Like many on this side of the great divide, I am not looking forward to the Republican primary, especially the war between Trump and DeSantis. There is a chance that it fizzles before it gets going, as DeSantis is way back in the polls. Ron DeSantis is more of a concept at this point. He is an alternative to Trump, but not the rejection of Trump, so people are free to imagine him as they please.
His first big hurdle will be his lack of personality. Those people who like him because he is Trumpism without Trump will be surprised to learn that the concept made flesh looks and sounds a lot like Michael Dukakis. It is entirely possible that once those voters get a look at him on the stump, they lose interest. This is what happened to Scott Walker in the 2016 primary. His first impression was his last impression.
Given the longshot odds for any Republican in the current year, I wonder if the action does not end up on the other side of the race. Biden has been stuck at 40% in the approval polls for a long time. Most Democrat primary voters, according to polls, would prefer another option. His declining health is one part, but he was never genuinely popular in his own party. He is the result of shenanigans.
At this point, Robert Kennedy is at 15% in the polls. Without anyone knowing anything about him, that is a good starting spot. There is a substantial antiwar vote on the Democrat side that has to be unhappy with what they are seeing. All of those Bernie Bros are still there in the shadows. The regime is trying to close off the Kennedy run before it gets momentum, but that may not be possible.
Joe Biden falling over on stage the other day brought back memories of Jimmy Carter facing another Kennedy in the 1980 primary. Carter won mostly because people still remembered that Ted Kennedy killed Mary Jo Kopechne by leaving her to drown in the backseat of his Oldsmobile. For his part, Carter was one mishap after another throughout the process, constantly reminding people that he was a loser.
We may be seeing this with Biden. It was not just that he toppled over on the stage, but that he could not get up without help. He looked like the old people they use in those commercials for LifeCall. We will see more of these incidents, as Biden is a frail old man struggling to get through each day. It is possible that this summer, Robert Kennedy catches fire as a way for Democratic voters to voice their unrest.
You also have to wonder if Gavin Newsome is not having second thoughts. He was sniffing around last year looking for support to run a primary challenge. Maybe the oligarchs who actually run things will take a look at him as a way to drain support from Kennedy, but also as an alternative to Biden. The next month or two could turn out to be the more interesting story to watch in this election.
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This Week’s Show
Contents
- Discussing The Primary
- The Longshots
- The Establishmentarians
- Ron DeSantis
- Donald Trump
- Let Us Speak Of This No More
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