How To Fix The Money

I read ZeroHedge on a regular basis. I think I would be very rich if I could bet against their predictions. As the old joke goes, they have predicted five of the last three recessions. They are not entirely off base, but the world has not collapsed and its not going to collapse, most likely. What they get right is that most of our troubles are linked to the currency arrangements. Floating fiat currency has unleashed all sorts of new forces that policy makers cannot comprehend.

Money is a store of value. Going to the market with my goats to trade for shoes is a big hassle. I have to find someone who wants goats, but also has shoes. The ability to store the value of those goats into coin makes the whole thing easier. Giving central banks the right to arbitrarily alter the value of the coin is, in effect, the right to arbitrarily alter the value of my goats and by extension, my labor. That’s another way of saying the Feds get to alter the value of me. That’s a terrible weapon with unknown unknowns. Sorting through all of these unknown results has befuddled our rulers for several decades now.

Even so, the world has not changed all that much. The currency manipulation is due, in large part, to the need for governments to raise money. The corporatist state needs a lot of money to buy off interest groups, satisfy grievance groups, pay for cradle to grave custody of the citizens and empire maintenance. Normal taxing is limited by economic growth, which is about 5% per year after inflation. US debt has grown ten percent a year since 1980, so it is not hard to see what has been happening.

Instead of exponential credit growth, how about the government sell ads on our money? They could offer Walmart, for example, the chance to sponsor the twenty. Instead of Jackson on the front, it could the Walmart logo with “Brought to You By Walmart!” Singles could be festooned with ads from small companies. Since each run could have different sponsors, your handful of singles would have a bunch of different ads. Given the booming strip club culture in America, these ads would sell like crazy. “This pole dance brought to by the Federal Reserve and the good folks at Budweiser!”

Of course, another way to do this would be to let big companies offer their own currency. A big reason central banks are forever fiddling with currency values is to satisfy the demands of global corporations. Europeans have always preferred authoritarian government, but Americans would rather have global corporations to the shoving around of the citizens. That way we can pretend to be a self-governing republic. That means the state has to “do a lot of favors” for the global operators.

The truth is, we are breaking up into corporate camps anyway. The MacCult calls themselves “Apple families”so letting them have their own currency is not a great leap. Look at how irritating they are with ApplePay and that has been out for just a few months. That would make it easy for the MacCult to spot “haters” because those would be the people using GoogleBucks or MSMoney. It would have to be backed by stock or other assets, but it worked in the 19th century during the free banking era.

The Doctor Shortage

Imagine you are presented a few career options early in your life. The first option is one that will require years of study and a high IQ. You possess a high IQ, but there is some risk that yours is not high enough. You cannot know until you get far along in the process. The eventual end point of the process is a career that may be spiritually fulfilling, but has decreasing social status and only an above average salary. In other words, by mid-life you can have a big house, the sports car and the trophy wife, but you’re going to spend more than a decade slaving away in poverty.

That’s option #1.

The next option is one that requires about half the study time as the first option and far less of an apprenticeship. You have to be smart, but not genius level smart. Standard test scores will tell you if you have what it takes to make it in this path. By the time you have established yourself, you will surely make an upper-middle class income and could easily be making much more. It’s a high status job and a lot of fun, but not spiritually fulfilling. It just lets you live a 2% lifestyle and get going at it by the time you’re in your middle twenties..

That’s option #2.

Now, we have the final choice. This is path that does not necessarily require a high IQ, but it helps. There’s really no way to wash out so you go as far as your skills will take you. It is never going to be high paying or high status, but you can have a nice middle class income. There will be times when you have to scrimp and save. You will have to do without some things. But, the spiritual and psychic rewards are limitless. This career will be your sanctuary from the world and bring you a lifetime of happiness.

This is option #3.

In medieval times, these options would have been the choice between a high ranking clergyman, an aristocratic soldier and a monk. That’s if you were born with magic blood. Nobles had these choices, but even then the choices were often made for you by the patriarch or by circumstance. If you were born a commoner, then you spent your life harvesting filth and complaining about the violence inherent in the system. But, we live in an era in which there is still some effort to try and scoop up the talented from the lower orders.

That means young men and women take standardized tests so colleges and universities can begin to sort out who is and who is not managerial class potential. We’ve not yet reached the point where career paths are assigned and that may never happen as it is contradicts the interests of the managerial class, who pride themselves on being a self-selected meritocracy. Choosing your own path is a big part of their class identity so that is something that will likely remain a feature of their ideology.

The question then, getting back to where we started, is which of the three choices would most people choose. In modern times, physician is clearly option #1. Advancing far in the medical rackets requires a high IQ, a long time in school and a very long and unpleasant apprenticeship. The reward at the end is pretty good, but no better than option #2. In fact, bankers and banker’s lawyers usually make vastly more than comparable doctors. It is only at the low-end do we see doctors and nurse practitioners compete economically with lawyers and brokers. At the high end, no doctor can compete with a VP at Goldman.

The final option is the lifestyle option. You’re a smart guy from a good family, but you like smoking weed and surfing so you open a surf shop. Alternatively, you have what it takes for the first two options, but have a passion for some new business that is many years from taking off, but you’re going to be on the cutting edge, even if it means a long struggle. Think Ben & Jerry’s Ice Cream or custom bike frame makers. There are, of course, trust fund types who have the money to be as weird as they like. John Heinz IV is a blacksmith and Buddhist.

That brings us back to those first two options. We have made becoming a doctor impossibly difficult. Worse yet, we have made it unrewarding. Socialized medicine has this habit. The result is the native talent opts for the second option. Being a hotshot lawyer is just an all-around better  life than being a doctor. It’s why share holder meetings are packed with attorneys now. In the fifties, they were packed with doctors. In Britain, a quarter of physicians are foreigners. Not foreign born, but foreigners.

The same is happening in the US.

The United States faces a shortage of as many as 90,000 physicians by 2025, including a critical need for specialists to treat an aging population that will increasingly live with chronic disease, the association that represents medical schools and teaching hospitals reported Tuesday.

The nation’s shortage of primary care physicians has received considerable attention in recent years, but the Association of American Medical Colleges report predicts that the greatest shortfall, on a percentage basis, will be in the demand for surgeons — especially those who treat diseases more common to older people, such as cancer.

In addition to the growing and aging population, full implementation of the Affordable Care Act in all 50 states would increase demand for doctors as more people are covered by insurance. But Obamacare’s impact will be small — just 2 percent of the projected growth in demand, the organization said. The supply of doctors also will grow but not nearly as quickly as the need, officials said.

“An increasingly older, sicker population, as well as people living longer with chronic diseases, such as cancer, is the reason for the increased demand,” Darrell G. Kirch, the AAMC’s president and chief executive, told reporters during a telephone news briefing.

In the study of collapse, there are few fixed rules. The one thing on which everyone seems to agree is the ruling classes are no longer able to cope and adjust to changing circumstances. Why this happens is tough to fathom, but simply being wrong is a good starting point. The Athenians were wildly wrong about the Syracuse campaign, despite warnings from respectable members of society. Wrongness has inertia.

With regard to health care the majority of the managerial class is locked into 19th century ideas about how to micromanage an economy. No one in charge can imagine anything other than a micromanaged system so they deploy all available resources in the effort to perfect their system. The more they try to fix the system, the worse it gets. We’ve reached a point where the inputs result in unexpected outputs. A few more cycles and the inputs have no result. The system seizes up and then it collapses.

 

The Undoing of the Political Class

I’m fond of pointing out that the Roman Republic began to crumble when the Roman elite stopped enforcing their own rules. It’s the broken windows theory of policing applied to the over-class. When the ruling elite is punctilious about its rules, customs and prerogatives, the system has low amounts of corruption. Once they start to let little things slide, then it is bigger things and before long it is a free-for-all, until the strong man crosses the Rubicon and imposes order.

Way back in the 90’s, we saw the erosion of the rules begin to gain momentum. The Clintons, exemplars of their generation, seemed to love lying and double dealing. Nothing is ever on the level with them and no deal is too small. The failure to crack down on their behavior has encouraged much more of it. The Obama administration makes Nixon look like a boy scout troop. Now we see that Hillary Clinton did on a grand scale what is about to send General Petraeus in prison.

The computer server that transmitted and received Hillary Rodham Clinton’s emails – on a private account she used exclusively for official business when she was secretary of state – traced back to an Internet service registered to her family’s home in Chappaqua, New York, according to Internet records reviewed by The Associated Press.

The highly unusual practice of a Cabinet-level official physically running her own email would have given Clinton, the presumptive Democratic presidential candidate, impressive control over limiting access to her message archives. It also would distinguish Clinton’s secretive email practices as far more sophisticated than some politicians, including Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin, who were caught conducting official business using free email services operated by Microsoft Corp. and Yahoo Inc.

You see here why this will end badly for the country. The AP is a lunatic propaganda organ so they are looking to run interference for one of their own, even if they are not sure Clinton is one of them. What Clinton did is not “highly unusual.” It’s never happened in the history of the nation. This is an outlandish breech of the law and of custom. Further, Palin and Romney were never “caught conducting official business using free email services.” Their private accounts were illegally accessed liberal fanatics while they were private citizens. Comparing the two is an obvious attempt to explain away a crime.

Most Internet users rely on professional outside companies, such as Google Inc. or their own employers, for the behind-the-scenes complexities of managing their email communications. Government employees generally use servers run by federal agencies where they work.

In most cases, individuals who operate their own email servers are technical experts or users so concerned about issues of privacy and surveillance they take matters into their own hands. It was not immediately clear exactly where Clinton ran that computer system.

Clinton has not described her motivation for using a private email account – hd***@**********il.com, which traced back to her own private email server registered under an apparent pseudonym – for official State Department business.

Operating her own server would have afforded Clinton additional legal opportunities to block government or private subpoenas in criminal, administrative or civil cases because her lawyers could object in court before being forced to turn over any emails. And since the Secret Service was guarding Clinton’s home, an email server there would have been well protected from theft or a physical hacking.

The professional Right is trying hard to explain this away, but there’s no getting around the obvious. Clinton was at the head of a conspiracy to circumvent disclosure laws, record keeping laws and Congressional oversight. The unwillingness of the political class to police their own will be their undoing. If Clinton gets away with this, what’s next? An off-the-books army? Banking system?

This will not end well.

IQ and the Big Heist

I heard about this the other day so I looked it up. I have a thing for true crime. I guess those years in Boston when the Bulgers were active got me hooked on true crime. Who knows. I think what interests me in these sorts of stories is their rarity. I remember a time when robbing an armored truck was more common. At least in seemed more common. I went looking for some annual stats to see if robberies are up, down or otherwise, but there’s not a lot of great data on armored truck robberies.

This story from an industry site suggests the number of robberies has declined, but it is short on statistics. Digging through the FBI crime tables, I don’t see where they track armored car robberies. There’s a category under bank robberies, but the numbers are so small I think that’s for robberies that occurred at a bank getting a armored car service. The robbers hit the truck while it was at the bank. This story indicates there are only about 35 armored car hits a year.

From the story:

Shortly after dusk along a lonely stretch of Interstate 95, armed robbers hijacked an armored truck, tied up the two guards and disappeared into the night with 275 pounds of gold bars.

The guards working for Transvalue Inc. of Miami reported pulling off to the side of the interstate about 6:30 p.m. Sunday after their vehicle began having mechanical problems in eastern North Carolina, according to the Wilson County Sheriff’s Office.

The guards told police they were surprised by three armed men driving a white van who ordered the guards to lie on the ground, tied their hands behind their backs and then marched them into nearby woods.

The robbers then helped themselves to barrels filled with about $4.8 million in gold before making their getaway. Transvalue said its employees were not injured during the heist.

Transvalue chief executive officer Jay Rodriguez said the truck carrying the gold bars left Miami about 4 a.m. Sunday. The load was headed to Attleboro, Massachusetts, a town south of Boston nicknamed “Jewelry City” for the large number of manufacturers based there.

There’s some chance the robbers just got hilariously lucky, but that seems unlikely. It also seems unlikely that the truck broke down as stated. It’s possible, but it would be an amazing coincidence. I would not be shocked to learn that the guards were involved in the heist, maybe taking a bribe to tip off the robbers.

That would be the weak part of the plan. In these cases, the authorities will submit the drivers to intense examination, including a polygraph. You don’t get the job without  thorough background check so these are not men used to dealing with cops. That’s why amateur crooks get caught. They don’t know how to handle cops and they eventually talk themselves into trouble. Once the Feds can put the pressure on the guards, whatever they know the Feds will know.

Even so, the planning to take out a truck like this requires an above average IQ. It also takes big balls and some experience in crime. The robbers had to pick the right truck on the right day. They had to be willing to put a bullet in the guards, who are armed and trained to shoot first. They also had to know the route and have scouted the highway to know the best place to pull the job. It may have been a whole lot of dumb luck, but I’m betting this was not a job pulled by hillbilly meth heads.

That’s probably why these jobs are rare. In the 70’s you had college kids pretending to be revolutionaries robbing armored cars. You had organized criminals pulling complex jobs. Then you had bank men who were not members of crime families, but they were familiar to organized criminals. Anthony Shea, a mutt from Charlestown Mass, was not good at anything other than robbing banks and armored cars. In other words, you had more smart people in the crime business forty years ago so maybe that’s why there were more big jobs being pulled.

When you think about it, there are maybe 10% of males willing to commit a serious crime if the circumstances are right. By serious crime, I mean the sort of caper that gets you a long stretch in the penitentiary or requires you to use violence. Research says 40% of males get arrested by 23, but the overwhelming majority of those crimes are petty. It’s a different breed of cat robbing armored cars from the guy selling a few joints at his high school. I don’t feel like getting into the numbers, but my guess is 10% is a good number.

Of those, half will have a below average IQ and incapable of doing complex jobs. Given the vibrancy of the criminal population, I’m being very generous. Two thirds are probably on the left side of the bell curve. What percentage of those are well above average in IQ to the point where they can plan a big job like the gold heist above? My guess is a very small number and only some of them are willing to risk life in prison to pull the big heist.

That’s what makes this stuff interesting. The crooks are either very lucky or very rare examples of high IQ, risk taking professional criminals.

 

Compulsory Diversity

One of my hobbyhorse issues is the erosion of the right of association. For as long as I’ve been alive, the right of association has been under steady and subtle assault. The ObamaCare legislation, for example, has all sorts of rules that make life more difficult for the religious to be religious by limiting association.

Businesses, for example, are required to pay for things that are against the religious beliefs of the owners. In effect, the owner is now required to hire people that hate him and he has to subsidize their efforts to destroy his religion. In a sane world he would simply refuse to hire people his religion found unacceptable.

But, it’s not just the crowding out of liberty that is the inevitable result of limits on association. We accept all sorts of limits on liberty as long as the trade-off is acceptable. Prohibitions on speech, for example, are welcomed by fee societies in order to buttress public morality. We don’t allow men to copulate with their sisters because we don’t want a bunch of pinheads running around. Public policy is about trade-offs and we often trade away a little freedom for something we find beneficial.

The big issue for me is the irrationality of ceding our right of association to a central authority. This case before the court is a good example.

Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. on Wednesday warned that “this is going to sound like a joke,” and then posed an unusual question about four hypothetical job applicants. If a Sikh man wears a turban, a Hasidic man wears a hat, a Muslim woman wears a hijab and a Catholic nun wears a habit, must employers recognize that their garb connotes faith — or should they assume, Justice Alito asked, that it is “a fashion statement”?

The question arose in a vigorous Supreme Court argument that explored religious stereotypes, employment discrimination and the symbolism of the Muslim head scarf known as the hijab, all arising from a 2008 encounter at Woodland Hills Mall in Tulsa, Okla.

Samantha Elauf, then 17, sought a job in a children’s clothing store owned by Abercrombie & Fitch. She wore a black head scarf but did not say why.

The company declined to hire her, saying her scarf clashed with the company’s dress code, which called for a “classic East Coast collegiate style.” The desired look, Justice Alito said, was that of “the mythical preppy.”

Ms. Elauf recalled the experience in a statement issued after the argument.

“When I applied for a position with Abercrombie Kids, I was a teenager who loved fashion,” she said. “I had worked in two other retail stores and was excited to work at the Abercrombie store. No one had ever told me that I could not wear a head scarf and sell clothing.”

“Then I learned I was not hired by Abercrombie because I wear a head scarf, which is a symbol of modesty in my Muslim faith,” she added. “This was shocking to me.”

Putting aside the fact this Muslim woman is a liar, why in the world should anyone be required to accommodate her religious beliefs? More important, why should this be a court matter? The court is wholly unequipped to adjudicate these matters. The judges are not businessmen and they have no way of knowing if this company’s dress code is good business. They have no way of knowing if this woman is just a nut causing trouble.

Ms. Elauf, now 24, works at an Urban Outfitters store in Tulsa. A spokeswoman for the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, which sued Abercrombie on her behalf, said Ms. Elauf was declining interview requests.

A spokesman for Abercrombie & Fitch, Michael Scheiner, said the company “has a longstanding commitment to diversity and inclusion, and consistent with the law has granted numerous religious accommodations when requested, including hijabs.”

The Supreme Court on Wednesday seemed sympathetic to Ms. Elauf’s position, which is that she should not have been required to make a specific request for a religious accommodation to wear a hijab. The company’s position is that it should not have been made to guess that Ms. Elauf wore a head scarf for religious reasons.

In response to Justice Alito’s question about the four hypothetical applicants, Shay Dvoretzky, a lawyer for the company, conceded that some kinds of religious dress presented harder questions, but he said the court should require applicants to raise the issue of religious accommodations.

Several justices suggested that an employer should simply describe its dress code and ask if it posed a problem. That would shift the burden to the applicant, they said. If the applicant then raised a religious objection, the employer would be required to offer an accommodation so long as it did not place an undue burden on the business.

This is the problem created by the state’s encroachment on our freedom of association. It turns all of us into lying weasels. Most American companies know that is not a great idea to hire Muslims to deal with the public. They should be able to not hire Muslims or Hindus or Gingers or whomever. Ms. Elauf would be faced with a choice. She can assimilate or head back to the home country. In other words, she would retain her freedom of association and the business would retain its right to hire as it sees fit.

Instead, the state tries to craft more and more laws to meet every possible condition. Assortativity, the natural inclination of human beings, therefore requires everyone to come up with clever ways to dodge the rules. In response, the state comes up with ever more rules that are often in conflict with other rules. We now live in a country where a Christian store owner is prohibited from exercising his religious inclinations, but must allow his employees to advertise their religious affiliations in his place of business. That’s simply madness.

That’s ultimately the problem with all of this. It is fundamentally at odds with human nature and it is riddled with internal contradictions. Worse yet, it fosters a subtle hostility between people, forced together against their will by rules that make no sense. As the saying goes, things that cannot last eventually end. In the case of crackpot social engineering schemes, the end tends to be very messy.

Gaia Worship

I found this rather odd essay linked somewhere. At first blush it looks like the typical preaching to the choir you see from the broadsheets. Gaia is unhappy and must be appeased with the blood of the deniers! Well, they are not that entertaining, but you get the point. Instead, what we have here is a rare admission that what they are up to has nothing to do with science, but is a religious cause.

ACCORDING to a recent poll, a large majority of Americans, and roughly half of Republicans, say they support governmental action to address global warming. The poll, conducted by The New York Times, Stanford and the research organization Resources for the Future, stands in stark contrast to the vast partisan gulf in political efforts to address climate change. How could it be that so many Republicans view global warming as a problem, but so few on the right are pressuring the government to take action to address it?

A paper that Matthew Feinberg, a psychologist at the University of Toronto, and I published in the journal Psychological Science in 2013 suggests one answer to this puzzle: While the number of Republicans who say global warming is a serious problem has reached high levels, there remains a very large gap in moral engagement with the issue. We found that conservatives were less likely than liberals to describe pro-environmental efforts in moral terms, or to pass moral judgment on someone who behaved in an environmentally unfriendly way, for example by not recycling. Where liberals view environmental issues as matters of right and wrong, conservatives generally do not.

It is rare to see the masked dropped like this. Usually, the Left is waving around graphs and data that they don’t understand, but are sure proves their case, because you know, science! Here we have someone saying that it’s really a moral issue.

But why does this moral gap matter if most people now believe that global warming is a real threat? Other research has shown that people are generally reluctant to undertake costly political actions, even for a cause they think will be beneficial. After all, there are so many worthy causes competing for our time, effort and resources, and we can’t contribute to every one.

People think quite differently, however, when they are morally engaged with an issue. In such cases people are more likely to eschew a sober cost-benefit analysis, opting instead to take action because it is the right thing to do. Put simply, we’re more likely to contribute to a cause when we feel ethically compelled to.

Still, why do liberals moralize environmental issues, while conservatives do not? The answer is complex, owing in part to the specific history of the American environmental movement. A quick review of that history reveals that, while the environment has been politically polarizing since the 1960s, there is nothing inevitably liberal about environmental concern. After all, it was a Republican president, Richard M. Nixon, who founded the Environmental Protection Agency in 1970.

Here you see the hive mind at work. Utopians operate in a world of “us-versus-them.” After all, there’s only one destination, the promised land. Therefore, you are either heading forward to that promised land or you are an obstacle to the tides of history. Nixon was no one’s idea of a conservative. He proudly embraced liberal economics and social engineering. In many respects, he was a proto-liberal. But, he was a Republican so he is one of the undifferentiated other the Left sees as the them.

To win over more of the public, environmentalists must look beyond the arguments that they themselves have found convincing. The next wave of moral arguments for environmental reform will need to look very different from the last, if they are to be maximally effective. Such efforts to understand others’ moral perspectives might not only bring both sides in line on this important issue, but also foster the sort of sincerity and respect necessary to sustain a large-scale collective effort.

The fascinating thing about utopians is they never seem to listen to their own words. They are just incantations that make them feel better, but make little sense to a non-believer. The writer claims big majorities are in favor of his preferred acts of piety to appease Gaia. What need is there to convince the holdouts? If a majority want what he wants, surely the elected officials, who all want what the author wants, will go along with it.

That’s because it is not a rational thing. At some level, the author and his coreligionists believe that the presence of even one non-believer keeps them from reaching the promised land. Just as ISIS is focused on purifying their lands by ridding it of every last infidel, the modern liberal obsesses over the dwindling number of non-believers in the West.

The other fascinating thing is that these utopians never take yes for an answer. That’s because they can’t. What animates their faith is the struggle. The promised land is always just over the next hill or around the next bend. Today they must valiantly struggle against the infidel so that tomorrow they can live in paradise. The fact that the Left has been triumphant for close to a century in America has brought them no closer to their goal. The promised land remains just out of reach, no matter how much ground they gain in the fight.

I used to be fond of asking these sorts of people a simple question. What would have to happen for you to feel like you won? They never have an answer. Instead, you get an answer to a question you did not ask. That’s because there are no conditions in which they will be satisfied and quit. It’s the struggle, not the victory. Environmentalism will be with us in some fashion forever simply because it is a religion, not a problem to be solved.

The Show of Force

I tend to think of “secessionist movements” as collections of harmless old weirdos with too much time on their hands. The operative word being harmless. As we see in Europe, the West is well past violent insurrection. Instead, the angry confine themselves to posts on Facebook, Twitter and the secession club meeting at the local Holiday, as long as there is a breakfast buffet. We do, however, have a cop problem.

In a deliberate “show of force,” federal and local police forces raided a political meeting in Texas, fingerprinting and photographing all attendees as well as confiscating all cell phones and personal recording devices.

Members of the Republic of Texas, a secession movement dedicated to restoring Texas as an independent constitutional republic, had gathered Feb. 14 in a Bryan, Texas, meeting hall along with public onlookers. They were debating issues of currency, international relations and celebrating the birthday of one of their oldest members. The group, which describes itself as “congenial and unimposing,” maintains a small working government, including official currency, congress and courts.

According to MySanAntonio.com: “Minutes into the meeting a man among the onlookers stood and moved to open the hall door, letting in an armed and armored force of the Bryan Police Department, the Brazos County Sheriff’s Office, the Kerr County Sheriff’s Office, agents of the Texas district attorney, the Texas Rangers and the FBI.

“In the end, at least 20 officers corralled, searched and fingerprinted all 60 meeting attendees, before seizing all cellphones and recording equipment in a Valentine’s Day 2015 raid on the Texas separatist group.”

“We had no idea what was going on,” said John Jarnecke, president of the Republic of Texas. “We knew of nothing that would warrant such an action.”Information Liberation noted, “The pretext of the raid was that two individuals from the group had reportedly sent out ‘simulated court documents’ — summonses for a judge and a banker to appear before the Republic of Texas to discuss the matter of a foreclosure. These ‘simulated documents’ were rejected and the authorities decided to react with a ‘show of force’ – 20 officers and an extremely broad search warrant.”

Even allowing for the fact this is reported in World Nut Daily, there’s simply no excuse for this behavior from government officials. They are harassing people to get their jollies. It’s why dressing up mall cops in battle gear is a very bad idea. It takes low-IQ dimwits and sociopaths and tells them they have a free pass to push people around.

In the custodial state, however, the cops function as hyper-violent helicopter parents. If a citizen is doing something the authorities think is unsafe or uncooperative, the state sends in a swat team as a “show of force” or worse. There are over 50,000 SWAT raids a year in America. Most are for things like serving a summons or collecting non-violent parolees. The argument is the cops don’t know what they are getting into so for their safety they send in Seal Team Six.

This is the logic of the managerial class. Police departments have arrived at a bizarre sense of self-awareness where they no longer see themselves as part of the community. They stand apart from those they watch, like game keepers in a preserve. While their job is to keep the animals safe, their first priority is their own safety above all else, fueled by a deep distrust of those they supervise.

It’s not just the town clowns stocked up with surplus army gear paid for by the Feds. NASA has a SWAT team. They can no longer hurl a man into orbit, but they have a SWAT team. The Department of Education has a SWAT team. Again, a lot of this is due to the unlimited access to funding for status items that are popular with the managerial class. The streets of DC are jammed with armored SUV’s toting minor officials for the same reason. No matter the reason, it is no way to run a civilized nation.

The managerial class, which the cops are a part, although at the lowest rung, must always attack and undermine the institutions of traditional social life if its power and interests are to prevail. Freedom of associations, along with its subordinate right, freedom of expression, are always under suspicion. These are the breeding grounds for resistance to the managerial class

It’s why Europe has little sympathy for the Charlie Hebdo victims. The rulers make a show of it while the issue is in the press, but they immediately go back to suppressing speech and association. The European rulers don’t fear Islam or Islamic terror. France is not going to convert to Islam. They do fear their own citizens, deciding for themselves and amongst themselves that they may prefer different arrangements. That’s a real threat. As far as the managerial elite is concerned, the shooters did them a favor.

This will not end well.

Jeb Bush’s America

This is what’s coming.

It’s nearly 8 p.m., and inside a state office building two dozen computer experts design and troubleshoot a system that will take and process millions of unemployment claims each year.

It’s a $200 million Employment Development Department project, but with the exception of two managers, everyone inside the office is from outside of the U.S. They are employed by Deloitte, a major U.S. IT company hired by the state to create and manage its Unemployment Insurance Modernization project. The mostly Indian nationals are allowed to work here under a visa program called H-1B.

Tech companies like Microsoft, Intel, Google and Facebook say they need hundreds of thousands of foreign workers to fill jobs here because American colleges can’t crank out computer science grads fast enough. In 2013, the industry lobbied Congress on the issue to the tune of almost $14 million.

Those companies, who need workers with highly specialized knowledge like computer expertise, are awarded the visas through a lottery process. It’s allowed under the Immigration and Nationality Act and administered by the U.S. Department of Labor. The visas can be valid as long as six years.

News10 reached out to several H-1B workers over the past three months, and they all declined to comment for this story.

“The program is going unfettered, unchecked, without bounds, and it’s all in the interest of profit,” Computer Database Administrator Chris Brown said. He said was displaced by one of the special visa workers in 1996, and he has been following the issue for the past 18 years.

Hewlett Packard laid off Brown from its Roseville plant during the height of the H-1B program, when as many as 300,000 of the workers were allowed to take jobs in the U.S. The cap for H-1B visas today is 85,000 after federal audits showed there were abuses in the program. There’s an effort on Capitol Hill to raise the ceiling again to levels last seen in the mid 1990s. And, during a recent presidential trip to India, Prime Minister Narendra Modi asked President Obama to help loosen the restrictions on the H-1B program. India’s tech outsourcing industry makes billions of dollars every year sending programmers and engineers overseas to work for U.S. companies.

Brown is watching those new developments with interest. When he lost his job in 1996, it was just two weeks before Christmas. He says he’s afraid more Americans will be replaced by foreign-born workers.

“I’m a single income, so on that particular day, as a direct result of this program, we were unable to provide Christmas presents and I kept telling my kids that day that Santa might not show up,” Brown said.

A spokesperson for Hewlett Packard said he would not comment on layoffs that happened 18 years and three CEOs ago, but he defended the visas as a needed resource for HP and the industry as a whole.

U.S. Department of Labor data shows more than 1,100 H-1B visas were certified for workers in the Sacramento area in 2014. The largest number was for Accenture, an IT company that is currently holding state contracts totaling more than $1 billion. It has 125 H-1B visa holders in Sacramento. Deloitte has another 28, and there are four dozen of them filling positions in state offices in the Capital City.

There’s no way to say exactly how many of the visa holders are doing work directly or indirectly with the state. Hundreds of the local H-1B visa holders were awarded to third-party contractors known as “body shops.” Body shops apply for the visas and then farm them out to larger IT companies looking to hire more foreign workers.

Accenture spokesman Mark Bonacci said while the company doesn’t disclose the number of employees it has by city, state or region within the U.S., “the vast majority of our people working in the U.S. are U.S. citizens and residents.”

“Only a very small percentage of Accenture’s employees in the U.S. are H-1B visa holders,” he said.

In an email, Deloitte spokesperson Courtney Flaherty said, “Our primary focus is hiring U.S. workers, including experienced California professionals and graduates.

“Our use of U.S. work permits is entirely consistent with the intent of the Federal Government’s immigration program to complement our domestic workforce with highly-skilled professionals,” she added.

Does anyone really believe there’s a shortage of willing workers in California to do this work? We’re not talking about gene-splicing or physics. California has a 12.3% unemployment rate. They are bringing in low-skilled IT people because they are cheaper than domestic versions. In most cases, they avoid paying health insurance for these people. They also get to work them like slaves. If they complain, the service that brings them over just sends them back and brings in someone who does not complain.

But, this is just the beginning. Once Jeb is installed in the White House, it is open season on Americans.

 

Social Decay

My pet theory about why societies decline is that their ruling classes lose the will or incentive to enforce the rules they created to govern themselves. It’s a take on the broken windows theory of law enforcement. Once you start letting the little violations go, the next level of crimes are then permitted. The rot creeps higher and higher until no rules are enforced or seen as a deterrent. Without Marius, there can be no Caesar.

It’s not linear or inevitable. New York City reformed itself. Giuliani sorted out the police force and prosecutors office, cracked down on petty crime and began a program of ethnic cleansing. The people running the city, the wealthy financial class, no longer saw any benefit to letting the lunatics run the place so they brought in a new man to address the problems. They had an incentive to do so, which was the need for safe, livable real estate for their servants.

The Romans, in contrast, never had an incentive to reform their system and return to a republic. The Senatorial class saw their interests in centralized authority and therefore went along with the drift toward empire. Given the choice between one of their own having dictatorial power and sharing power with the lower classes, they chose the former. That meant ignoring all of those rules and customs of the republic. When that was not practical, they invented clever ways around those rules and customs.

In modern America, you see much of the same at the top. The Obama administration looks at the law as a puzzle to solve so they can get around the limits. Congress routinely looks the other way as their own rules are broken. Boehner and McConnell see a benefit in letting the executive run wild. It spares them the risk of doing their job and lets them collect massive amounts of cash. There are a lot of rich men in Congress who came to Washington penniless.

The problem with rot at the top in a modern society is it tends to spread to the more mundane parts of the empire. This story from the backwaters of the America South is a good example.

The latest example of cellphone video vindicating someone from false charges is a doozy. It comes from Washington Parish, La., and WWL TV.

One of the worst days of Douglas Dendinger’s life began with him handing an envelope to a police officer.

In order to help out his family and earn a quick $50, Dendinger agreed to act as a process server, giving a brutality lawsuit filed by his nephew to Chad Cassard as the former Bogalusa police officer exited the Washington Parish Courthouse.

The handoff went smoothly, but Dendinger said the reaction from Cassard, and a group of officers and attorneys clustered around him, turned his life upside down.

“It was like sticking a stick in a bee’s nest.” Dendinger, 47, recalled. “They started cursing me. They threw the summons at me. Right at my face, but it fell short. Vulgarities. I just didn’t know what to think. I was a little shocked.”

Not knowing what to make of the blow-up, a puzzled Dendinger drove home. That’s where things went from bad to worse.

“Within about 20 minutes, there were these bright lights shining through my windows. It was like, ‘Oh my God.’ I mean I knew immediately, a police car.”

“And that’s when the nightmare started,” he said. “I was arrested.”

He was not only arrested, he was also charged with two felonies and a misdemeanor. A prior drug charge on his record meant he was potentially looking at decades in prison. Seven witnesses backed up the police account that Dendinger had assaulted Cassard.

But Dendinger had asked his wife and nephew to record him serving the papers. It was a last minute decision, but one that may have saved him his freedom.

From what can be seen on the clips, Dendinger never touches Cassard, who calmly takes the envelope and walks back into the courthouse, handing [prosecutor Leigh Anne] Wall the envelope.

“He’d still be in a world of trouble if he didn’t have that film,” said David Cressy, a friend of Dendinger who once served as a prosecutor under [former St. Tammany District Attorney Walter] Reed. “It was him against all of them. They took advantage of that and said all sorts of fictitious things happened. And it didn’t happen. It would still be going like that had they not had the film.”

Dendinger spent nearly a year waiting for trial, racking up attorney’s fees. As a disabled Army veteran on a fixed income, Dendinger said the case stretched him financially, but in his eyes, he was fighting for his life.

After nearly a year passed, his attorneys forced Reed to recuse his office. The case was referred to the Louisiana Attorney General’s Office, which promptly dropped the charges.

Rafael Goyeneche, president of the Metropolitan Crime Commission and himself a former prosecutor, studied the videos. He did not hesitate in his assessment.

“I didn’t see a battery, certainly a battery committed that would warrant criminal charges,” Goyeneche said. “And more importantly, the attorney general’s office didn’t see a battery.”

That’s all well and good. And Dendinger has since filed a federal civil rights lawsuit. I hope he collects.

But here’s my question: Why aren’t the seven witnesses to Dendinger’s nonexistent assault on Cassard already facing felony charges? Why are all but one of the cops who filed false reports still wearing badges and collecting paychecks? Why aren’t the attorneys who filed false reports facing disbarment? Dendinger’s prosecutors both filed false reports, then prosecuted Dendinger based on the reports they knew were false. They should be looking for new careers — after they get out of jail.

If a group of regular citizens had pulled this on someone, they’d all likely be facing criminal conspiracy charges on top of the perjury and other charges. So why aren’t these cops and prosecutors?

I could be wrong, but my guess is that they’ll all be let off due to “professional courtesy” or some sort of exercise of prosecutorial discretion. And so the people who ought to be held to a higher standard than the rest of us will once again be held to a lower one.

This is something we see everywhere at the top. Jon Corzine stole billions from his clients, breaking many laws in the process. He is given a pass because he is a one of the beautiful people. The CIA gets caught spying on members of Congress and nothing happens. No one goes to jail for what used to be considered the highest crime imaginable in a republic.

This rot at the top filters down so that the local prosecutor gets away with what should result in prison time. Everyone in the ghetto, for example, knows better than to talk to a cop because cops get to lie and break the law. No good comes from dealing with the cops so no one talks to the cops. The orderly society is thrown into reverse.

Herbert Stein’s Law comes to mind, but probably does not apply. There’s no reason to think the decay of social order in America must stop or that people in charge will reform themselves. There are plenty of examples where societies went through periods of reform and renewal, but there are examples of ones that simply collapsed. The stories above suggest the rot is deep and far advanced. Reform may simply be impossible.

 

Bait and Switch

Here’s an interesting article on the fate of John Boehner. A few things come to mind reading this. One is just how awful at his job Boehner has been since the start. Being Speaker is a tough job and made tougher when you are a Republican. The press is always looking to undermine you and the opposing party will use that to cause mischief. A Democrat speaker has a loyal press corp and a pleading opposition.

Boehner has made his task more difficult by making war on the conservative wing of his caucus. It’s a strange and self-defeating strategy that has led to a number of embarrassing defeats. Tip O’Neil, the best speaker in my lifetime, always avoided these showdowns. Instead, he found the votes needed in advance. When his preferred choice was going to lose, he made a big show of “letting his members voter their conscience.”

In contrast, Boehner appears to be an idiot. He can’t count to 218.

The other thing I find fascinating is the casual revelation of the bait and switch the GOP runs on their voters.

Members of the recently formed “House Freedom Caucus” offered multiple proposals to leadership that they believe would have drawn enough Republican votes to keep DHS funded and not left Boehner dependent on Democrats. Boehner, though, chose not to support the plans.

One conservative member, who asked for anonymity to speak frankly, said the mood of his colleagues will depend on how Boehner handles himself over the next week. If he tries to put a “clean” DHS funding bill on the floor for a vote, or doesn’t make overtures to conservatives, anger could boil over, the Republican said.

We’re suppose to take from this that the 52 members of the Freedom Caucus are the conservatives in the party. That means 193 other Republican members are something other than conservative. Did the voters of Fred Upton’s district (MI-9) think they were getting a non-conservative when they elected him? Bob Goodlatte (VA-6)?

I’m thinking most GOP voters went to the polls thinking their guy was a good conservative. Maybe not on every issue, but at least 90% of the time. Yet, the leadership and Boehner operate as if the conservatives are mostly a nuisance and a trivial minority of their caucus. By extension, it means they think you, the guy voting for them, are an idiot.

My own view is the parties are just the two faces of the ruling class. They run a good cop-bad cop routine on the public and take turns occupying the big offices. Voting, therefore, is a waste of time. Still, I take some pleasure in seeing that old drunk get the business from the handful of politicians with anything resembling respect for their voters.