have been competing theories about whether it was a setup in order to push Biden out of the way or whether it was just another screwup. Basically, we have two competing theories of the crime. One says it is the work of those mysterious people in the hollowed-out volcano who control the world and the other theory says it is the work of people who are too stupid to run the machine they inherited.

The hollowed-out volcano theory side had the momentum on Thursday night as regime media started bellowing for Biden to step aside. It had the feel of that first weekend of the Ukraine war when every talking hairdo on television had a Ukraine flag lapel pin and was spasmodically saying “keev” at one another. The same people who were telling one another that Joe Biden was as sharp as a tack were suddenly competing with one another to condemn his family for rolling him out on stage.

The weekend was full of fake influencers and insiders assuring the internet that there were secret meetings happening at various places where the volcano people or their envoys would tell Biden to step aside. Bill O’Reilly, who most thought was dead, won the internet with a Seymour Hersh style scoop claiming that the decision to put a pillow over Joe Biden’s face had been made. Why anyone would think Bill O’Reilly has such privileged access is a topic for another day.

As the weekend wound down and the Great Pumpkin failed to rise from the pumpkin patch, the new narrative was that Jill Biden was preventing anyone from gaining access to Joe Biden in order to convince him to retire. Anyone who knows anything about the life of presidents knows this is impossible in the modern age. Since Reagan, the modern president is never alone. They have no control of their schedule. There are guards inside the toilet with them.

Anyway, this brings us back to those two main theories. It is becoming clear that the scheme to have the early debate was not part of a four-dimensional chess ploy plotted by the volcano people after all. It is entirely possible that some elements inside the regime pushed for the early debate in case Biden fumbled, but they did not have anything planned if such a thing happened. It is also possible they pushed for an early debate to get it out of the way, so people forget about it.

The truth is the political class no longer possesses second order thinking. This is the ability to think about the range of possible reactions to an action and then planning possible responses to those reactions. People with the ability to think this way weigh those possible reactions and then select their action in order to get the most favorable response, so they can then make their next move. Great chess players possess the ability to think many moves in advance.

The people running Washington lack this ability. It is why they are so enamored with narratives that often take the place of reality. They can only think about what they want as a final result, so they imagine a scenario that leads to that result and then work backward to some initial first step. It is at this point they launch their caper with their first move, just assuming everything they imagined will follow. Often, they celebrate as they are making that first move in anticipation of the prize.

This is why you see the phenomenon of accrued joy. This is when the managerial class creates a narrative that leads to their desired end and then pulls forward the happiness they will feel for that event to the present. Here is an example where the person is feeling joy over an imaginary choo-choo train project. This will never be built and will probably never get started. He can imagine it happening though, so he pretends it will happen and celebrates as if it has happened.

Putting that aside, this inability to think more than one step ahead is augmented by the fact that these people are unable to think about anything other than their own desires and how to achieve them. They never think about what comes next. We have seen this for over two years in the Ukraine war. Every move by the regime is just assumed to be a game changer and there is never any thought given to how the Russians will react or what will happen after this game changer.

That is most likely what we are seeing with Biden. The people who run things knew he was a vegetable back in 2020. They picked him because they hated Trump and just needed a compliant body for the election. No thought was given to how they would manage a man with dementia, much less run him for reelection. Now they want to be free of him and his crooked family, so they let him stagger out on stage and make a fool of himself in that debate Thursday night.

Again, no thought about what comes next, just the first move. It is as if they assume that the world will magically fall into place for them and produce a young vital candidate who can appeal to the public enough to rig the next election. Instead, they will be left to choose from zombies like Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer. Neither of whom have support in the party or the general public. Of course, Biden has yet to step aside and very well may choose to stick it out, despite it all.

This lack of second order thinking has another strange result. The system now seems to select for people who prefer chaos over order. If you cannot plan more than one move ahead, then a world where planning ahead has no reward, a world of random chaos, reduces the benefit of that ability. In other words, the mediocrities are creating an environment in which having a mediocre mind is an asset. Their impulsive behavior creates conditions that reward first order thinking.

What all of this points to is a random walk to the Democratic convention. Over the coming weeks the various tribes of the regime will make their game changing move, float their preferred narrative to the media and create more chaos. Given his condition, Biden could drop dead before the convention or, if Allah wills it, drop dead a week after the convention thus leaving Harpo Harris as the nominee. Chance has a sense of humor, but it always favors those with a prepared mind.


If you like my work and wish to donate, you can buy me a beer. You can sign up for a SubscribeStar or a Substack subscription and get some extra content. You can donate via PayPal. My crypto addresses are here for those who prefer that option. You can send gold bars through the postal service to: Z Media LLC P.O. Box 1047 Berkeley Springs, WV 25411-3047. Thank you for your support!


Promotions: Good Svffer is an online retailer partnering with several prolific content creators on the Dissident Right, both designing and producing a variety of merchandise including shirts, posters, and books. If you are looking for a way to let the world know you are one of us without letting the world know you are one one is us, then you should but a shirt with the Lagos Trading Company logo.

Havamal Soap Works is the maker of natural, handmade soap and bath products. If you are looking to reduce the volume of man-made chemicals in your life, all-natural personal products are a good start.

Minter & Richter Designs makes high-quality, hand-made by one guy in Boston, titanium wedding rings for men and women and they are now offering readers a fifteen percent discount on purchases if you use this link. If you are headed to Boston, they are also offering my readers 20% off their 5-star rated Airbnb.  Just email them directly to book at sales@minterandrichterdesigns.com.